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Global Election Projection / Prediction / Forecast Dashboard - INTRODUCTION TAP
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CONFIDENCE RANGE> AVERAGE ERROR OF ±2.50%p, STANDARD ERROR OF ±3.00%p AT 95% CONFIDENCE LEVEL.
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List Of Database Election Projection / Prediction / Forecast Models> https://docs.google.com/document/d/1vZNPYVqn1UQMSSt6CTc3SUiYcYilsub_J-Bw0egTSgc/
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***The Sample Size Of Polls Which Didn't Mentioned About Is Set As 250, 500 or 1,000
***Maximum Sample Size 25,000, Minimum Sample Size 250
***Always Excluding Would Not Vote & Using Weighted+Registered(Or Likely If Not Possible) Voter-Based Polling Data Used, Including Undecied If Possible
***Withdrawn Candidates' Votes Are Not Allocated In Any Way Unless His/Her Name Is Removed From Ballot
***Only Include Latest Polls After Close Of Nomination

***Error Cover Lower Than 0.75 & Higher Than 1.33 For 10%< Average Parties & Error Cover Lower Than 0.75 & Higher Than 2.00 For 10%> Average Parties Is Not Used
***Partisan Cover Higher Than 3.0 For Others When Performing 2.5%+ Is Not Used, Excluding Polls Overlapped
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Nationa Projection Method
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Poll+Error = (Poll Base)*(Error Cover)
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Poll Base = Polling Average Rounded To Total Of 100%
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State/Province/Regional/District/Department Projection Method
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Swing Base = (Last Election Results)*(National Swing)
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Poll Base = Polling Average Rounded To Total Of 100% OR
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(Statewide Polling Average/National Polling Averge)*(National Projection)
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Partisan Base = (National Projection)*(Partisan Swing)
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Poll+Swing = Average Of Poll Base & Swing Base
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Partisan+Swing = Average Of Partisan Base & Swing Base
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Typical Release TimetableCurrent Qualifing Rule
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Globe Elections UN(YouTube Video)>Globe Elections UN(YouTube Video) & GEHSC.en(WordPress Article)>
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20:00 KST (±2 Hour)8 Or More Polling Data In The Last 7 Days Of The Month (REGULAR)
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GEHSC.en(WordPress Article)>6 Or More Polling Data In The Last 7 Days / Or 4,000,000+ Population (FINAL & LIVE)
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20:00 KST (±2 Hour)GEHSC.kr(Naver Post)>
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GEHSC.kr(Naver Post)>10,000,000+ Population
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21:00 KST (±2 Hour)
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