GrowthFactor

Projected Claims

E[weekly|WKD,WKE]

E[weekly|weekday]

Weekday/Weekend ratio

# of weekend days

https://www.alaskapublic.org/2020/03/19/alaska-unemployment-claims-jump-50-after-coronavirus-shuts-down-restaurants/

https://www.al.com/business/2020/03/more-than-6000-people-applied-for-unemployment-in-alabama-this-week.html

Updated 3/24:1pm

https://twitter.com/ABC7Jory/status/1241522459905421312?s=20

Assumes 90k on Saturday

https://coloradosun.com/2020/03/19/colorado-unemployment-claims-coronavirus/

Corrected from 40,700 reports 3/24 1pm

https://jacobarobbins.com/blog/coronavirus-storyline-10-unemployment/

https://twitter.com/HaleighHoffman/status/1240733496911507461

https://www.delawarepublic.org/post/delaware-swamped-unemployment-claims

https://www.ajc.com/business/jobless-claims-soar-georgia-worse-likely-coming/zTXTHDiTe1i2HK3SYJGmWL/

corrected from 4x to 5x: 3/24 1pm

https://www.staradvertiser.com/2020/03/19/breaking-news/unemployment-claims-overwhelm-states-online-system/

https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/iowa-official-unemployment-claims-due-to-coronavirus-staggering/article_04bf89aa-0384-54c2-861e-f144d5115c3c.html

Daily = mean of 4WK total since 2012: "what we’re receiving on a daily basis is what we would receive in a busy month"

https://www.illinoispolicy.org/illinois-unemployment-claims-jump-by-64k-as-covid-19-closes-businesses/

https://www.indystar.com/story/money/2020/03/19/indiana-unemployment-benefits-expanded-due-coronavirus/2876599001/

https://www.cjonline.com/news/20200320/kansas-coronavirus-update-unemployment-claims-surge-by-10000-state-logs-44-cases-test-kit-supply-shrinks

https://www.kentucky.com/news/coronavirus/article241371816.html

https://www.wdsu.com/article/la-unemployment-claims-soar/31792511

https://www.wbur.org/bostonomix/2020/03/18/unemployment-covid-19-coronavirus-massachusetts

https://www.baltimoresun.com/coronavirus/bs-md-unemployment-coronavirus-20200318-3uaqvtlqfvfwlaweah4sjnwgdy-story.html

https://www.centralmaine.com/2020/03/18/maine-unemployment-claims-surpass-all-of-march-2019-in-just-3-days/

https://minnesota.cbslocal.com/2020/03/23/coronavirus-in-minnesota-gov-walz-says-models-show-40-to-80-in-state-will-contract-covid-19/

Updated 3/24 1 pm

https://wsbt.com/news/local/michigan-sees-2100-increase-in-unemployment-claims

https://missoulacurrent.com/business/2020/03/unemployment-claims-jump/

https://www.wbtv.com/2020/03/23/nc-unemployment-claims-reach-over-week-mostly-covid-related/; https://www.newsobserver.com/news/coronavirus/article241431151.html

Updated 3/24 1 pm

https://www.unionleader.com/news/health/coronavirus/file-fresh-unemployment-claims-in-two-days/article_91a46d65-3449-589e-af2d-d55ee017fe33.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/19/coronavirus-drives-up-unemployment-claims-137067

https://kvia.com/news/new-mexico/2020/03/21/coronavirus-layoffs-spark-surge-in-new-mexico-jobless-claims/

https://www.10tv.com/article/unemployment-claims-ohio-skyrocket-grocery-stores-seek-helping-hands-2020-mar

https://www.tulsaworld.com/news/state-and-regional/state-unemployment-claims-have-tripled-from-a-week-ago-billion/article_9a915f38-cf3e-55fe-8774-e9cc4e9517f3.html

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/20/politics/state-unemployment-benefits-coronavirus/index.html

https://www.erienewsnow.com/story/41924656/pa-first-time-unemployment-compensation-claims-soar

https://www.postandcourier.com/health/covid19/sc-unemployment-claims-skyrocket-by-percent-with-job-losses-caused/article_b166e166-69fe-11ea-9890-fb73cf7c7c3a.html

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/business/economy/article/As-Texans-flood-state-with-unemployment-apps-15147183.php

https://www.wtvr.com/news/coronavirus/virginia-unemployment-claims-spike-due-to-covid-19-we-want-everyone-to-apply

https://www.bizjournals.com/milwaukee/news/2020/03/21/state-unemployment-insurance-claims-increase.html

https://www.timeswv.com/covid-19/workforce-west-virginia-helping-unemployed-file-for-benefits/article_18a8de4e-6ba6-11ea-a7c3-e7fd275c60bd.html

week = WeekdayRate X

Assume weekday/weekend ratio

weekend/weekday

Share of 4WkClaims accounted for by states with reports

National assuming states missing at random