| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ||||||||||||
2 | Full Projections | District Characteristics | ||||||||||
3 | Our full projections for all 435 seats depend on the nature of the year. Answer the question below to generate full projections. | Republican | Democrat | Districts | Seats | Two-Party Competitive | ||||||
4 | Strongly Partisan Seats | 9 | 355 | Five winner districts | 44 | 220 | 63.6% | |||||
5 | Four winner districts | 9 | 36 | 55.6% | ||||||||
6 | How much will the election favor | Lean Seats | 23 | 12 | Three winner districts | 54 | 162 | 44.4% | ||||
7 | Republicans? | Two winner districts | 5 | 10 | 20.0% | |||||||
8 | 0.19 | Swing Seats | 12 | 24 | Single winner districts | 7 | 7 | 0.0% | ||||
9 | Default is 50.0% | Total | 44 | 391 | Total | 119 | 435 | 48.7% of districts, including 53.8% of seats | ||||
10 | States electing statewide | 24 states | 65 seats | |||||||||
11 | States electing from multi-winner districts | 26 states | 370 seats | |||||||||
12 | ||||||||||||
13 | Full Projections and Data, District-by-District | |||||||||||
14 | District | Seats | Partisanship | Two-Party Competition | Full Projections | Seat Breakdown | ||||||
15 | Alabama-A | 4 | R + 12.6% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 68.4% 1 Republican with 31.6% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | ||
16 | Alabama-B | 3 | R + 13.3% | All projected | 2 Democrats with 67.7% 1 Republican with 32.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |||
17 | Alaska-AL | 1 | R + 14.2% | All projected | 1 Democrat with 66.8% | Strong D | 0 | |||||
18 | Arizona-A | 3 | R + 9.0% | Lean | 2 Democrats with 72.0% 1 Republican with 28.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 3 | |||
19 | Arizona-B | 3 | R + 7.2% | Swing | 2 Democrats with 73.8% 1 Republican with 26.2% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
20 | Arizona-C | 3 | R + 3.5% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 77.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
21 | Arkansas-AL | 4 | R + 14.0% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 67.0% 1 Republican with 33.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | ||
22 | California-A | 5 | R + 2.2% | Lean | 4 Democrats with 78.8% 1 Republican with 21.2% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 5 | |
23 | California-B | 5 | D + 4.5% | Swing | 5 Democrats with 85.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 5 | |
24 | California-C | 5 | D + 15.3% | All projected | 5 Democrats with 96.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
25 | California-D | 5 | D + 7.4% | Lean | 5 Democrats with 88.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 5 | |
26 | California-E | 5 | D + 1.1% | Swing | 4 Democrats with 82.1% 1 Republican with 17.9% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 5 | |
27 | California-F | 5 | D + 20.4% | All projected | 6 Democrats with 101.4%-1 Republicans with -1.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
28 | California-G | 5 | D + 19.3% | All projected | 6 Democrats with 100.3%-1 Republicans with -0.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
29 | California-H | 5 | D + 27.2% | All projected | 6 Democrats with 108.2%-1 Republicans with -8.2% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
30 | California-I | 5 | R + 2.5% | Lean | 4 Democrats with 78.5% 1 Republican with 21.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 5 | |
31 | California-J | 5 | D + 10.8% | All projected | 5 Democrats with 91.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
32 | California-K | 3 | D + 1.8% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 82.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
33 | Colorado-A | 4 | D + 2.0% | Swing | 4 Democrats with 83.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 4 | ||
34 | Colorado-B | 3 | R + 0.6% | Lean | 3 Democrats with 80.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 3 | |||
35 | Connecticut-AL | 5 | D + 6.8% | Lean | 5 Democrats with 87.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 5 | |
36 | Delaware-AL | 1 | D + 7.5% | All projected | 1 Democrat with 88.5% | Strong D | 0 | |||||
37 | Florida-A | 5 | D + 7.4% | Lean | 5 Democrats with 88.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 5 | |
38 | Florida-B | 5 | D + 6.1% | Lean | 5 Democrats with 87.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 5 | |
39 | Florida-C | 5 | R + 5.3% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 75.7% 1 Republican with 24.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |
40 | Florida-D | 3 | R + 6.0% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 75.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
41 | Florida-E | 3 | R + 7.5% | Swing | 2 Democrats with 73.5% 1 Republican with 26.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
42 | Florida-F | 3 | R + 3.6% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 77.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
43 | Florida-G | 3 | R + 3.8% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 77.2% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
44 | Georgia-A | 5 | R + 7.4% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 73.6% 1 Republican with 26.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |
45 | Georgia-B | 3 | D + 12.0% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 93.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
46 | Georgia-C | 3 | R + 6.9% | Swing | 2 Democrats with 74.1% 1 Republican with 25.9% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
47 | Georgia-D | 3 | R + 20.2% | All projected | 2 Democrats with 60.8% 1 Republican with 39.2% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |||
48 | Hawaii-AL | 2 | D + 24.8% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 105.8%-1 Republicans with -5.8% | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | ||||
49 | Idaho-AL | 2 | R + 18.2% | Lean | 1 Democrat with 62.8% 1 Republican with 37.2% | Strong D | Lean R | 2 | ||||
50 | Illinois-A | 5 | R + 0.3% | Swing | 4 Democrats with 80.7% 1 Republican with 19.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 5 | |
51 | Illinois-B | 5 | D + 20.2% | All projected | 6 Democrats with 101.2%-1 Republicans with -1.2% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
52 | Illinois-C | 5 | R + 2.8% | Lean | 4 Democrats with 78.2% 1 Republican with 21.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 5 | |
53 | Illinois-D | 3 | D + 14.6% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 95.6% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
54 | Indiana-A | 3 | R + 8.8% | Swing | 2 Democrats with 72.2% 1 Republican with 27.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
55 | Indiana-B | 3 | R + 5.4% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 75.6% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
56 | Indiana-C | 3 | R + 3.9% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 77.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
57 | Iowa-AL | 4 | D + 1.7% | Swing | 4 Democrats with 82.7% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 4 | ||
58 | Kansas-AL | 4 | R + 13.0% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 68.0% 1 Republican with 32.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | ||
59 | Kentucky-A | 3 | R + 10.9% | Lean | 2 Democrats with 70.1% 1 Republican with 29.9% | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 3 | |||
60 | Kentucky-B | 3 | R + 16.0% | All projected | 2 Democrats with 65.0% 1 Republican with 35.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |||
61 | Louisiana-A | 3 | R + 11.0% | Lean | 2 Democrats with 70.0% 1 Republican with 30.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 3 | |||
62 | Louisiana-B | 3 | R + 10.3% | Lean | 2 Democrats with 70.7% 1 Republican with 29.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 3 | |||
63 | Maine-AL | 2 | D + 6.0% | All projected | 2 Democrats with 87.0% | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | ||||
64 | Maryland-A | 5 | D + 13.3% | All projected | 5 Democrats with 94.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
65 | Maryland-B | 3 | D + 8.5% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 89.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
66 | Massachusetts-A | 3 | D + 11.3% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 92.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
67 | Massachusetts-B | 3 | D + 9.7% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 90.7% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
68 | Massachusetts-C | 3 | D + 8.8% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 89.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
69 | Michigan-A | 5 | R + 0.0% | Swing | 4 Democrats with 81.0% 1 Republican with 19.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 5 | |
70 | Michigan-B | 3 | D + 3.4% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 84.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
71 | Michigan-C | 3 | D + 15.5% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 96.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
72 | Michigan-D | 3 | R + 5.0% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 76.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
73 | Minnesota-A | 5 | D + 6.1% | Lean | 5 Democrats with 87.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 5 | |
74 | Minnesota-B | 3 | R + 4.5% | Swing | 3 Democrats with 76.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 3 | |||
75 | Mississippi-AL | 4 | R + 8.1% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 72.9% 1 Republican with 27.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | ||
76 | Missouri-A | 5 | R + 4.0% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 77.0% 1 Republican with 23.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |
77 | Missouri-B | 3 | R + 9.8% | Lean | 2 Democrats with 71.2% 1 Republican with 28.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 3 | |||
78 | Montana-AL | 1 | R + 9.0% | All projected | 1 Democrat with 72.0% | Strong D | 0 | |||||
79 | Nebraska-AL | 3 | R + 12.7% | All projected | 2 Democrats with 68.3% 1 Republican with 31.7% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |||
80 | Nevada-AL | 4 | D + 1.5% | Swing | 4 Democrats with 82.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 4 | ||
81 | New Hampshire-AL | 2 | D + 0.9% | All projected | 2 Democrats with 81.9% | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | ||||
82 | New Jersey-A | 3 | D + 12.0% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 93.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
83 | New Jersey-B | 3 | D + 5.1% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 86.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
84 | New Jersey-C | 3 | D + 5.4% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 86.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
85 | New Jersey-D | 3 | D + 6.4% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 87.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
86 | New Mexico-AL | 3 | D + 3.4% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 84.4% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
87 | New York-A | 5 | D + 32.0% | All projected | 6 Democrats with 113.0%-1 Republicans with -13.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |
88 | New York-B | 5 | D + 8.1% | Lean | 5 Democrats with 89.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean D | 5 | |
89 | New York-C | 5 | D + 3.1% | Swing | 5 Democrats with 84.1% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 5 | |
90 | New York-D | 3 | D + 1.8% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 82.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
91 | New York-E | 3 | D + 22.9% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 103.9%-1 Republicans with -3.9% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
92 | New York-F | 3 | D + 4.3% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 85.3% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
93 | New York-G | 3 | D + 23.7% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 104.7%-1 Republicans with -4.7% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
94 | North Carolina-A | 5 | R + 5.7% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 75.3% 1 Republican with 24.7% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |
95 | North Carolina-B | 5 | R + 3.8% | All projected | 4 Democrats with 77.2% 1 Republican with 22.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong R | 0 | |
96 | North Carolina-C | 3 | D + 2.0% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 83.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||
97 | North Dakota-AL | 1 | R + 12.0% | All projected | 1 Democrat with 69.0% | Strong D | 0 | |||||
98 | Ohio-A | 5 | D + 4.8% | Swing | 5 Democrats with 85.8% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Swing | 5 | |
99 | Ohio-B | 5 | R + 3.0% | Lean | 4 Democrats with 78.0% 1 Republican with 22.0% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | Lean R | 5 | |
100 | Ohio-C | 3 | D + 3.5% | All projected | 3 Democrats with 84.5% | Strong D | Strong D | Strong D | 0 | |||