A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Republican-held Seats | ||||||||||
2 | HVI Rank | District | Incumbent | President Rank | House Rank | HVI Score | Flipped? | ||||
3 | 1 | NC-02 | OPEN (Holding) | 1 | 0 | 1 | ✅ | ||||
4 | 2 | NC-06 | OPEN (Walker) | 2 | 0 | 2 | ✅ | Methodology: President Rank: The seat's rank (from bluest to reddest) according to an average of the 2012 & 2016 presidential vote. Margin Rank: The seat's rank (from smallest to largest) according to the 2018 House vote or most recent vote for special elections. Open or vacant seats are given a rank of 0. HVI Score: The combined score of the presidential and margin ranks. Lower numbers indicate greater vulnerability. | |||
5 | 3 | CA-25 | Garcia, Mike | 4 | 0 | 4 | |||||
6 | 4 | TX-23 | OPEN (Hurd) | 7 | 0 | 7 | |||||
7 | 5 | NY-02 | OPEN (King) | 8 | 0 | 8 | |||||
8 | 6 | PA-01 | Fitzpatrick, Brian | 5 | 5 | 10 | |||||
9 | 7 | IL-13 | Davis, Rodney | 9 | 2 | 11 | |||||
10 | 8 | NE-02 | Bacon, Don | 13 | 4 | 17 | |||||
11 | 9 | NY-24 | Katko, John | 3 | 18.5 | 21.5 | |||||
12 | 10 | MN-01 | Hagedorn, Jim | 21 | 1 | 22 | |||||
13 | 11 | FL-15 | OPEN (Spano) | 26 | 0 | 26 | |||||
14 | 12 | MI-03 | OPEN (Amash) | 28 | 0 | 28 | |||||
15 | 12 | NY-01 | Zeldin, Lee | 17 | 11 | 28 | |||||
16 | 14 | VA-05 | OPEN (Riggleman) | 29 | 0 | 29 | Open seats: | 36 | |||
17 | 15 | WA-03 | Herrera Beutler, Jaime | 11 | 18.5 | 29.5 | |||||
18 | 16 | CO-03 | OPEN (Tipton) | 30 | 0 | 30 | Vacant seats: | 0 | |||
19 | 16 | MI-06 | Upton, Fred | 14 | 16 | 30 | |||||
20 | 18 | PA-10 | Perry, Scott | 25 | 6.5 | 31.5 | |||||
21 | 19 | OH-01 | Chabot, Steve | 18 | 15 | 33 | |||||
22 | 20 | NJ-02 | Van Drew, Jeff | 6 | 27.5 | 33.5 | |||||
23 | 21 | MN-08 | Stauber, Pete | 15 | 21 | 36 | |||||
24 | 22 | NC-09 | Bishop, Dan | 35 | 3 | 38 | |||||
25 | 23 | NC-08 | Hudson, Richard | 22 | 17 | 39 | |||||
26 | 24 | WI-07 | Tiffany, Tom | 41 | 0 | 41 | |||||
27 | 25 | IL-12 | Bost, Mike | 20 | 22 | 42 | |||||
28 | 26 | OH-12 | Balderson, Troy | 37 | 12 | 49 | |||||
29 | 27 | FL-18 | Mast, Brian | 19 | 31 | 50 | |||||
30 | 28 | GA-07 | OPEN (Woodall) | 54 | 0 | 54 | ✅ | ||||
31 | 29 | IN-05 | OPEN (Brooks) | 56.5 | 0 | 56.5 | |||||
32 | 29 | TX-24 | OPEN (Marchant) | 56.5 | 0 | 56.5 | |||||
33 | 31 | NY-23 | Reed, Tom | 27 | 30 | 57 | |||||
34 | 32 | MI-07 | Walberg, Tim | 32 | 26 | 58 | |||||
35 | 33 | MO-02 | Wagner, Ann | 49 | 10 | 59 | |||||
36 | 34 | CA-08 | OPEN (Cook) | 59.5 | 0 | 59.5 | |||||
37 | 34 | PA-16 | Kelly, Mike | 46 | 13.5 | 59.5 | |||||
38 | 36 | NC-11 | OPEN (Meadows) | 61 | 0 | 61 | |||||
39 | 36 | AR-02 | Hill, French | 38 | 23 | 61 | |||||
40 | 38 | NY-21 | Stefanik, Elise | 10 | 53 | 63 | |||||
41 | 39 | OH-14 | Joyce, David | 24 | 39.5 | 63.5 | |||||
42 | 40 | FL-16 | Buchanan, Vern | 31 | 33 | 64 | |||||
43 | 41 | CA-22 | Nunes, Devin | 45 | 20 | 65 | |||||
44 | 42 | OH-10 | Turner, Michael | 12 | 54.5 | 66.5 | |||||
45 | 43 | KY-06 | Barr, Andy | 58 | 9 | 67 | |||||
46 | 44 | WI-01 | Steil, Bryan | 23 | 45 | 68 | |||||
47 | 45 | FL-03 | OPEN (Yoho) | 68.5 | 0 | 68.5 | |||||
48 | 46 | KS-02 | OPEN (Watkins) | 70 | 0 | 70 | |||||
49 | 47 | TX-22 | OPEN (Olson) | 74 | 0 | 74 | |||||
50 | 47 | WA-05 | McMorris Rodgers, Cathy | 40 | 34 | 74 | |||||
51 | 49 | MT-AL | OPEN (Gianforte) | 76 | 0 | 76 | |||||
52 | 50 | TX-10 | McCaul, Michael | 63 | 13.5 | 76.5 | |||||
53 | 51 | TX-21 | Roy, Chip | 71 | 6.5 | 77.5 | |||||
54 | 52 | IA-04 | OPEN (King) | 80 | 0 | 80 | |||||
55 | 53 | OR-02 | OPEN (Walden) | 82 | 0 | 82 | |||||
56 | 54 | TX-31 | Carter, John | 75 | 8 | 83 | |||||
57 | 54 | VA-01 | Wittman, Rob | 43.5 | 39.5 | 83 | |||||
58 | 56 | NY-27 | Jacobs, Chris | 84 | 0 | 84 | |||||
59 | 57 | WI-06 | Grothman, Glenn | 42 | 42.5 | 84.5 | |||||
60 | 58 | AK-AL | Young, Don | 62 | 24 | 86 | |||||
61 | 59 | FL-06 | Waltz, Michael | 39 | 47.5 | 86.5 | |||||
62 | 60 | CA-50 | OPEN (Hunter) | 88 | 0 | 88 | |||||
63 | 61 | NJ-04 | Smith, Chris | 43.5 | 45 | 88.5 | |||||
64 | 62 | TX-06 | Wright, Ron | 64 | 27.5 | 91.5 | |||||
65 | 63 | TX-17 | OPEN (Flores) | 92 | 0 | 92 | |||||
66 | 64 | NV-02 | Amodei, Mark | 33 | 61 | 94 | |||||
67 | 65 | FL-25 | Diaz-Balart, Mario | 16 | 79 | 95 | |||||
68 | 66 | WI-05 | OPEN (Sensenbrenner) | 99 | 0 | 99 | |||||
69 | 67 | OH-16 | Gonzalez, Anthony | 47.5 | 52 | 99.5 | |||||
70 | 68 | MI-10 | OPEN (Mitchell) | 100 | 0 | 100 | |||||
71 | 69 | FL-19 | OPEN (Rooney) | 101 | 0 | 101 | |||||
72 | 70 | CA-04 | McClintock, Tom | 73 | 29 | 102 | |||||
73 | 71 | CA-42 | Calvert, Ken | 52 | 50.5 | 102.5 | |||||
74 | 71 | OH-15 | Stivers, Steve | 34 | 68.5 | 102.5 | |||||
75 | 73 | AZ-06 | Schweikert, David | 68.5 | 38 | 106.5 | |||||
76 | 74 | TX-02 | Crenshaw, Dan | 83 | 25 | 108 | |||||
77 | 75 | OH-02 | Wenstrup, Brad | 51 | 60 | 111 | |||||
78 | 76 | MI-02 | Huizenga, Bill | 67 | 45 | 112 | |||||
79 | 77 | GA-01 | Carter, Buddy | 55 | 57.5 | 112.5 | |||||
80 | 77 | MI-01 | Bergman, Jack | 65 | 47.5 | 112.5 | |||||
81 | 79 | IL-16 | Kinzinger, Adam | 47.5 | 66 | 113.5 | |||||
82 | 80 | CA-01 | LaMalfa, Doug | 81 | 36 | 117 | |||||
83 | 80 | FL-12 | Bilirakis, Gus | 50 | 67 | 117 | |||||
84 | 80 | TX-25 | Williams, Roger | 85 | 32 | 117 | |||||
85 | 83 | IN-02 | Walorski, Jackie | 86 | 35 | 121 | |||||
86 | 84 | LA-05 | OPEN (Abraham) | 122 | 0 | 122 | |||||
87 | 85 | SC-05 | Norman, Ralph | 66 | 57.5 | 123.5 | |||||
88 | 86 | GA-12 | Allen, Rick | 53 | 72 | 125 | |||||
89 | 87 | AL-01 | OPEN (Byrne) | 127 | 0 | 127 | |||||
90 | 88 | SC-07 | Rice, Tom | 59.5 | 73 | 132.5 | |||||
91 | 89 | AL-02 | OPEN (Roby) | 134 | 0 | 134 | |||||
92 | 90 | NC-07 | Rouzer, David | 79 | 56 | 135 | |||||
93 | 91 | WI-08 | Gallagher, Mike | 36 | 99.5 | 135.5 | |||||
94 | 92 | TX-03 | Taylor, Van | 103 | 37 | 140 | |||||
95 | 93 | SC-02 | Wilson, Joe | 87 | 54.5 | 141.5 | |||||
96 | 94 | IN-09 | Hollingsworth, Trey | 97 | 50.5 | 147.5 | |||||
97 | 95 | AZ-08 | Lesko, Debbie | 108 | 41 | 149 | |||||
98 | 96 | OH-07 | Gibbs, Bob | 90 | 63 | 153 | |||||
99 | 97 | FL-08 | Posey, Bill | 78 | 80 | 158 | |||||
100 | 98 | MI-04 | Moolenaar, John | 72 | 94 | 166 |