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2 | *All Inputs in Blue all Calculations in Black only manipulate inputs or the model will blow up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | NAV Coin Valuation Model | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | x | Supply | Step Function | |||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 2018E | 2019E | 2020E | 2021E | 2022E | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | ||||||||||||||||
9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | Total NAV in Circulation (End of Year) | 62,039,099 | 63,528,037 | 65,815,047 | 66,868,087 | 67,937,977 | 69,024,984 | 70,129,384 | 71,251,454 | 72,391,478 | 73,549,741 | |||||||||||||||
11 | Held for Investment or Staking % | 60% | 60% | 90% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | |||||||||||||||
12 | Held as Working Capital % | 40% | 40% | 10% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | |||||||||||||||
13 | Staking Reward % | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | |||||||||||||||
14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | NAV Available for Transactions | 24,815,640 | 25,411,215 | 6,581,505 | 40,120,852 | 40,762,786 | 41,414,991 | 42,077,631 | 42,750,873 | 43,434,887 | 44,129,845 | |||||||||||||||
16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17 | x | Demand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | $ Billion | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | 2018E | 2019E | 2020E | 2021E | 2022E | 2023E | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | ||||||||||||||||
20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | New Zealand GDP in ($USD) | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | $1.85 | |||||||||||||||
22 | NZ Consumer Spending $ | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | $1.23 | |||||||||||||||
23 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | Online Payments | $2,281 | $2,624 | $2,938 | $3,291 | $3,686 | $4,128 | $4,624 | $5,178 | $5,800 | $6,496 | |||||||||||||||
25 | Remittances | $504 | $529 | $555 | $583 | $612 | $643 | $675 | $709 | $744 | $781 | |||||||||||||||
26 | Micro Transactions | $625 | $656 | $689 | $724 | $760 | $798 | $838 | $880 | $924 | $970 | |||||||||||||||
27 | Unbanked | $4,704 | $4,845 | $4,991 | $5,140 | $5,295 | $5,453 | $5,617 | $5,786 | $5,959 | $6,138 | |||||||||||||||
28 | Private Transactions | $437 | $450 | $464 | $478 | $492 | $507 | $522 | $538 | $554 | $570 | |||||||||||||||
29 | Other | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | $1,829 | |||||||||||||||
30 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | Growth Rates | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
32 | NZ Consumer Spending % | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |||||||||||||||
33 | Online Payments | -- | 15% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | |||||||||||||||
34 | Remittances | -- | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | |||||||||||||||
35 | Micro Transactions | -- | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | |||||||||||||||
36 | Unbanked Other | -- | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||||||||||||||
37 | Private Transactions | -- | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||||||||||||||
38 | Other | -- | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |||||||||||||||
39 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | NAV Coin Share | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
41 | NZ Consumer Spending | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |||||||||||||||
42 | Online Payments | 0.0001% | 0.0001% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00012% | 0.00012% | 0.00013% | 0.00013% | 0.00014% | |||||||||||||||
43 | Remmittances | 0.0001% | 0.0001% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00012% | 0.00012% | 0.00013% | 0.00013% | 0.00014% | |||||||||||||||
44 | Micro Transactions | 0.0001% | 0.0001% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00012% | 0.00012% | 0.00013% | 0.00013% | 0.00014% | |||||||||||||||
45 | Unbanked | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | 0.00001% | |||||||||||||||
46 | Private Transactions | 0.01% | 0.011% | 0.012% | 0.014% | 0.017% | 0.021% | 0.027% | 0.033% | 0.042% | 0.052% | |||||||||||||||
47 | Other | 0.0001% | 0.0001% | 0.0001% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00011% | 0.00012% | 0.00012% | 0.00012% | |||||||||||||||
48 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | NAV Coin Share Growth Rates | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | NZ Consumer Spending | -- | 7.50% | 10.00% | 15.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | |||||||||||||||
51 | Online Payments | -- | 3.00% | 3.15% | 3.31% | 3.47% | 3.65% | 3.83% | 4.02% | 4.22% | 4.43% | 5% | ||||||||||||||
52 | Remmittances | -- | 3.00% | 3.15% | 3.31% | 3.47% | 3.65% | 3.83% | 4.02% | 4.22% | 4.43% | 5% | ||||||||||||||
53 | Micro Transactions | -- | 3.00% | 3.15% | 3.31% | 3.47% | 3.65% | 3.83% | 4.02% | 4.22% | 4.43% | 5% | ||||||||||||||
54 | Unbanked | -- | 2.00% | 2.10% | 2.21% | 2.32% | 2.43% | 2.55% | 2.68% | 2.81% | 2.95% | 5% | ||||||||||||||
55 | Private Transactions | -- | 7.50% | 10.00% | 15.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 25.00% | |||||||||||||||
56 | Other | -- | 2.00% | 2.10% | 2.21% | 2.32% | 2.43% | 2.55% | 2.68% | 2.81% | 2.95% | 5% | ||||||||||||||
57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
58 | Capacity Supported by NAV Coin | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | NZ Consumer Spending | $1,233,333 | $1,325,833 | $1,458,417 | $1,677,179 | $2,096,474 | $2,620,592 | $3,275,741 | $4,094,676 | $5,118,345 | $6,397,931 | |||||||||||||||
60 | Online Payments | $2,281,313 | $2,702,215 | $3,121,815 | $3,612,077 | $4,186,022 | $4,859,306 | $5,650,805 | $6,583,341 | $7,684,593 | $8,988,227 | |||||||||||||||
61 | Remittances | $503,567 | $544,608 | $589,851 | $639,828 | $695,151 | $756,525 | $824,766 | $900,820 | $985,788 | $1,080,956 | |||||||||||||||
62 | Micro Transactions | $625,118 | $676,065 | $732,229 | $794,269 | $862,946 | $939,134 | $1,023,847 | $1,118,259 | $1,223,737 | $1,341,877 | |||||||||||||||
63 | Unbanked | $470,419 | $494,222 | $519,739 | $547,135 | $576,597 | $608,332 | $642,576 | $679,592 | $719,679 | $763,173 | |||||||||||||||
64 | Private Transactions | $43,709,080 | $48,396,879 | $54,833,664 | $64,950,475 | $83,623,736 | $107,665,560 | $138,619,409 | $178,472,489 | $229,783,329 | $295,846,037 | |||||||||||||||
65 | Other | $1,829,000 | $1,865,580 | $1,904,757 | $1,946,757 | $1,991,829 | $2,040,251 | $2,092,330 | $2,148,408 | $2,208,869 | $2,274,139 | |||||||||||||||
66 | Total | $50,651,829 | $56,005,401 | $63,160,470 | $74,167,720 | $94,032,755 | $119,489,701 | $152,129,472 | $193,997,585 | $247,724,340 | $316,692,339 | |||||||||||||||
67 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | Assumed Annual Velocity | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
69 | NZ Consumer Spending | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
70 | Online Payments | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
71 | Remittances | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
72 | Micro Transactions | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
73 | Unbanked | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
74 | Private Transactions | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
75 | Other | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |||||||||||||||
76 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
77 | NAV Coin Monetary Base Required | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
78 | NZ Consumer Spending | $14,800,000 | $15,910,000 | $17,501,000 | $20,126,150 | $25,157,688 | $31,447,109 | $39,308,887 | $49,136,108 | $61,420,135 | $76,775,169 | |||||||||||||||
79 | Online Payments | $27,375,750 | $32,426,576 | $37,461,775 | $43,344,922 | $50,232,265 | $58,311,673 | $67,809,657 | $79,000,096 | $92,215,119 | $107,858,722 | |||||||||||||||
80 | Remittances | $6,042,803 | $6,535,291 | $7,078,210 | $7,677,938 | $8,341,812 | $9,078,298 | $9,897,187 | $10,809,836 | $11,829,459 | $12,971,474 | |||||||||||||||
81 | Micro Transactions | $7,501,410 | $8,112,775 | $8,786,744 | $9,531,234 | $10,355,353 | $11,269,611 | $12,286,163 | $13,419,107 | $14,684,846 | $16,102,519 | |||||||||||||||
82 | Unbanked | $2,822,514 | $2,965,333 | $3,118,433 | $3,282,810 | $3,459,580 | $3,649,994 | $3,855,457 | $4,077,554 | $4,318,074 | $4,579,039 | |||||||||||||||
83 | Private Transactions | $262,254,480 | $290,381,273 | $329,001,982 | $389,702,848 | $501,742,417 | $645,993,362 | $831,716,453 | $1,070,834,933 | $1,378,699,977 | $1,775,076,220 | |||||||||||||||
84 | Other | $10,974,000 | $11,193,480 | $11,428,543 | $11,680,542 | $11,950,976 | $12,241,506 | $12,553,978 | $12,890,449 | $13,253,212 | $13,644,832 | |||||||||||||||
85 | Total NAV Monetary Base Required | $331,770,956 | $367,524,728 | $414,376,687 | $485,346,444 | $611,240,091 | $771,991,553 | $977,427,781 | $1,240,168,083 | $1,576,420,822 | $2,007,007,976 | |||||||||||||||
86 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
87 | x | Valuation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
88 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
89 | NAV Monetary Base Required / | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
90 | NAV Available for Transactions | $13.37 | $14.46 | $62.96 | $12.10 | $15.00 | $18.64 | $23.23 | $29.01 | $36.29 | $45.48 | |||||||||||||||
91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
92 | NAV Price | $0.80 | 8/22/2025 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
93 | PV $USD/NAV | $1.57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
94 | Discount Rate | 40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
95 | Implied Upisde/(Downside) | 97% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
96 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
97 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
98 | NAV Coin Annual Transaction Volume | $388,695,050 | Source coinmarketcap YTD transaction volume | |||||||||||||||||||||||
99 | NAV Coin Tx Volume Allocated for WC | $155,478,020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 |