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Election YearsKPKClassification under the definition of the modelNotes
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Variable # 1Variable # 2
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Votes% by which the winner is ahead of the second scorer edge over the vote % of number 2
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VOTE SCORE OF TOP TWO CONTESTANTS
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 WINNER’S EDGE
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197048%3%Multi-polar
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197786%11%Bi-polar
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198850%4%Multi-polar
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199047%3%Multi-polar
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199341%11%Multi-polar
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199762%7%Multi-polar
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200259%25%Uni-polarMMA contested as an alliance of Religious Parties Cluster
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200841%6%Multi-polar
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201346%12%Multi-polar
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201855%19%Mild Uni-polar
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AVERAGE54%10%The typical behavior of the province generally returns to Bi-polar contests
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(±50%),
Winner’s edge over the runner up is LOW by the model’s definition if the difference between the two is
This case of being LOW on Variable # 1 and LOW on Variable #2. Hence the case is MULTI-POLAR according to the definition of the model.
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Votes score is HIGH by the model’s definition if the electoral outcome falls in the range of
10% (±5%), that is broadly between 5%-15%.
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75% (±10%), that is broadly between 65%-85% +.
Any figure higher than that is treated as HIGH.
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Any figure lower than this is treated as low
Any exceptions have been marked in red and can be interpreted by a domain expert
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Any exceptions have been marked in red and can be interpreted by a domain expert
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