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1
Badger State Battleground Poll Initial Tracking Results
2
Description: The Badger State Battleground Poll was conducted by Big Data Poll and interviewed 897 likely voters in Wisconsin via online survey panel from October 24 to October 29, 2020. The sampling error is ± 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.
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4
5
6
GenderAgeRaceRegionEducationAreaNationalityEmploymentUnionMaritalIncome
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TotalMaleFemaleTotal18 - 2930 - 4445 - 6465+TotalWhite / CaucasianBlack or African AmericanHispanicAsian or other raceTotalMilwaukeeSoutheastSouthwestNortheastNorthwestTotalHS / GED / Less
Some / Associate
UndergradGraduateTotalUrbanSuburbanRuralTotalDanishDutchEnglishFrenchGermanIrishItalianNon-whiteNorwegianOtherPolishScotch-IrishScottishSwedishTotalEmployed, working full timeEmployed, working part timeUnemployed, but lookingUnemployed, but NOT lookingStudentDisabledRetiredTotalYesNoTotalMarried WidowedSeparatedDivorcedSingle / NeverTotalUnder $30,000$30,000 - $49,999$50,000 - $99,999
$100,000 - $199,999
$200,000 or more
8
If the U.S. presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?
9
Presidential Voting Preference
10
Sample Size89744045789713520637717989778963271889713524220616115289717931426913589724936828089791863938672452781728199188973691477440165619689712777089751243169523189720620430415924
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Joe Biden and Kamala Harris (Democratic)
12
Count4321902424327610017086432360451115432819612668624327515012384432141170121432510386165351923303836671443215365501513361004326536743221120444152432122831417116
13
Column %48.2%43.3%52.8%48.2%56.3%48.6%45.1%47.9%48.2%45.7%72.5%40.6%85.0%48.2%59.8%39.6%60.9%42.0%40.8%48.2%41.9%47.9%45.7%62.1%48.2%56.4%46.3%43.3%48.2%55.1%54.2%60.6%71.0%42.9%48.6%42.1%83.8%37.4%52.8%44.5%65.7%80.1%78.8%48.2%41.5%44.1%68.1%38.6%78.9%64.1%51.1%48.2%51.4%47.6%48.2%41.2%47.1%27.4%46.6%65.9%48.2%59.3%40.6%46.4%44.4%64.2%
14
Donald Trump and Mike Pence (Republican)
15
Count408221187408498918486408382915240844134737880408971371304440894171143408482021973521245244231440819072192131885408533554082751412416540872104147769
16
Column %45.5%50.3%40.8%45.5%36.3%43.2%48.9%47.8%45.5%48.4%14.2%55.5%9.8%45.5%32.4%55.2%35.2%48.5%52.3%45.5%54.0%43.5%48.4%32.7%45.5%37.5%46.6%51.1%45.5%44.9%45.8%31.8%21.3%51.0%49.2%46.0%8.8%55.9%33.1%52.0%34.3%11.2%21.2%45.5%51.6%49.0%25.2%52.3%21.1%32.9%43.2%45.5%41.6%46.1%45.5%53.8%33.3%71.8%43.5%28.2%45.5%34.8%51.0%48.4%48.0%35.8%
17
Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen (Libertarian)
18
Count251312251131112517710253746625310752531662500219112540000251255102125620251070532561990
19
Column %2.8%3.0%2.7%2.8%1.0%6.1%2.8%0.5%2.8%2.2%11.6%3.8%0.0%2.8%2.0%2.7%1.7%3.9%4.2%2.8%1.5%3.3%2.7%3.8%2.8%1.1%4.5%2.3%2.8%0.0%0.0%3.7%7.6%2.3%0.9%3.1%7.3%6.7%6.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.8%3.2%3.6%6.3%2.6%0.0%3.0%0.5%2.8%4.5%2.6%2.8%2.0%16.1%0.0%5.2%1.4%2.8%3.0%0.6%3.0%5.8%0.0%
20
Someone else / Write-in
21
Count321310113300031001131110311130010100000100031100001303320001311100
22
Column %0.3%0.5%0.2%0.3%0.6%0.2%0.3%0.4%0.3%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.0%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%1.5%0.0%0.2%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.2%0.6%0.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.4%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.5%0.3%0.5%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.0%
23
Undecided
24
Count2913162984116292710129665832941582291298290020141400620102913402009293262914104929515630
25
Column %3.2%2.9%3.5%3.2%5.8%2.0%2.9%3.3%3.2%3.4%1.8%0.0%5.2%3.2%4.8%2.5%2.2%5.1%2.2%3.2%2.1%4.9%2.9%1.4%3.2%4.7%2.4%3.0%3.2%0.0%0.0%2.5%0.0%3.7%0.8%8.8%0.0%0.0%8.1%2.4%0.0%8.7%0.0%3.2%3.5%2.8%0.4%5.7%0.0%0.0%4.8%3.2%2.3%3.4%3.2%2.7%3.4%0.9%4.7%3.8%3.2%2.4%7.5%2.0%1.6%0.0%
26
If the elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, for which party candidate would you vote in your congressional district?
27
Generic Ballot
28
Sample Size89744045789713520637717989778963271889713524220616115289717931426913589724936828089791863938672452781728199188973691477440165619689712777089751243169523189720620430415924
29
Democratic candidate
30
Count416189226416709716386416353406164167110012066594167015012076416134172110416433261653219233237376714416160554413123695416673494162132453913541610384139829
31
Column %46.4%43.1%49.5%46.4%51.9%47.2%43.2%48.0%46.4%44.8%63.9%23.8%88.5%46.4%53.1%41.4%57.9%40.8%38.5%46.4%38.8%47.8%44.5%56.8%46.4%53.8%46.8%39.2%46.4%40.9%19.4%50.2%65.4%42.9%44.1%42.3%85.1%39.3%52.2%45.8%63.1%80.1%75.5%46.4%43.5%37.6%59.6%32.1%73.9%65.0%48.6%46.4%52.9%45.3%46.4%41.6%56.4%28.6%41.0%58.5%46.4%49.8%41.2%45.8%51.2%35.8%
32
Republican candidate
33
Count400208192400508917982400363161914005312065808240092134121524001011611384003142331813618246224232440017372252341786400513494002591710456940080971456314
34
Column %44.6%47.4%41.9%44.6%37.1%43.1%47.4%46.0%44.6%46.0%25.4%72.4%6.2%44.6%39.7%49.7%31.3%49.6%53.6%44.6%51.5%42.6%45.1%39.0%44.6%40.4%43.7%49.4%44.6%36.5%80.6%36.6%34.6%46.9%50.5%40.4%6.2%57.2%31.1%52.5%32.2%19.9%21.2%44.6%47.0%48.7%33.5%58.7%26.1%29.8%44.0%44.6%40.5%45.3%44.6%50.7%39.4%62.5%47.4%29.7%44.6%38.9%47.7%47.8%39.8%59.0%
35
Someone else
36
Count1587153471151041015343411525431528515004031120410001547210011511415500371563340
37
Column %1.7%1.8%1.6%1.7%2.2%1.7%1.9%0.8%1.7%1.3%6.1%3.8%0.0%1.7%2.2%1.6%1.6%2.6%0.5%1.7%1.3%1.6%1.7%2.5%1.7%0.7%2.2%1.8%1.7%0.0%0.0%6.1%0.0%0.7%0.8%2.6%8.7%0.0%5.4%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.7%1.1%4.8%2.5%2.6%0.0%0.0%0.7%1.7%0.9%1.8%1.7%0.9%0.0%0.0%3.3%3.1%1.7%2.7%1.3%1.1%2.4%0.0%
38
Undecided
39
Count66343266121728966623016671819111166152523266132727662040373703800016631133303136675966352182066182016111
40
Column %7.4%7.7%7.0%7.4%8.8%8.0%7.5%5.3%7.4%7.9%4.6%0.0%5.2%7.4%5.0%7.4%9.1%6.9%7.4%7.4%8.4%8.0%8.7%1.7%7.4%5.1%7.2%9.5%7.4%22.5%0.0%7.1%0.0%9.6%4.6%14.7%0.0%3.5%11.3%0.6%4.7%0.0%3.3%7.4%8.4%9.0%4.5%6.6%0.0%5.2%6.6%7.4%5.7%7.6%7.4%6.8%4.2%8.9%8.3%8.7%7.4%8.7%9.9%5.3%6.6%5.3%
41
Thinking about the 2020 U.S. election, which issue would you say is most important to your vote?
42
Most Important Issue
43
Sample Size89744045789713520637717989778963271889713524220616115289717931426913589724936828089791863938672452781728199188973691477440165619689712777089751243169523189720620430415924
44
Economy and Jobs
45
Count3021651363024573137473022731413230241737049683027887100363027812210230238121125312043820294233021426214112195230236266302174104357830259701015714
46
Column %33.6%37.6%29.8%33.6%33.1%35.4%36.4%26.1%33.6%34.6%22.8%46.7%10.4%33.6%30.4%30.1%34.1%30.6%44.5%33.6%43.4%27.8%37.3%26.9%33.6%31.1%33.1%36.6%33.6%28.3%44.8%19.7%16.7%32.5%43.7%43.9%16.0%47.0%27.8%36.1%44.9%21.4%19.2%33.6%38.6%41.7%19.0%27.8%13.3%33.5%26.5%33.6%28.4%34.5%33.6%34.0%23.8%24.2%37.4%33.7%33.6%28.6%34.5%33.4%36.0%56.9%
47
Coronavirus
48
Count2811341472813377105662812432387281427469504528150102795028187113812812826512318710242127234281102293118717762813924128117318330562816154101559
49
Column %31.3%30.4%32.1%31.3%24.8%37.3%27.8%36.6%31.3%30.8%36.2%28.7%39.3%31.3%31.5%30.5%33.5%31.2%29.6%31.3%27.6%32.6%29.3%37.1%31.3%35.0%30.6%28.8%31.3%27.9%46.9%40.9%55.2%31.8%24.5%15.2%37.8%30.1%29.5%33.5%26.1%28.6%24.8%31.3%27.7%19.8%42.3%46.5%41.6%29.9%39.0%31.3%31.0%31.3%31.3%33.9%41.7%20.4%31.7%24.2%31.3%29.7%26.5%33.4%34.8%35.9%
50
Policing, Crime and Safety
51
Count58243458782518585540058101910127588231795818221958216133120254000582115610114586535837262135813152180
52
Column %6.5%5.5%7.5%6.5%4.9%4.1%6.6%10.3%6.5%6.9%5.7%0.0%1.5%6.5%7.7%7.7%4.9%7.3%4.8%6.5%4.7%7.4%6.4%7.0%6.5%7.1%6.0%6.6%6.5%26.3%7.3%9.6%9.7%8.6%1.6%4.4%0.0%2.7%7.5%4.6%0.0%0.0%1.8%6.5%5.6%10.3%8.1%1.8%2.5%2.5%7.1%6.5%4.4%6.8%6.5%7.2%3.6%35.8%1.6%5.5%6.5%6.4%7.6%7.0%5.3%0.0%
53
Environment / Climate Change
54
Count30141730511953030000304711453011631030810123000101830021301030115313443042730150041130751071
55
Column %3.4%3.1%3.7%3.4%4.0%5.5%2.3%2.8%3.4%3.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.4%3.2%2.9%5.1%2.3%3.3%3.4%0.8%5.0%1.3%7.2%3.4%3.2%2.7%4.4%3.4%5.0%0.0%2.4%0.0%4.6%4.2%0.0%0.0%2.3%1.9%3.3%5.3%15.7%0.0%3.4%3.1%3.3%4.5%3.1%16.2%6.3%1.8%3.4%2.8%3.5%3.4%2.9%0.0%0.0%4.5%5.0%3.4%3.6%2.6%3.1%4.5%4.2%
56
Healthcare
57
Count13457771342325642313411611701342441282715134265142151343059461340010152147571881281344820128211341343410013472831437134413539200
58
Column %15.0%13.0%16.9%15.0%16.8%11.9%17.0%13.0%15.0%14.7%18.1%24.6%0.9%15.0%17.6%17.0%13.5%16.9%9.5%15.0%14.6%16.4%15.5%11.1%15.0%12.0%16.0%16.3%15.0%0.0%1.0%16.5%13.7%13.6%19.1%16.4%18.9%8.3%25.5%9.5%13.5%25.3%44.5%15.0%13.1%13.5%16.7%18.9%12.3%19.4%17.2%15.0%26.9%13.0%15.0%14.1%18.2%19.6%14.4%16.2%15.0%20.0%17.1%12.7%12.4%0.0%
59
Immigration
60
Count1614216207616151001635333163112016566160010100013020001672100071611516510371645610
61
Column %1.8%3.1%0.5%1.8%1.8%0.0%1.9%3.6%1.8%1.9%1.3%0.0%0.0%1.8%1.9%1.9%1.3%2.1%1.8%1.8%1.4%3.7%0.7%0.0%1.8%1.9%1.5%2.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.0%2.5%0.0%0.0%3.0%3.3%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.8%1.8%1.1%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%1.8%1.1%1.9%1.8%1.1%1.4%0.0%2.8%3.1%1.8%1.8%2.2%2.1%0.8%0.0%
62
Education
63
Count1349134431131200113164121313451328213002053010000011391000211321013720041335320
64
Column %1.4%0.9%1.9%1.4%2.9%1.9%0.9%0.8%1.4%1.5%0.0%0.0%4.4%1.4%0.7%2.4%1.7%0.3%1.1%1.4%0.3%0.9%1.6%3.7%1.4%1.0%2.2%0.8%1.4%0.0%0.0%2.5%4.7%1.4%4.7%0.0%2.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%5.6%1.4%2.4%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.7%0.7%1.4%1.9%1.3%1.4%1.4%3.6%0.0%0.0%1.8%1.4%1.2%2.5%1.0%1.2%0.0%
65
Race Relations
66
Count2613142612383261630726556732675105261014326003041831311102610950210262252693031326104750
67
Column %3.0%2.9%3.0%3.0%9.2%1.6%2.0%1.7%3.0%2.0%5.3%0.0%40.3%3.0%3.5%2.2%3.1%4.4%1.9%3.0%3.7%1.7%3.7%3.4%3.0%3.9%3.7%1.1%3.0%0.0%0.0%5.5%0.0%0.9%1.3%18.4%12.3%1.1%4.5%1.4%10.1%9.1%0.0%3.0%2.7%6.0%6.3%0.0%14.2%1.0%0.0%3.0%1.5%3.2%3.0%1.7%6.0%0.0%2.9%5.4%3.0%5.0%2.2%2.3%3.0%0.0%
68
Supreme Court Appointments
69
Count15871503571510500151632315256215573150000810100600015810000615114151000321534620
70
Column %1.7%1.8%1.6%1.7%0.0%1.6%1.3%3.7%1.7%1.3%7.7%0.0%0.0%1.7%0.9%2.5%1.3%1.0%2.1%1.7%1.2%1.5%2.3%1.3%1.7%2.0%2.0%0.9%1.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.8%0.0%2.2%0.0%0.4%7.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.7%2.2%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.9%1.7%0.5%1.9%1.7%2.0%0.0%0.0%2.7%1.0%1.7%1.3%2.0%2.0%1.2%0.0%
71
Terrorism / National Security
72
Count227142231143221920122473622241053227872210108012422001221051103222220221010292256911
73
Column %2.4%1.7%3.1%2.4%2.5%0.6%3.8%1.4%2.4%2.4%3.0%0.0%3.1%2.4%2.6%2.8%1.5%3.8%1.3%2.4%2.2%3.1%1.8%2.3%2.4%2.8%2.2%2.4%2.4%12.6%0.0%1.2%0.0%2.1%0.0%1.7%6.9%5.2%2.8%2.4%0.0%0.0%4.2%2.4%2.7%3.1%2.0%1.9%0.0%4.7%1.1%2.4%1.5%2.6%2.4%1.9%1.8%0.0%1.9%4.0%2.4%2.4%2.8%3.0%0.7%3.0%
74
Do you support or oppose adding two seats to the U.S. Senate for Washington, D.C. (District of Columbia)?
75
U.S. Senators for D.C.
76
Sample Size89744045789713520637717989778963271889713524220616115289717931426913589724936828089791863938672452781728199188973691477440165619689712777089751243169523189720620430415924
77
Support
78
Count2531341182534769865025321521125253446269285025338817163253949068253310322822812820172134102531063430541657253581952531361433071253604478638
79
Column %28.2%30.5%25.9%28.2%35.2%33.4%23.0%27.7%28.2%27.2%33.6%44.3%26.7%28.2%32.4%25.8%33.6%17.1%32.5%28.2%21.4%25.7%26.3%46.6%28.2%37.7%24.6%24.3%28.2%30.2%54.9%51.1%26.8%21.3%39.3%26.3%29.3%25.2%24.2%26.6%28.1%43.6%55.0%28.2%28.7%23.3%40.1%12.5%27.5%28.8%29.3%28.2%45.5%25.3%28.2%26.5%31.7%15.9%31.2%30.7%28.2%29.1%21.4%25.7%39.3%34.3%
80
Oppose
81
Count3552101443553065179813553292320355409577845935568121126403557316311935564143178301673915344043551595921101188635531323355219157318335568741445712
82
Column %39.5%47.8%31.6%39.5%22.2%31.7%47.4%45.0%39.5%41.7%37.1%8.3%1.5%39.5%29.4%39.4%37.1%52.0%38.8%39.5%37.8%38.7%46.6%29.6%39.5%29.1%44.4%42.4%39.5%65.9%20.5%22.3%34.5%46.2%41.6%35.0%26.7%48.0%21.5%42.2%48.9%0.0%24.3%39.5%43.2%40.3%28.4%24.4%8.0%32.0%44.1%39.5%24.7%42.0%39.5%42.8%33.8%42.9%33.2%35.8%39.5%33.0%36.2%47.5%35.7%47.8%
83
Unsure
84
Count290951952905772112492902461813132905184605044290731127332290831149329004173125141712223925254290104542325102252290382522901571573477290788681404
85
Column %32.3%21.6%42.6%32.3%42.6%34.9%29.6%27.3%32.3%31.1%29.3%47.4%71.8%32.3%38.2%34.8%29.2%31.0%28.7%32.3%40.9%35.6%27.1%23.7%32.3%33.1%31.0%33.3%32.3%3.9%24.6%26.6%38.7%32.5%19.1%38.7%44.1%26.7%54.3%31.3%23.0%56.4%20.7%32.3%28.1%36.4%31.5%63.2%64.5%39.2%26.6%32.3%29.8%32.7%32.3%30.7%34.5%41.2%35.6%33.5%32.3%37.9%42.3%26.8%25.0%18.0%
86
Do you support or oppose increasing the number of justices on the U.S. Supreme Court, which would give the winner of the presidential election more influence over the ideological direction of the Court?
87
Court Packing
88
Sample Size89744045789713520637717989778963271889713524220616115289717931426913589724936828089791863938672452781728199188973691477440165619689712777089751243169523189720620430415924
89
Support
90
Count2541171372545564944025422115117254457065353925446807453254102767625415272105291141920222152541094121126214325437217254127973080254665787394
91
Column %28.3%26.5%29.9%28.3%40.9%31.2%24.9%22.5%28.3%28.0%23.9%39.6%37.6%28.3%33.1%29.0%31.6%21.7%25.3%28.3%25.4%25.6%27.6%39.5%28.3%40.7%20.6%27.2%28.3%8.3%27.7%43.4%26.5%27.2%40.1%25.4%16.7%23.3%28.1%27.4%22.7%10.2%26.3%28.3%29.5%28.1%28.9%29.9%35.5%38.3%22.1%28.3%28.9%28.1%28.3%24.8%20.5%45.5%32.0%34.7%28.3%32.0%28.2%28.7%24.6%15.6%
92
Oppose
93
Count41123617541140821919841138721204114911086858041171149138524118319413441156204195311754420455394111746330145231034115935241125426841814118192142889
94
Column %45.8%53.7%38.3%45.8%29.6%39.7%50.7%54.7%45.8%49.1%34.3%7.1%0.0%45.8%36.4%45.5%41.9%52.8%52.5%45.8%39.7%47.5%51.3%39.0%45.8%33.2%52.8%47.9%45.8%55.1%32.9%32.5%48.9%50.5%43.9%38.3%19.7%53.9%27.7%56.1%55.0%36.5%52.5%45.8%47.2%42.4%40.0%35.8%33.7%40.5%52.4%45.8%46.2%45.7%45.8%49.7%60.1%52.1%43.4%35.0%45.8%39.1%45.2%46.7%54.9%36.1%
95
Unsure
96
Count233871462334060924123318126141123341625541342336384572923365987023337152861216171832132542338643231451250233322012331318023702335954753312
97
Column %25.9%19.8%31.8%25.9%29.5%29.2%24.4%22.7%25.9%22.9%41.9%53.4%62.4%25.9%30.5%25.5%26.5%25.6%22.2%25.9%34.9%26.9%21.1%21.5%25.9%26.1%26.6%24.9%25.9%36.6%39.4%24.1%24.7%22.3%16.0%36.3%63.5%22.8%44.2%16.5%22.3%53.4%21.2%25.9%23.3%29.5%31.1%34.3%30.8%21.2%25.5%25.9%24.8%26.1%25.9%25.5%19.4%2.4%24.6%30.3%25.9%28.9%26.6%24.6%20.5%48.3%
98
How comfortable or uncomfortable would you be with Kamala Harris as President if Joe Biden was elected and could not serve out his term?
99
Harris Administration
100
Sample Size89744045789713520637717989778963271889713524220616115289717931426913589724936828089791863938672452781728199188973691477440165619689712777089751243169523189720620430415924