Caltrain Future Capacity
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Peak Hourly Service, 2014Trains per hour per direction
Seats
Bikes
Standees
TotalPeak hour load factor (% of seated capacity)Peak load per hour per directionEquivalent freeway lanes, both directionsYear
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5-car Gallery3615804003045
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5-car Bombardier2682484002164
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Total capacity phpd
53209336200052090.928882.22014
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Increase from 2018
0%-15%-11%-14%-15%
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Assumptions: additional Metrolink cars not yet added to fleet
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Peak Hourly Service, 2018Trains per hour per direction
Seats
Bikes
Standees
Total
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5-car Gallery1615804001015
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6-car Gallery1757804801237
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6-car Bombardier3801724803843
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Total capacity phpd
5377537623206095137752.92018
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Baseline case, with additional Metrolink cars
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Peak Hourly Service, 2022 (CalMod 1.0)Trains per hour per direction
Seats
Bikes
Standees
Total
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7-car Bombardier1949725601509
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EMU-60567724310
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EMU-75667725025845
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EMU-80784725780
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Total capacity phpd
64284432307073541.147123.62022
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Increase from 2018
20%13%15%32%21%
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Assumptions: upper EMU doors are not used yet, and blocked by seats. Fleet of 19 EMU-7 including TIRCP option order of 37 cars + 96 car base order.
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Peak Hourly Service, 2027 (CalMod 2.0)Trains per hour per direction
Seats
Bikes
Standees
Total
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EMU-60507724310
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EMU-70597725020
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EMU-86704725787692
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Total capacity phpd
64224432346881241.354914.22027
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Increase from 2018
20%12%15%49%33%
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Assumptions: Diesels all gone. EMU fleet expanded by +59 cars to 192 cars, with all EMU doors in use for transition to level boarding.
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Hourly Service, 2030 (CalMod 3.0)Trains per hour per direction
Seats
Bikes
Standees
Total
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EMU-84784725781362
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EMU-12211621088632025
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Total capacity phpd
65460504403894981.476445.92032
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Increase from 2018
20%45%34%74%56%
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Assumptions: low-level EMU doors are no longer used, and blocked by seats. EMU-12 (coupled EMU-8 + EMU-4) is used for skip-stop express service with longer platforms.
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Added fleet +32 cars.
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Hourly Service, 2035 (CalMod 4.0)Trains per hour per direction
Seats
Bikes
Standees
Total
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EMU-84784725781362
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EMU-12411621088632025
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Total capacity phpd
877847205764135481.4108988.42035
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Increase from 2018
60%106%91%148%122%
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Assumptions: new overtake facility (long middle 3-track) allows slotting 12 tphpd, including 4 tphpd HSR and 4 tphpd expresses operated by EMU-12. Added fleet +96 cars.
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Note: freeway lane capacity is 2600 people/hour/lane. See http://caltrain-hsr.blogspot.com/2017/08/freeway-lanes-of-caltrain.html
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Standee capacity assumes a comfortable 2 passengers/m2, based on TCRP Report 165. Not all capacity is used; see load factor.
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