ECP/The Hill MT Poll Results 3.6.24

	A	B	C	D
1	Do you believe things in Montana are headed in the right direction or do you believe things are on the wrong track?
2			Frequency	Valid Percent
3	Valid	Right direction	309	30.9
4		Wrong track	414	41.4
5		Neutral or no opinion	277	27.7
6		Total	1000	100
7
8	Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President?
9			Frequency	Valid Percent
10	Valid	Approve	280	28
11		Disapprove	616	61.6
12		Neutral or no opinion	104	10.4
13		Total	1000	100
14
15	Do you approve or disapprove of the job Greg Gianforte is doing as Governor?
16			Frequency	Valid Percent
17	Valid	Approve	372	37.2
18		Disapprove	370	37
19		Neutral or no opinion	258	25.8
20		Total	1000	100
21
22	What is your party affiliation?
23			Frequency	Valid Percent
24	Valid	Democrat	259	25.9
25		Republican	402	40.2
26		Independent/other	339	33.9
27		Total	1000	100
28
29	In a hypothetical 2024 Presidential match-up between Joe Biden and Donald Trump who would you vote for at this time?
30			Frequency	Valid Percent
31	Valid	Donald Trump	556	55.6
32		Joe Biden	350	35
33		Undecided	94	9.4
34		Total	1000	100
35
36	In a hypothetical 2024 Presidential match-up between the following candidates, who would you vote for at this time?
37			Frequency	Valid Percent
38	Valid	Joe Biden	283	28.3
39		Donald Trump	485	48.5
40		Robert Kennedy	82	8.2
41		Cornel West	11	1.1
42		Jill Stein	7	0.7
43		Undecided	133	13.3
44		Total	1000	100
45
46	In a hypothetical U S Senate election between Democrat Jon Tester and Republican Tim Sheehy, who would you vote for at this time?
47			Frequency	Valid Percent
48	Valid	Democrat Jon Tester	440	44
49		Republican Tim Sheehy	424	42.4
50		Undecided	136	13.6
51		Total	1000	100
52
53	Does President Joe Biden's age raise serious doubts in your mind about voting for Joe Biden, or is this not a serious consideration for you?
54			Frequency	Valid Percent
55	Valid	Raises doubts	681	68.1
56		Not a serious consideration	319	31.9
57		Total	1000	100
58
59	Do former President Donald Trump's criminal indictments raise serious doubts in your mind about voting for Donald Trump, or is this not a serious consideration for you?
60			Frequency	Valid Percent
61	Valid	Raises doubts	498	49.8
62		Not a serious consideration	502	50.2
63		Total	1000	100
64
65	I’m going to describe two hypothetical candidates: The first candidate is someone you agree with on the issues, but has said or done some off-the-wall things The second candidate is someone you agree with less, but who is a more conventional candidate
66			Frequency	Valid Percent
67	Valid	Candidate you agree with on issues, but has said or done some off-the-wall things	641	64.1
68		Candidate you agree with less, but is a more conventional candidate	359	35.9
69		Total	1000	100
70
71	I’m going to describe two hypothetical candidates: The first candidate agrees with you on economic issues such as taxes and government spending, but you disagree on social issues such as abortion and gay marriage For the second candidate, the reverse i
72			Frequency	Valid Percent
73	Valid	Candidate you agree with on economic issues, but disagree on social issues	573	57.3
74		Candidate you agree with on social issues, but disagree on economic issues	427	42.7
75		Total	1000	100
76
77	I’m going to describe two hypothetical candidates The first candidate agrees with you on immigration policy, but you disagree on social issues such as abortion and gay marriage For the second candidate, the reverse is true - you agree on social issues
78			Frequency	Valid Percent
79	Valid	Candidate who agrees with you on immigration policy, but you disagree on social issues	553	55.3
80		Candidate who agrees with you on social issues, but disagre on immigration policy	447	44.7
81		Total	1000	100
82
83	What do you think is the most important issue facing Montana?
84			Frequency	Valid Percent
85	Valid	Healthcare	91	9.1
86		Education	48	4.8
87		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	269	26.9
88		Crime	56	5.6
89		Immigration	92	9.2
90		Housing affordability	257	25.7
91		Abortion access	39	3.9
92		Threats to democracy	109	10.9
93		Something else (please specify)	38	3.8
94		Total	1000	100
95
96	Who did you vote for in the 2020 election?
97			Frequency	Valid Percent
98	Valid	Joe Biden	366	36.6
99		Donald Trump	518	51.8
100		Someone else	19	1.9