Final Vote Share Predictions
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Note: If you want to add your own predictions, message me on twitter @kwcollins
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Silver / 538Linzer / VotamaticJackman / PollsterDeSart and HolbrookMeanProvisional ResultsProvisional Results
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StateObama two-party vote share (Implied)Obama two-party vote shareObama two-party vote shareObama two-party vote shareObamaRomneyObama two-party vote shareObamaRomneyObama two-party vote share
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Alabama36.940.338.735.237.838.460.738.738.460.738.7
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Alaska39.337.532.236.341.55543.041.95543.2
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Arizona46.546.246.146.446.343.45544.143.654.844.3
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Arkansas39.237.136.438.737.93760.438.036.960.537.9
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California58.859.858.659.259.159.338.460.759.138.660.5
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Colorado51.351.251.050.150.95146.852.151.246.552.4
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Connecticut57.156.856.857.757.158.340.658.958.540.359.2
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Delaware60.06160.560.558.64059.458.64059.4
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District of Columbia93.691.695.893.791.47.192.891.47.192.8
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Florida50.050.250.149.950.049.849.350.349.949.350.3
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Georgia45.64645.545.545.745.453.446.045.453.446.0
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Hawaii67.065.665.066.666.070.627.871.770.627.871.7
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Idaho32.731.232.029.131.231.865.432.732.664.533.6
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Illinois60.260.259.660.860.257.341.158.257.341.158.2
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Indiana45.644.344.843.144.443.854.344.643.854.344.6
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Iowa51.651.651.451.851.652.146.552.852.146.552.8
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Kansas38.341.139.439.637.959.938.837.86038.7
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Kentucky41.541.540.941.941.437.860.538.537.860.538.5
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Louisiana39.739.738.939.339.439.858.540.540.657.841.3
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Maine Statewide56.556.456.055.956.256.340.358.3
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Maine CD-159.3
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Maine CD-253.5
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Maryland61.561.361.061.961.461.23762.361.736.662.8
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Massachusetts59.76059.762.860.560.937.561.960.837.661.8
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Michigan53.652.753.653.753.453.645.554.153.845.354.3
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Minnesota54.454.254.054.354.252.845.153.952.845.253.9
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Mississippi39.641.84040.543.755.444.143.555.543.9
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Missouri45.945.345.346.145.644.353.945.144.353.945.1
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Montana45.945.346.044.245.44255.143.341.855.343.0
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Nebraska Statewide40.742.542.839.841.437.860.538.537.860.538.5
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Nebraska CD-143.1
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Nebraska CD-247.8
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Nebraska CD-330.0
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Nevada52.352.251.951.852.052.345.753.452.345.753.4
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New Hampshire51.851.651.351.751.65246.752.752.246.452.9
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New Jersey56.156.656.057.156.557.94158.557.941.158.5
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New Mexico54.854.454.454.754.652.94355.252.94355.2
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New York62.863.262.764.663.362.735.963.662.63663.5
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North Carolina49.149.149.247.748.848.450.648.948.450.648.9
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North Dakota42.641.743.040.141.838.958.739.938.958.739.9
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Ohio51.851.651.951.351.650.148.251.050.148.251.0
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Oklahoma33.933.534.535.434.333.268.832.533.266.833.2
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Oregon54.953.653.153.853.853.344.154.754.442.756.0
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Pennsylvania53.052.753.152.952.951.946.852.65246.852.6
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Rhode Island63.063.162.865.263.563.135.264.262.935.464.0
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South Carolina43.544.344.843.344.043.75544.34454.644.6
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South Dakota43.144.844.942.743.939.957.940.839.957.940.8
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Tennessee41.743.344.041.342.63959.539.63959.539.6
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Texas41.441.440.840.741.141.457.242.041.457.242.0
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Utah28.326.726.925.926.924.972.725.524.972.825.5
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Vermont66.970.568.870.769.267.131.268.36731.268.2
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Virginia51.051.151.050.150.850.847.851.550.847.851.5
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Washington56.957.156.557.156.955.242.856.355.242.656.4
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West Virginia41.842.841.539.841.535.562.336.335.562.336.3
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Wisconsin52.852.552.552.652.652.846.153.452.846.153.4
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Wyoming31.33230.131.12869.328.82869.328.8
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Date11/6/201211/6/201211/6/201211/6/201211/7/201211/8/2012
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Time11:15:0011:30:0015:00:0011:30:008:15:0016:30:00
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