Potential discontinuities included in AI Impacts investigation

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK	AL	AM	AN	AO	AP	AQ	AR	AS	AT	AU	AV	AW	AX	AY	AZ	BA	BB	BC	BD	BE	BF	BG	BH	BI	BJ	BK	BL
1	Metric	Event name	Description	Year	ta	t0	t1	tl	m0	m1	ml	ma	Nh	Nt	exp	Years of past progress that occurred at once	Weighted (linear) average of exponential and linear discontinuity	Weighted (geometric) average of exponential and linear discontinuity	Scale of discontinuity	Increase during discontinuity	Log increase during discontinuity	Years of past progress/length of trend	Years of past progress that occurred in N years/error looking N years out [add something like this? xxx]	Factor change over extrapolated point	Factor change over last datapoint	Cause: in a few words, our impressions	Cause: large spike in effort on metric? (0-5)	Cause: tech progress? (0-5)	If tech progress cause: fundamentally new approach? (0-5)	Certainty about fundamental: 1 = more certain 0 = less certain	Notes on causes	Evidence that discont. was anticipated?	Clear reason discont. might have been anticipated?	How many years in advance did major governments anticipate this discontinuity? (Our guess)	Was discontinuity anticipated (by us or submittor)	How much did this change the world? (0-10)	Closest relevant sector	How much did it revolutionize that sector? (0-10)	Did it result in a "takeover" of the sector by one faction?	Guess at effort directed at metric (1-5)	Number of discontinuities in a row	Delay since last point (years)	How we heard of it	Type of metric (performance, price, adoption, etc)	Exponential or linear trend?	Clear abrupt change between clear rates of growth?	Growth change coincides with a discont.?	Growth rate before	Growth rate after	At least 5 datapoints before potential discont.?	Clear trend divergence?	Pre-discont: ongoing progress or stagnation?	Pre-discont: progress measured within past 20 years?	Looks intuitively like a clear impressive jump relative to a going trend?	Why not?	Why else not relevant?	Other notes	Large, diverges	Moderate, diverges	Substantial, diverges	Main researcher	Data sheet	Main page	Date published
2	20				1876	999		158				2	16.90	9.86	0.4482758621	41																																			20			17				14	6	20

3	140 character message average speed to cross Atlantic	Columbus's 2nd voyage			1494	999	999	1492.783333	2.72	2.72	3.29	6	2	2	0.51	1,465	1,810.84	1,776.36	large	2.53	0.247	2.97			1.77				0	1					?					1		1								0	0	s	1	no	trend too short	nobody trying		0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
4	140 character message average speed to cross Atlantic	Telegraph			1859	999	1841.622222	1856.625	2.72	10.98	14.15	455	15	12	0.35	2,083	1,425.38	922.64	large	441	1.507	138.87			32.14				5	1					?					4		2								1	1	p	1	yes				1	0	1		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
5	140 character message average speed to cross Atlantic	2nd Telegraph			1867	999	1841.622222	1859	2.72	10.98	454.79	35381	16	13	0.35	1,329	868.19	254.41	large	34926	1.891	78.22			77.80				1	1					?					4		8								1	1	p	1	yes				1	0	1		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
6	Military payload average speed across Atlantic	Columbus's 2nd voyage			1494	999	999	1492.783333	2.72	2.72	3.29	6	2	2	0.51	1,465	1,810.84	1,776.36	large	3	0.247	2.97			1.77				0	1					?					1		1								0	0	s	1	no	trend too short	nobody trying		0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
7	Military payload average speed across Atlantic	Oregon (steamship)			1884	999	1841.622222	1884.263889	2.72	10.98	17.12	19	32	25	0.45	10	8.95	8.88	moderate	1	0.035	0.23			1.08				1	0					?					1		0								1	0	p	1	no	small compared to scale of trend, maybe scale of noise	very small	Does look surprising, just not very big	0	0	0	Rick	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
8	Military payload average speed across Atlantic	WWI Bomber			1919	999	1841.622222	1909.75	2.72	10.98	26.06	106	63	56	0.35	351	263.75	227.06	large	80	0.609	5.16			4.07				4	1					?					3		10								1	1	p	1	yes				1	0	1		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
9	Military payload average speed across Atlantic	Focke-Wulf Fw 200 Condor			1939	999	1919	1937.516667	2.72	106.00	138.37	174	65	2	0.45	19	16.86	16.71	moderate	36	0.100	1.04			1.26				1	0					?					2		1								0	0	p	1	no	few points, not clear trend, since trend changed			0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
10	Military payload average speed across Atlantic	Lockheed Constellation			1946	999	1919.458	1939	2.72	106.00	174	288	66	3	0.35	25	20.40	19.37	moderate	113	0.218	1.29			1.65				1	1					?					2		7								0	0	p	1	no	few points, not clear trend, since trend changed			0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
11	Military payload average speed across Atlantic	ICBM			1958	999	1937.516667	1945.752778	2.72	138.3711344	287.52	10000	64	4	0.2	524	425.17	292.03	large	9712	1.541	63.68			34.78				4	1					?					3		12								0	1	p	1	yes			not a clear trend, but just very big compared to any plausible trend	1	0	1	Rick	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
12	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	Columbus's 2nd voyage			1494	999	999	1492.783333	2.72	2.72	3.29	6	2	2	0.51	1,465	1,810.84	1,776.36	large	2.53	0.247	2.97			1.77				0	1					?					3		1								0	0	s	1	no	trend too short	nobody trying		0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
13	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	Oregon (steamship)			1884	999	1841.622222	1884.263889	2.72	10.98	17.12	19	32	25	0.45	10	8.95	8.88	moderate	1.44	0.035	0.23			1.08				1	0					?					4		0								1	0	p	1	no	small compared to scale of trend, maybe scale of noise	very small	Does look surprising, just not very big	0	0	0	Rick	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
14	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	WWI Bomber			1919	999	1841.622222	1909.75	2.72	10.98	26.06	106	63	56	0.35	351	263.75	227.06	large	80	0.609	5.16			4.07				4	1					1					3		10								1	1	p	1	yes				1	0	1		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
15	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	Focke-Wulf Fw 200 Condor			1939	999	1919	1937.516667	2.72	106.00	138.37	174	65	2	0.45	19	16.86	16.71	moderate	35.71	0.100	1.04			1.26				1	0					0					3		1								0	0	p	1	no	sparse, not clear trend, since trend changed			0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
16	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	Lockheed Constellation			1946	999	1919.458	1939	2.72	106.00	174	288	66	3	0.35	25	20.40	19.37	moderate	113	0.218	1.29			1.65				1	1					0					3		7								0	0	p	1	no	sparse, not clear trend, since trend changed			0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
17	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	Concorde			1974	999	1937.516667	1958.761111	2.72	138.37	486.018252	1035	69	5	0.4	19	10.30	5.78	moderate	549	0.328	0.88			2.13				2.5	0					?					4		15								1	0	p	1	sort of	short trend		surprising, but not huge relative to noise, sparse data, decade gap makes more gradual slope imaginable	0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
18	Passenger average speed in knots to cross Atlantic	SR-71			1975	999	1937.516667	1974	2.72	138.37	1035	1569	70	6	0.4	21	14.98	13.02	moderate	534	0.181	0.57			1.52				1	0					?							1								1	0	p	1	sort of	unclear trend		surprising, but not wildly so, sparse, unclear trend	0	0	0		https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11WV8JUIZeVNWKfggCmHaCEJrtG_YMiOdq18zjfwFUVk/edit?usp=sharing
19	Longest Bridge Span	Chakzam Bridge			1430	-27	-27	1377	105	105	236	449	4	4	0.2	2,230	1,996.28	1,922.42	large	213	0.279	1.59			1.90				3	0												53								0	0		0	sort of	sparse data, very old		very old, unclear that we know what else existed	0	0	0	Michelle	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yPB8sDbWCXzmJwFbcOX6Al2ADip2P-h5ADC-X9MAoNU/edit?usp=sharing
20	Longest Bridge Span	Great Suspension Bridge			1834	-27	1377	1826	105	236	577	889	6	3	0.4	403	325.33	309.88	large	312	0.188	0.90			1.54				1	0												8								0	0		1	no	sparse, somewhat old, unclear trend			0	0	0
21	Longest Bridge Span	Niagara Clifton Bridge			1869	-27	1826	1866	105	577	1,056	1260	10	5	0.4	14	11.90	11.59	moderate	204	0.077	0.35			1.19				1	0												3								1	0		1	no	sparse, unclear trend			0	0	0
22	Longest Bridge Span	George Washington Bridge			1931	-27	1826	1929	105	577	1,850	3501	15	10	0.4	132	100.71	92.41	large	1651	0.277	1.28			1.89				1	0												2								1	1		1	yes			larger than scale of noise and uncertainty in trend	1	0	1
23	Longest Bridge Span	Akashi-Kaikyo Bridge			1998	-27	1826	1981	105	577	4,630	6532	19	14	0.4	56	36.89	26.41	moderate	1902	0.149	0.36			1.41				1	0												17								1	0		1	no	unclear trend, within plausible noise			0	0	0
24	Light intensity	Argon Candle			1943	-424	-424	1943	1.5	1.5	13200.0	600000	4	4	0.9	995	11,418.80	1,585.37	large	586800	1.658	0.42			45.45				4	1												0								0	0		1	no	short or sparse trend		surprising, but not relative to a clear trend	0	0	0
25	Rate of book production (books/century)	Century-scale book production 900			900	600	600	800	1.36E+04	1.36E+04	4.37E+04	202000	3	3	0.55	162	517.59	359.78	large	158300	0.665	0.81			4.62				1	0					0							100								0	0		0	no	short, unclear trend			0	0	0	Asya	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1pgo0QizEMonIo11RvE2ErbyocKHXhV08EyXBYrmWVgk/edit#gid=1417825149, https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ur7KC971u2hUhV-FEYFVhnKvFtyT72Ow5XLjA5ermr4/edit#gid=918335158	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuous-progress-investigation
26	Rate of book production (books/century)	Century-scale book production 1200			1200	600	600	1100	1.36E+04	1.36E+04	2.12E+05	769000	6	6	0.7	135	485.32	265.96	large	557000	0.560	0.27			3.63				1	0					0							100								1	0		0	no	Unclear trend, in that the scale is such that 100 year seem common from the outset			0	0	0
27	Rate of book production (books/century)	Century-scale book production 1300			1300	600	600	1200	1.36E+04	1.36E+04	7.69E+05	1760000	7	7	0.75	23	189.12	53.98	moderate	991000	0.360	0.04			2.29				1	0					0							100								1	0		0	no			somewhat surprising	0	0	0
28	Rate of book production (books/century)	Printing Press			1500	600	600	1400	1.36E+04	1.36E+04	2.75E+06	17600000	9	9	0.9	180	585.88	246.52	large	14850000	0.806	0.22			6.40				4	1					1							100								1	0		0	no			somewhat surprising	0	0	0
29	Rate of book production (books/century)	Century-scale book production 1550			1550	600	600	1500	1.36E+04	1.36E+04	1.76E+07	79000000	10	10	0.9	139	433.96	189.06	large	61400000	0.652	0.15			4.49				1	0					0							50								1	0		0	no				0	0	0
30	Cotton Productivity (lb/worker/day)	Whitney's Gin			1795	-4000	1747	1788	1	32.5	125	333	4	2	0.7	23	41.53	33.88	moderate	208	0.426	0.56			2.66				2.5	1					1							7								0	0		1	no	small, sparse, noisy			0	0	0
31	Altitude Record, manned or unmanned (meters)	Balloon 1784			1784	-350000	-200	1783.919444	25	200	2.70E+03	4000	6	4	0	1,032	1,031.56	1,031.56	large	1300	0.171	0.52			1.48				2	0					?							0								0	0		1	no	sparse, unclear trend			0	0	0
32	Altitude Record, manned or unmanned (meters)	Balloon 1804			1804	-350000	-200	1784	25	200	4000	7280	7	5	0	1,693	1,692.96	1,692.96	large	3280	0.260	0.85			1.82				1	1					?							20								1	0		1	sort of	sparse, unclear trend		surprising	0	0	0
33	Altitude Record, manned or unmanned (meters)	Paris Gun			1918	-350000	1783.919444	1914	25	2.70E+03	1.70E+04	42300	11	6	0.48	227	147.10	120.37	large	25341	0.397	1.75			2.49				1	1					0							4								1	1		1	yes			pretty straight trend, big jump	1	0	1
34	Altitude Record, manned or unmanned (meters)	V2 Rocket 1943			1943	-350000	1783.919444	1918.161111	25	2.70E+03	42300	85000	12	7	0.48	120	67.02	35.45	large	42700	0.303	0.90			2.01				2.5	0					?							25								1	0		0	no	sparse, unclear trend, large jump just prior		just had a huge jump	0	0	0
35	Altitude Record, manned or unmanned (meters)	V2 Rocket 1944			1944	-350000	1914	1942.758333	25	1.70E+04	85000	174000	13	3	0.8	11	16.04	14.01	moderate	89000	0.311	0.38			2.05				0.5	1					?							2								0	0		1	sort of	unclear trend			0	0	0
36	Altitude Record, manned or unmanned (meters)	Pellets (one day of travel)			1958	-350000	1942.758333	1957.641667	25	8.50E+04	1.34E+06	864000000	18	6	1	35	34.76	34.76	moderate	862660000	2.809	2.34			644.78				2.5	1					0							0								1	1		1	yes			clear trend, even on log scale looks crazy	0	1	1
37	Group index of light	Coherent Population Trapping			1995	1400	1962	1994.81	2.4	2.4	1.65E+02	3000	5	3	0.99	22	27.44	22.67	moderate	2835	1.260	0.67			18.18				3	1					?							1								0	0		1	no	short			0	0	0	Rick	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rtAbkBsR5Jo-f7zvloi4fepxErZKpMOVoVe495F1TfM/edit?usp=sharing
38	Group index of light	Electromagnetically Induced Transparency			1999	1400	1962	1995.36	2.4	2.4	3.00E+03	17600000	6	4	0.99	37	1,994.90	40.26	moderate	17597000	3.768	1.11			5866.67				2.5	1					?							4								0	0		1	no	short			0	0	0
39	"Relative effectiveness" of explosive	Early nuclear weapons			1945	800	800	1942	0.5	0.5	1.85	4500	5	5	0.6	6,802	1,526,120.94	85,456.46	large	4498	3.386	5.96			2432.43				5	1					1							3								1	1		1	yes				1	0	1	Katja	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JZh0wfCW-DrJjYLNgGW_TML-gmq1xZ44PfsfSCP5nlo/edit#gid=0	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuity-from-nuclear-weapons/
40	Maximum temperature for superconduction	NbN			1941	1910.82	1910.82	1929.94	4.15	4.15	9.26	16	3	3	0.2	14	11.59	9.33	moderate	7	0.238	0.73			1.73				2	0					0							11								0	0		1	no	short, unclear			0	0	0	Katja	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JZh0wfCW-DrJjYLNgGW_TML-gmq1xZ44PfsfSCP5nlo/edit#gid=0	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuous-progress-investigation
41	Maximum temperature for superconduction	LaBaCuO4			1986	1910.82	1910.82	1973.33	4.15	4.15	23.2	35	6	6	0.2	26	21.29	15.98	moderate	12	0.179	0.42			1.51				3.5	1					0							13								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
42	Maximum temperature for superconduction	YBa2Cu3O7			1987	1910.82	1910.82	1986.00	4.15	4.15	35	93	7	7	0.35	140	102.94	84.97	large	58	0.424	1.87			2.66				2	0					1							1								1	1		1	yes				1	0	1
43	Maximum temperature for superconduction	BiCaSrCu2O9			1988	1910.82	1910.82	1987.00	4.15	4.15	93	105	8	8	0.35	10	7.18	5.99	moderate	12	0.053	0.13			1.13				2	0					?							1								1	0		1	no			second after a big jump	0	0	0
44	Max airspeed (mph)	Fairey Delta 2			1956	1903.96	1903.96	1955.64	6.82	6.82	822.1	1132	60	60	0.1	19	17.47	15.81	moderate	310	0.139	0.37			1.38				1	0					?							1								1	1		1	yes				0	1	1	Katja	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1m7xLC684oPjwnjLGOskV0LyO_JOeQh7G23f55ihPva4/edit#gid=0	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuous-progress-investigation
45	Tallest ever structure height	Pyramid of Djoser			-2650	-10000	-10000	-4000	5	5	13	63	3	3	1	8,510	8,509.96	8,509.96	large	50	0.682	1.42			4.81				1	0					?							1350								0	1		0	no	old, sparse			1	0	1
46	Tallest ever structure height	Meidum Pyramid			-2610	-10000	-10000	-2650	5	5	62.5	92	4	4	1	1,074	1,074.00	1,074.00	large	29	0.166	0.15			1.47				1	0					?							40								0	0		0	no	old, sparse			0	0	0
47	Tallest ever structure height	Washington Monument			1884	-10000	-10000	1311	5	5	160	169	9	9	0	106	105.66	105.66	large	9	0.025	0.01			1.06				1	0					?							573								1	0		0	no	no ongoing progress			0	0	0
48	Tallest ever structure height	Eiffel Tower			1889	-10000	-10000	1884	5	5	169.3	300	10	10	0	9,449	9,448.67	9,448.67	large	131	0.248	0.80			1.77				1	0												5								1	0		1	no	little ongoing progress			0	0	0
49	Tallest ever structure height	Empire State Building			1931	-10000	1884	1930.41	5	169.3	318.9	381	12	3	0	19	18.68	18.68	moderate	62	0.077	0.40			1.19				1	0												1								0	0		1	no	unclear trend			0	0	0
50	Tallest ever structure height	KVLY-TV mast			1963	-10000	1884	1962	5	169.3	533	629	19	10	0	20	19.55	19.55	moderate	96	0.072	0.25			1.18				1	0												1								1	0		1	no	surprising, but small			0	0	0
51	Tallest ever freestanding structure height	Pyramid of Djoser			-2650	-10000	-10000	-4000	5	5	13	63	3	3	1	8,510	8,509.96	8,509.96	large	50	0.682	1.42			4.81				1	0												1350								0	1		0	no	old, sparse			1	0	1	Beth, Katja	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cnvlMpQsLye0Z0m98vMXN7k4nryxvoN3L1_aH9xho4I/edit#gid=175617501	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuity-from-the-eiffel-tower/
52	Tallest ever freestanding structure height	Meidum Pyramid			-2610	-10000	-10000	-2650	5	5	62.5	92	4	4	1	1,074	1,074.00	1,074.00	large	29	0.166	0.15			1.47				1	0												40								0	0		0	no	old, sparse			0	0	0
53	Tallest ever freestanding structure height	Washington Monument			1884	-10000	-10000	1311	5	5	160	169	9	9	0	106	105.66	105.66	large	9	0.025	0.01			1.06				1	0												573								1	0		0	no	no ongoing progress			0	0	0
54	Tallest ever freestanding structure height	Eiffel Tower			1889	-10000	-10000	1884	5	5	169.3	300	10	10	0	9,449	9,448.67	9,448.67	large	131	0.248	0.80			1.77				1	0												5								1	0		1	no	little ongoing progress			0	0	0
55	Tallest ever freestanding structure height	Empire State Building			1931	-10000	1884	1930.41	5	169.3	318.9	381	12	3	0	19	18.68	18.68	moderate	62	0.077	0.40			1.19				1	0												1								0	0		1	no	unclear trend			0	0	0
56	Tallest ever freestanding structure height	Burj Khalifa			2009	-10000	1884	1975	5	169.3	553	830	16	7	0	32	31.65	31.65	moderate	277	0.176	0.35			1.50				1	0												34								1	0		0	no	no recent progress			0	0	0
57	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Pyramid of Djoser			-2650	-10000	-10000	-4000	5	5	13	63	3	3	1	8,510	8,509.96	8,509.96	large	50	0.682	1.42			4.81				1	0												1350								0	1		0	no	old, sparse			1	0	1	Beth, Katja	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cnvlMpQsLye0Z0m98vMXN7k4nryxvoN3L1_aH9xho4I/edit#gid=175617501	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuity-from-the-eiffel-tower/
58	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Meidum Pyramid			-2610	-10000	-10000	-2650	5	5	62.5	92	4	4	1	1,074	1,074.00	1,074.00	large	29	0.166	0.15			1.47				1	0												40								0	0		0	no	old, sparse			0	0	0
59	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Beauvais Cathedral			1569	-10000	-10000	1549	5	5	151	153	10	10	0	138	138.21	138.21	large	2	0.006	0.01			1.01				1	0												20								1	0		0	no	negative progress			0	0	0
60	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	St Nikolai			1874	-10000	-10000	1647	5	5	142	147	13	13	0	224	223.58	223.58	large	5	0.016	0.02			1.04				1	0												227								1	0		0	no	sparse recent progress			0	0	0
61	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Rouen Cathedral			1876	-10000	-10000	1874	5	5	147.3	151	14	14	0	307	306.74	306.74	large	4	0.011	0.03			1.03				1	0												2								1	0		1	no	sparse recent progress			0	0	0
62	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Eiffel Tower			1889	-10000	1874	1884	5	147.3	169.3	300	17	4	0	54	54.41	54.41	moderate	131	0.248	5.44			1.77				1	0												5								0	1		1	yes			recent trend was only four points, so a bit questionable	0	1	1
63	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Empire State Building			1931	-10000	1874	1930	5	147.3	318.9	381	19	6	0	19	19.27	19.27	moderate	62	0.077	0.34			1.19				1	0												1								1	0		1	no	unclear trend			0	0	0
64	Tallest existing freestanding structure height	Burj Khalifa			2009	-10000	1874	1975	5	147.3	553	830	23	10	0	35	34.91	34.91	moderate	277	0.176	0.35			1.50				1	0												34								1	0		0	no	no recent progress			0	0	0
65	Tallest ever building heights	Singer Building			1908	1221	1221	1889	140	140	167.5	187	3	3	1	383	382.61	382.61	large	19	0.047	0.57			1.11				1	0												19								0	0		1	no	little recent progress			0	0	0	Beth, Katja	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cnvlMpQsLye0Z0m98vMXN7k4nryxvoN3L1_aH9xho4I/edit#gid=175617501	https://aiimpacts.org/discontinuity-from-the-burj-khalifa/
66	Tallest ever building heights	Metropolitan Life Tower			1909	1221	1221	1908	140	140	186.57	213	4	4	1	320	319.99	319.99	large	27	0.058	0.47			1.14				1	0												1								0	0		1	no	little recent progress			0	0	0
67	Tallest ever building heights	Empire State Building			1931	1221	1908	1930.408333	140	186.57	318.9	381	8	5	0	10	9.64	9.64	moderate	62	0.077	0.43			1.19				1	0												1								1	0		1	no	sparse, unclear trend			0	0	0
68	Tallest ever building heights	Taipei 101			2004	1221	1908	1998	140	186.57	451.9	509	12	9	0	13	13.44	13.44	moderate	57	0.052	0.15			1.13				1	0												6								1	0		1	no	unclear trend			0	0	0
69	Tallest ever building heights	Burj Khalifa			2009	1221	1908	2004	140	186.57	509.2	828	13	10	0	90	89.86	89.86	moderate	319	0.211	0.94			1.63				1	0												5								1	1		1	yes			trend not super clear, but big jump	0	1	1
70	Ship size (BOM, assuming exponential growth)	Great Eastern			1858	1637	1637	1855	1522	1522	3853	22990	19	19	1	416			large	19137	0.776	1.91			5.97				1.5	0												3								1	1	p	1	yes				1	0	1
71	Ship size (displacement, assuming exponential growth)	Great Eastern			1858	1637	1637	1855	2500	2500	6,065	32160	14	14	1	407			large	26095	0.724	1.87			5.30				1.5	0												3								1	1	p	1	yes				1	0	1
72	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Royal Sovereign			1701	1637	1637	1682	1522	1522	1739	1883	2	2	0.49	11	9.39	9.27	moderate	144	0.035	0.24			1.08				1	0	Iron hull instead of ironclad wooden hull seems perhaps relevant, though they [?] say that steam power was what led to the discontinuity											19								0	0		1	no				0	0	0	Daniel	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iUTwqlafTPd74MEG8w9rHyTYFKLwg2MsBI4-I8bC5Us/edit?usp=sharing
73	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Royal George			1756	1637	1637	1737	1522	1522	1921	2047	6	6	0.48	13	10.52	10.30	moderate	126	0.028	0.13			1.07				1	0												19								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
74	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Brittania			1762	1637	1637	1756	1522	1522	2047	2116	7	7	0.48	10	8.52	8.44	moderate	69	0.014	0.08			1.03				1	0												6								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
75	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Ville de Paris			1795	1637	1637	1786	1522	1522	2175	2351	10	10	0.48	31	27.47	27.20	moderate	176	0.034	0.21			1.08				1	0												9								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
76	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Hibernia			1804	1637	1637	1795	1522	1522	2351	2530	11	11	0.48	25	21.54	21.21	moderate	179	0.032	0.16			1.08				1	0												9								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
77	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Queen			1839	1637	1637	1832	1522	1522	2694	3104	16	16	0.55	41	50.31	49.35	moderate	410	0.062	0.21			1.15				1	0												7								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
78	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Duke of Wellington			1852	1637	1637	1839	1522	1522	3104	3759	17	17	0.6	41	53.01	51.17	moderate	655	0.083	0.20			1.21				1	0												13								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
79	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Victoria			1859	1637	1637	1855	1522	1522	3853	4116	19	19	0.65	11	14.68	14.10	moderate	263	0.029	0.05			1.07				1	0												4								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
80	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Warrior			1860	1637	1637	1860	1522	1522	4236	6039	21	21	0.85	77	87.89	85.18	moderate	1803	0.154	0.35			1.43				1	0												0								1	1	p	1	yes			but small	0	1	1
81	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Minotaur			1863	1637	1637	1863	1522	1522	6121	6643	23	23	0.9	13	14.53	14.19	moderate	522	0.036	0.06			1.09				1	0												0								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
82	Royal Navy ship tonnage (builders old measurement)	Inflexible			1876	1637	1637	1863	1522	1522	6,643	8946	24	24	1	33	32.65	32.65	moderate	2303	0.129	0.14			1.35				1	0												13								1	0	p	1	no				0	0	0
83	Royal Navy ship displacement	Victory			1765	1637	1637	1762	2500	2500	3500	3600	5	5	0.45	10	8.58	8.52	moderate	100	0.012	0.08			1.03				1	0												3								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
84	Royal Navy ship displacement	Hibernia			1804	1637	1637	1795	2500	2500	3900	4200	8	8	0.6	17	20.34	20.02	moderate	300	0.032	0.11			1.08				1	0												9								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
85	Royal Navy ship displacement	Queen			1839	1637	1637	1832	2500	2500	4500	5100	11	11	0.6	35	41.31	40.51	moderate	600	0.054	0.18			1.13				1	0												7								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
86	Royal Navy ship displacement	Duke of Wellington			1852	1637	1637	1839	2500	2500	5100	5829	12	12	0.65	25	31.43	30.27	moderate	729	0.058	0.12			1.14				1	0												13								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
87	Royal Navy ship displacement	Howe			1860	1637	1637	1855	2500	2500	6065	7000	14	14	0.75	30	35.74	34.68	moderate	935	0.062	0.14			1.15				1	0												5								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
88	Royal Navy ship displacement	Warrior			1860	1637	1637	1860	2500	2500	7000	9180	15	15	0.8	59	68.58	66.33	moderate	2180	0.118	0.26			1.31				1	0												0								1	1		1	yes			but small	0	1	1
89	Royal Navy ship displacement	Minotaur			1863	1637	1637	1860	2500	2500	9180	10690	16	16	0.9	23	25.54	24.83	moderate	1510	0.066	0.10			1.16				1	0												3								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
90	Royal Navy ship displacement	Inflexible			1876	1637	1637	1875	2500	2500	10820	11880	18	18	0.9	14	15.70	15.25	moderate	1060	0.041	0.06			1.10				1	0												1								1	0		1	no				0	0	0
91
92
93
94	Discontinuous events:
95	Unique total	63																	Total numbers																																							10	5	15
96	Unique large	29																Large	39
97	Unique moderate	35																Moderate	49
98		64																Total	88
99
100