APBR Contest 2018-2019

	B	D	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK	AL	AN	AO	AP	AQ	AS	AU	AW	AY	AZ
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2	APBR Prediction Contest 2018-2019																								Through 3/31													https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-nba-predictions/	https://www.basketball-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.html	https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/projections/standings/
3	Team	Current Projection	Rd11490	sndesai1	eminence	Jinxed	RyanRiot	shadow	Cicada	jgoldstein34	Crow	caliban	tarrazu	Andrew Johnson	bbstats	Jrue-Tang Forever	kmedved	Kevin Pelton	ESPN Summer Forecast	ESPN BPI	538	Pinnacle (No Juice)	Pyth + Regression	Average	W	L	PW	PL	MOV	SOS	SRS	ORtg	DRtg	Games Played	Pyth Win %	Expected Remaining Win %	Projection	538 In-Season Projection	Bk-Ref Projection	TeamRankings	Average Projection	Std. Dev

4	ATL	29.2	20.2	23.0	26.0	25.0	25.5	23.1	25.8	27.4	26.0	26.9	25.0	28.1	26.0	21.3	27.2	25.9	22.0	25.2	28.0	20.4	34.0	24.9	28	49	25	52	-5.86	-0.21	-6.07	107.9	113.5	77	33%	33%	29.6	29.0	29.2	29.1	29.2	0.3
5	BOS	48.0	55.2	56.0	57.0	54.0	54.5	56.5	51.9	55.0	55.0	54.4	55.0	52.9	53.7	50.1	55.1	53.2	58.0	55.1	54.0	58.1	46.0	54.7	45	32	49	28	4.30	-0.53	3.77	112.2	107.9	77	63%	64%	48.2	48.0	47.9	48	48.0	0.1
6	BRK	41.0	32.9	31.0	30.0	36.0	33.6	32.2	32.3	32.5	28.0	33.4	34.0	36.0	34.0	31.0	32.7	36.8	32.0	32.9	36.0	31.8	36.0	33.0	39	38	38	39	-0.29	-0.61	-0.90	109.5	109.8	77	49%	49%	41.4	41.0	40.8	40.7	41.0	0.3
7	CHA	37.4	40.8	39.0	39.0	39.0	37.0	36.6	28.3	40.6	45.0	39.4	39.0	37.9	39.4	31.0	38.9	38.3	35.0	35.8	38.0	37.4	41.5	37.8	35	41	34	42	-1.59	-0.18	-1.77	110.9	112.5	76	45%	45%	37.7	37.0	37.5	37.5	37.4	0.3
8	CHI	22.7	19.4	25.0	23.0	25.0	28.4	28.6	20.2	29.9	24.0	24.4	23.0	28.1	27.8	34.0	24.5	28.0	28.0	28.6	27.0	30.0	32.0	26.3	21	56	20	57	-8.27	0.32	-7.95	104.9	113.2	77	26%	26%	22.3	23.0	22.7	22.7	22.7	0.3
9	CLE	20.2	38.6	35.0	34.0	32.0	31.0	31.0	31.4	33.6	36.0	31.3	34.0	32.5	32.1	24.7	27.5	31.0	31.0	31.1	30.0	30.5	42.0	31.9	19	58	18	59	-9.23	0.28	-8.96	107.7	117.2	77	23%	24%	20.2	20.0	20.3	20.3	20.2	0.1
10	DAL	33.0	22.7	32.0	31.0	32.0	31.3	34.7	30.3	33.1	34.0	30.8	35.0	35.0	32.5	24.7	25.0	32.1	33.0	34.7	28.0	35.0	37.0	31.3	30	46	34	42	-1.51	0.55	-0.97	109.3	110.8	76	45%	45%	32.7	33.0	33.3	33.2	33.0	0.3
11	DEN	54.2	50.0	50.0	50.0	50.0	48.8	47.4	47.1	50.5	46.0	47.1	48.0	47.7	49.7	54.5	50.1	50.5	47.0	47.5	50.0	47.6	43.0	49.0	51	25	48	28	4.13	-0.03	4.11	113.1	108.9	76	63%	63%	54.8	54.0	54.1	54.1	54.2	0.4
12	DET	42.0	30.4	39.0	38.0	37.0	39.2	38.6	39.4	41.9	35.0	39.0	42.0	40.7	39.8	38.5	39.0	39.4	38.0	37.4	40.0	38.5	41.0	38.5	39	37	38	38	0.01	-0.26	-0.25	109.2	109.2	76	50%	50%	42.0	42.0	42.1	42.1	42.0	0.1
13	GSW	56.4	73.2	66.0	57.0	64.0	62.0	60.5	68.3	64.1	63.0	62.6	62.0	60.7	63.6	64.9	65.9	58.6	61.0	59.6	63.0	59.2	48.5	63.0	52	24	52	24	6.20	0.05	6.25	116.1	110.0	76	68%	69%	56.1	57.0	56.2	56.3	56.4	0.4
14	HOU	52.4	53.3	57.0	60.0	55.0	56.4	55.6	62.6	55.6	58.0	56.0	55.0	54.6	53.4	63.4	58.1	53.0	57.0	52.8	56.0	56.9	51.0	56.5	49	28	47	30	3.57	0.40	3.97	114.7	111.1	77	61%	61%	52.1	53.0	52.2	52.3	52.4	0.4
15	IND	48.1	43.6	44.0	51.0	44.0	44.9	47.0	51.4	44.8	46.0	46.6	44.0	45.2	45.2	46.4	43.4	45.7	47.0	47.0	43.0	47.8	43.0	45.9	45	32	47	30	3.58	-0.52	3.06	109.9	106.2	77	62%	61%	48.1	48.0	48.1	48.2	48.1	0.1
16	LAC	49.0	40.4	35.0	40.0	36.0	35.8	36.0	36.1	36.0	44.0	40.4	41.0	35.1	36.3	42.3	35.5	35.5	35.0	35.6	33.0	36.1	41.0	37.3	47	31	43	35	1.64	0.03	1.67	112.6	111.0	78	55%	55%	49.2	49.0	49	48.9	49.0	0.1
17	LAL	36.8	47.9	45.0	44.0	46.0	45.3	45.7	41.6	43.5	44.0	43.5	45.0	42.0	44.4	44.3	47.4	41.2	46.0	47.4	48.0	45.6	39.0	44.9	35	42	35	42	-1.47	0.15	-1.32	108.1	109.5	77	46%	46%	37.3	36.0	36.9	36.8	36.8	0.5
18	MEM	32.7	32.0	34.0	32.0	33.0	33.6	33.8	30.0	33.7	34.0	30.2	35.0	34.0	35.0	38.5	33.4	33.1	33.0	34.6	33.0	33.9	33.0	33.5	31	46	32	45	-2.62	0.43	-2.19	105.6	108.3	77	41%	41%	33.1	32.0	32.9	32.8	32.7	0.5
19	MIA	40.4	44.7	41.0	42.0	43.0	41.0	42.7	38.9	40.3	44.0	43.8	44.0	40.8	41.4	38.5	39.9	44.8	44.0	40.9	41.0	42.4	41.5	42.0	38	38	38	38	0.03	-0.41	-0.38	107.6	107.6	76	50%	50%	41.0	40.0	40.3	40.2	40.4	0.4
20	MIL	60.8	55.9	45.0	49.0	49.0	46.0	46.5	46.1	43.5	49.0	52.6	50.0	46.5	45.6	44.3	47.8	45.2	47.0	45.8	47.0	48.4	40.5	47.5	57	20	59	18	9.34	-0.84	8.50	113.8	104.8	77	76%	75%	60.7	61.0	60.7	60.8	60.8	0.1
21	MIN	36.6	58.2	41.0	39.0	44.0	45.7	42.2	51.4	41.3	37.0	39.9	46.0	40.8	49.7	42.3	52.0	49.6	45.0	44.2	45.0	39.4	44.0	44.7	34	42	35	41	-1.14	0.29	-0.85	111.5	112.6	76	47%	47%	36.8	36.0	36.7	36.7	36.6	0.4
22	NOP	33.7	42.3	45.0	51.0	44.0	44.8	45.0	48.2	42.0	45.0	43.6	40.0	46.5	43.8	44.3	44.4	44.1	45.0	44.6	45.0	45.0	42.5	44.7	32	46	36	42	-1.17	0.27	-0.90	111.3	112.4	78	47%	47%	33.9	33.0	34	34.1	33.7	0.5
23	NYK	15.8	20.3	24.0	24.0	25.0	26.4	28.0	29.2	25.8	21.0	24.5	24.0	26.9	25.1	26.3	19.7	30.8	28.0	30.1	23.0	25.3	36.5	25.4	14	62	18	58	-9.37	0.53	-8.84	104.5	113.8	76	23%	24%	15.4	16.0	16	15.9	15.8	0.3
24	OKC	46.9	49.6	49.0	46.0	51.0	49.7	48.0	40.9	48.0	42.0	51.2	42.0	46.9	46.2	46.4	54.2	47.2	49.0	49.3	53.0	47.3	45.5	47.8	44	33	46	31	3.01	0.05	3.06	109.7	106.8	77	59%	59%	47.0	47.0	46.8	46.8	46.9	0.1
25	ORL	40.6	27.3	30.0	27.0	27.0	32.0	30.6	27.2	31.7	26.0	29.6	34.0	35.9	31.0	34.0	32.9	33.6	30.0	32.1	32.0	28.9	34.5	30.6	38	39	39	38	0.05	-0.30	-0.25	108.0	108.0	77	50%	49%	40.5	41.0	40.6	40.5	40.6	0.2
26	PHI	52.8	53.7	54.0	50.0	52.0	52.5	52.0	59.4	52.3	55.0	50.2	49.0	52.0	52.7	50.1	53.7	47.8	52.0	52.7	53.0	51.4	47.0	52.3	49	27	45	31	3.18	-0.29	2.89	112.7	109.6	76	60%	60%	52.6	53.0	52.7	52.8	52.8	0.2
27	PHO	18.6	17.2	24.0	25.0	25.0	26.9	28.5	24.7	26.9	21.0	27.1	21.0	29.5	23.0	24.7	21.6	27.2	27.0	29.5	26.0	29.6	30.0	25.3	17	60	18	59	-9.27	0.79	-8.48	105.5	114.6	77	24%	24%	18.2	19.0	18.5	18.5	18.6	0.3
28	POR	51.5	38.7	40.0	42.0	40.0	40.1	41.7	40.9	39.5	48.0	40.1	42.0	39.7	39.2	31.0	41.5	42.0	43.0	40.7	39.0	41.9	44.5	40.6	48	28	47	29	3.96	0.21	4.17	114.1	110.2	76	62%	61%	51.7	51.0	51.6	51.6	51.5	0.3
29	SAC	40.3	16.2	24.0	27.0	21.0	23.7	25.4	22.4	22.3	18.0	21.3	27.0	25.3	25.6	20.9	18.4	25.4	24.0	26.7	23.0	26.9	32.0	23.2	38	39	37	40	-0.65	0.25	-0.40	110.1	110.7	77	48%	47%	40.3	40.0	40.5	40.3	40.3	0.2
30	SAS	47.0	46.1	42.0	38.0	41.0	40.9	42.6	43.7	37.0	44.0	42.9	40.0	40.0	36.9	43.7	34.7	38.5	44.0	43.1	37.0	41.0	45.0	40.9	44	33	42	35	1.43	0.31	1.74	112.8	111.4	77	54%	54%	46.7	47.0	47.1	47.1	47.0	0.2
31	TOR	57.5	58.6	61.0	60.0	57.0	55.9	55.1	57.9	59.8	57.0	57.0	57.0	52.3	59.6	59.5	59.4	55.1	55.0	52.9	56.0	57.2	50.5	57.2	54	23	52	25	5.86	-0.54	5.32	113.0	107.2	77	68%	68%	57.4	58.0	57.2	57.4	57.5	0.3
32	UTA	50.3	60.2	53.0	54.0	56.0	51.3	49.8	55.2	55.2	57.0	53.7	54.0	49.8	53.1	46.4	56.5	53.4	49.0	48.2	55.0	49.0	47.0	53.0	46	30	50	26	5.00	0.10	5.10	110.5	105.6	76	65%	65%	49.9	51.0	50	50.2	50.3	0.5
33	WAS	34.1	40.4	46.0	44.0	45.0	45.6	44.0	47.1	42.4	48.0	46.9	43.0	46.6	44.3	46.1	49.5	43.6	44.0	43.9	48.0	47.3	42.0	45.3	32	46	33	45	-2.71	-0.27	-2.97	111.1	113.7	78	42%	43%	33.7	34.0	34.2	34.3	34.1	0.3
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35	RMSE	tarrazu	10.00	8.27	7.87	8.03	7.90	7.83	9.31	8.13	8.42	7.40	6.75	7.71	7.89	8.87	8.91	7.83	8.10	7.98	8.31	7.93	8.86	7.69
36	RMSE	tarrazu	22	15	7	12	9	5	21	14	17	2	1	4	8	19	20	6	13	11	16	10	18	3
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38	MAE	tarrazu	7.86	6.79	6.34	6.61	6.48	6.46	7.94	6.49	6.61	6.13	5.73	6.00	6.39	7.26	7.27	6.26	6.76	6.55	6.82	6.50	6.89	6.29
39	MAE	tarrazu	21	16	6	13	9	8	22	10	14	3	1	2	7	19	20	4	15	12	17	11	18	5
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42		Source	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	APBR	http://counting-the-baskets.typepad.com/my-blog/2018/10/plausible-enough-win-projections.html	https://twitter.com/bbstats/status/1052331590263742465	https://twitter.com/SteadyLosing/status/1042597846325899265		http://www.espn.com/nba/insider/story/_/id/24246576/projected-nba-win-totals-playoff-standings-all-30-teams-2018-19	http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/24365036/nba-standings-predictions-espn-summer-forecast	http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/24813839/projecting-best-worst-cases-toughest-stretches-all-30-teams	https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-nba-predictions/	APBR	N/A
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