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GiveWell's estimates of Malaria Consortium's cost per SMC cycle administered
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One of the inputs that GiveWell uses to estimate the overall cost effectiveness of Malaria Consortium's seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) program in the future is the average cost per SMC cycle administered in previous campaigns. To generate this estimate, we take into account (1) previous years’ spending on the program and (2) estimates of the number of children reached from program monitoring data (coverage).

This spreadsheet contains the data and calculations we used to produce these estimates.
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Contents
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1. Summary
Summary of average cost per SMC cycle administered by location.
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2. Per-year analysisCalculations of cost per SMC cycle administered per year, 2015-2021.
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4. Per-country analysis (2018-2021)Calculations of cost per SMC cycle administered per country, 2018-2021. This includes costs and target populations only from more recent years of Malaria Consortium's operations, which may be more indicative of future cost-per-cycles.
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5. Calc: Adherence ratesSMC is a three-day course of anti-malarial drugs, with day 1 observed by the distributor, and days 2 and 3 administered by the child's caregiver. We calculate adherence to the drug regimen to adjust for children who don't take the anti-malarial drugs after the day 1 dose that is observed by a distributor. This is an input in our per-country and per-year analysis.
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6. Calc: Burkina Faso 2021 coverageSince there was no nationally representative post-round survey in Burkina Faso in 2021, we estimate person-months of coverage using past coverage rates from 2018-2020, and the target population for 2021.
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7-19. SourcesSources for program coverage rates, adherence rates, costs, and inflation adjustments that are used for calculations in other sheets.
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