Caltrain Future Capacity

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J
1	Peak Hourly Service, 2014	Trains per hour per direction	Seats	Bikes	Standees	Total	Peak hour load factor (% of seated capacity)	Peak load per hour per direction	Equivalent freeway lanes, both directions	Year
2	5-car Gallery	3	615	80	400	3045
3	5-car Bombardier	2	682	48	400	2164
4	Total capacity phpd	5	3209	336	2000	5209	0.9	2888	2.2	2014
5	Increase from 2018	0%	-15%	-11%	-14%	-15%
6	Assumptions: additional Metrolink cars not yet added to fleet
7
8	Peak Hourly Service, 2018	Trains per hour per direction	Seats	Bikes	Standees	Total
9	5-car Gallery	1	615	80	400	1015
10	6-car Gallery	1	757	80	480	1237
11	6-car Bombardier	3	801	72	480	3843
12	Total capacity phpd	5	3775	376	2320	6095	1	3775	2.9	2018
13	Baseline case, with additional Metrolink cars
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15	Peak Hourly Service, 2022 (CalMod 1.0)	Trains per hour per direction	Seats	Bikes	Standees	Total
16	7-car Bombardier	1	949	72	560	1509
17	EMU-6	0	567	72	431	0
18	EMU-7	5	667	72	502	5845
19	EMU-8	0	784	72	578	0
20	Total capacity phpd	6	4284	432	3070	7354	1.1	4712	3.6	2022
21	Increase from 2018	20%	13%	15%	32%	21%
22	Assumptions: upper EMU doors are not used yet, and blocked by seats. Fleet of 19 EMU-7 including TIRCP option order of 37 cars + 96 car base order.
23
24	Peak Hourly Service, 2027 (CalMod 2.0)	Trains per hour per direction	Seats	Bikes	Standees	Total
25	EMU-6	0	507	72	431	0
26	EMU-7	0	597	72	502	0
27	EMU-8	6	704	72	578	7692
28	Total capacity phpd	6	4224	432	3468	8124	1.3	5491	4.2	2027
29	Increase from 2018	20%	12%	15%	49%	33%
30	Assumptions: Diesels all gone. EMU fleet expanded by +59 cars to 192 cars, with all EMU doors in use for transition to level boarding.
31
32	Hourly Service, 2030 (CalMod 3.0)	Trains per hour per direction	Seats	Bikes	Standees	Total
33	EMU-8	4	784	72	578	1362
34	EMU-12	2	1162	108	863	2025
35	Total capacity phpd	6	5460	504	4038	9498	1.4	7644	5.9	2032
36	Increase from 2018	20%	45%	34%	74%	56%
37	Assumptions: low-level EMU doors are no longer used, and blocked by seats. EMU-12 (coupled EMU-8 + EMU-4) is used for skip-stop express service with longer platforms.
38	Added fleet +32 cars.
39
40	Hourly Service, 2035 (CalMod 4.0)	Trains per hour per direction	Seats	Bikes	Standees	Total
41	EMU-8	4	784	72	578	1362
42	EMU-12	4	1162	108	863	2025
43	Total capacity phpd	8	7784	720	5764	13548	1.4	10898	8.4	2035
44	Increase from 2018	60%	106%	91%	148%	122%
45	Assumptions: new overtake facility (long middle 3-track) allows slotting 12 tphpd, including 4 tphpd HSR and 4 tphpd expresses operated by EMU-12. Added fleet +96 cars.
46
47	Note: freeway lane capacity is 2600 people/hour/lane. See http://caltrain-hsr.blogspot.com/2017/08/freeway-lanes-of-caltrain.html
48	Standee capacity assumes a comfortable 2 passengers/m2, based on TCRP Report 165. Not all capacity is used; see load factor.
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