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Created 11/20/15, updated 12/3/15 with pre-arb deals, Updated 12/5/15 with oliver Perez deal, 12/8/15 with Kelley deal, 12/30/15 with Muprhy, Drew deals, 1/9/16 with Revere/Storen deal. Updated 4/1/16 with Moore DFA/trade and two selections
Cots
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/national-league/washington-nationals/
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Player2016 25-man prediction?Current or 2015 Contract201420152016sums
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Under Contract for 2016 - 13
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Scherzer, Maxx7yr/$210M (15-21), half deferred$17,142,857 $15,000,000
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Werth, Jaysonx7 yr/$126M (11-17)$20,571,000 $21,571,429 $21,571,429
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Zimmerman, Ryanx6 yr/$100M (14-19)+20 opt $14,000,000 $14,000,000 $14,000,000
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Gonzalez, Giox5yr/$42M (12-16)+17,18 options$8,600,000 $11,100,000 $12,100,000
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Papelbon, Jonathanx4yr/$50M + 2016 Optn (11M, 3M deferred)$13,000,000 $8,000,000
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Harper, Brycex2yr/$7.5M (15-16)$2,150,000 $2,500,000 $5,000,000
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Perez, Oliverx2yr/$7M (16-17)$3,000,000
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Kelley, Shawnx3yr/$15M$4,000,000
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Petit, Yusmeirox1yr/$2.5M (16) with 2017 500k optn$2,500,000
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Murphy, Danielx3yr/$37.5M (16-18)$8,000,000
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Drew, Stephenx1yr/$3M$3,000,000
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Belisle, Mattx1yr/$1.25M$1,250,000
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Heisey, Chrisx1yr/$1.25M$1,250,000 $98,671,429
<-- total guaranteed $$ for 2016
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black == actual award
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Arbitration Eligible Players for 2016 - 6
red == my arb estimate
blue = actual
mlbtraderumors estimate
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/10/projected-arbitration-salaries-for-2016.html
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Strasburg, Stephenx1yr/7.4M (15) (arb3)$3,975,000 $7,400,000 $12,000,000 $10,400,000 $10,500,000
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Ramos, Wilsonx1yr/$3.55M (15) (arb3)$2,095,000 $3,550,000 $4,700,000 $5,350,000 $5,300,000
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Rendon, Anthonyx4yr/$7.2M ($6M bonus) (11-14)+15 opt (arb1)$1,800,000 $1,800,000 $4,000,000 $2,800,000 $2,500,000
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Espinosa, Dannyx1yr/$1.8M (15) (arb2)$540,000 $1,800,000 $3,200,000 $2,875,000 $2,700,000
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Lobaton, Josex1yr/$1.2M (15) (arb3)$950,000 $1,200,000 $1,500,000 $1,387,500 $1,500,000
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Revere, Benx1yr/$4.1M (15) (arb2)$6,600,000 $6,250,000 $6,700,000
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$32,000,000 $29,062,500 $29,200,000
<-- Guess of total arb award amounts
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Pre Arbitration MLB players - 22
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Roark, Tannerx1 yr/$0.5296M (15)$506,100 $529,600 $543,400
league min in 2015 is $507,500
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Robinson, Clintx1 yr/$0.525M (15)$525,000 $534,900
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Barrett, Aaronx1 yr/$0.5142M (15)$500,000 $514,200 $519,400
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den Dekker, Matt1 yr/$512,972 (15)$512,972
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Treinen, Blakex1 yr/$0.5128M (15)$512,800 $524,900
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Taylor, Michaelx1 yr/$0.5087M (15)$508,700 $524,000
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Gott, Trevor1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Cole, A.J.1yr Minor League deal (15)
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de los Santos, Abel1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Difo, Wilmer1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Goodwin, Brian1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Grace, Matt1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Jordan, Taylor1yr Minor League deal (15)$504,000
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Martin, Rafael1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Rivero, Felipex1yr Minor League deal (15)$516,100
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Ross, Joex1yr Minor League deal (15)$514,400
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Severino, Pedro1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Solis, Sammy1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Turner, Trea1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Lee, Nicholas1yr Minor League deal (16)
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Kieboom, Spencer1yr Minor League deal (16)
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Bostick, Chris1yr Minor League deal (16)
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$3,677,100
<-- guess of total pre-arb players
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Payments for former players in 2016
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McClouth, Nate2yr/$10.75M (14-15) with 2016 opt$5,000,000 $5,000,000 $750,000
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Janssen, Casey1yr/$5M (15) 2016 optn$3,500,000 $1,500,000
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Storen, DrewPortion paid by Washington$2,125,000
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Escobar, YunelPortion paid by Washington$1,500,000
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$5,875,000
<-- sum of option buyouts for 2016
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$137,286,029
<-- payroll estimate for 2016 Nats
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$162,014,559
<-- opening day 2015 Cot's estimate
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Out for 2016$24,728,530
<-- delta from 2015
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Zimmermann, Jordan2yr/$24M (14-15) 7.5 and 16.5$7,500,000 $16,500,000
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Desmond, Ian2yr/$17.5M (14-15), 6.5 and 11$6,500,000 $11,000,000
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Span, Denard5 years/$16.5M (10-14), $9M club opt 15$6,500,000 $9,000,000
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McLouth, Nate2yr/$10.75M (14-15) with opt$5,000,000 $5,000,000
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Thornton, Matt2yr/$7M (14-15)$3,500,000 $3,500,000
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Janssen, Casey1yr/$5M (15) 2016 optn$3,500,000
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Uggla, Dan1yr/mlb min (15)$507,500
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Johnson, Reed1yr/1M (15)$1,000,000
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Fister, Doug1yr, $7.2M (14) (arb2)$7,200,000 $11,400,000
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Carpenter, David1yr, $1.275M
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Butler, Danminor league
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Cedeno, Xavier1 yr/$0.5165M (15)$507,800 $516,500
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Stammen, Craig1yr/$2.25M (15) (arb4)$1,375,000 $2,250,000 $2,400,000 $2,400,000
non tendered 12/2/15
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Escobar, Yunel2yr/$13M (15-16) 2017 optn$5,000,000 $7,000,000
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Storen, Drew1yr/$5.7M (15) (arb4)$3,450,000 $5,700,000 $7,600,000 $8,800,000
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Davis, Erik1 yr/$0.5089M (15)$501,400 $508,900
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Hill, Taylor1yr Minor League deal (15)
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Moore, Tylerx1 yr/$0.5182M (15) (arb1)$507,900 $518,200 $1,200,000 $900,000 $1,000,000
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$75,901,100
<-- $$ coming off the books for all former players from 2015
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