VA Legislature Priority Races 2019
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VA House of DelegatesDist.D- Candidate *=IncumbentR-Opponent *=IncumbentVideo2017 D/R **Old DistrictNortham/ Gillespie **Old DistrictEvery District LDIDem Cash on Hand 3/31/19R Cash on Hand 3/31/19Dem Cash Raised 1st QuarterR Cash Raised 1st QuarterCommentaryLuria Margin 2018
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Priority Now27Larry BarnettRoxann Robinson*2017 Video50/5051/48-2$73.1K$112.5K$74.4K$11.5KLarry only lost in 2017 by 128 votes, and is now experienced and well prepared in this increasingly blue suburban Richmond district. Early money is pivotal.
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28Josh ColeThomas*/Milde2017 Video50/5051/48-1$67.7K$52.4/$2.2K$49.7K$78.2K/$3.5KJosh suprised experts losing this Stafford Co+ district in 2017 by only 73 votes. R's have primary.
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83Nancy GuyChris Stolle*43/57**50/48**6$30.9K$67.8K$32.4K$29.0KRedistricting suggests 12.4% Dem shift - VA Beach, Norfolk8.99
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85Alex AskewRocky Holcomb51/49**53/45**1$2.7K$33.3K$2.8K$36.4KIncumbent Turpin running for Senate. Redistricting suggests 2.7% Dem shift, VA Beach district.9
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Also Good73Rodney WillittMary KastlebergVideo51/4853/457$17.5K$40.2K$7.75K$53.3KIncumbent Rodman running for Senate. Richmond suburb area somewhat bluish
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10Wendy Gooditis*Randy MinchewVideo52/4854/454$103.2K$105.9K$63.1K$99.7KWendy is a very strong candidate, but former incumbent Minchew is running again. Western NOVA
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51Hala Ayala*Rich Anderson53/4755/446$69.5K$103.0K$61.6K$58.3KHala defeated Anderson fairly strongly in 2017, but he is mobilized for rematch
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21Kelly Fowler*Shannon KaneVideo52/4756/429$42.7K$49.2K$39.4K$50.3KThis VA Beach district remains competitive. Kane is VA Beach Council member.
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66Sheila Bynum-ColemanChris Cox*36/63**39/60**7$33.0K$357.7K$24.2K$64.4KCox is current HOD speaker. Redistricting suggests 32% Dem shift in this South of Richmond district. Bynum-Coleman has run before in different district.
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100Phil HernandezRob Bloxom48/5253/465$41.8K$40.8K$47.9K$47.9KHernandez is energetic new candidate. Bloxom is popular on Eastern Shore which is most voters~4.31
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76Clint JenkinsChris Jones*-/9450/49**15NA$561.6KNA$5.1KRedistricting suggests 27.4% Dem shift in Suffolk/Chesapeake district.
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Possible Later84Karen MallardGlen Davis*48/5252/461$28.3K$15.2K$31.2K$14.4KVirginia Beach area where Kane did well1.12
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Bigger Reach, but Possible81Len MeyersBarry Knight*41/59**44/55**-1$0.4K$299.2K$3.5K$11.9KRedistricting suggests 16.1% Dem shift VA Beach/Chesapeake district, thus potentially competiive
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62Dougherty/MarksCoyner48/52**48/51**-6$2.3K/$0.7K$88.5K$3.5K/$2.2K$50.4KOpen seet with Ingram retiring. Redistricting suggests 2.3% Dem Shift.
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Probably Too Good40Dan HelmerTim Hugo*50/5055/444$136.1K$325.20$115.6K$156.6KDem Tanner lost by 99 votes in 2017. Helmer is very strong Dem candidate and blue-leaning district in W. Fairfax Co. +, but Hugo is strong incumbent.
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94Shelly SimondsDavid Yancey*50/50**55/44**18$70.0K$193.30$71.8K$46.6KShelly tied Yancey in 2017. Redistricting suggests 13.6%Dem shift.
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91Mugler/WadeColleen Holcomb44/56**47/51**8$28.9/$12.5K$0.2K$29.1K/$15.5K$0KOpen-Flippable Seat. Redistricting suggest 19.8% Dem shift. - Hampton Rds Area
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68Dawn Adams*Coward/Losi50/49.556/438$123.6K$22.6/$18.7K$34.0K$42.5K/$31.9KDawn narrowly won this suburban Richmond district, relatively well funded. R's have primary.
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VA SenateDist.D- Candidate *=IncumbentR-Opponent *=IncumbentVideo2015 D/RNortham/ GillespieDem Cash 3/31/19R Cash 3/31/19Dem Cash 1st QuarterR Cash 1st QuarterCommentary
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Also Good8Missy SmasalBill DeSteph*Video41/5950/49-3$66.2K$143.8K$89.4K$44.3KMissy is a veteran with strong roots in Virginia Beach and is a strong challenger-3.45
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Possible Later12Rodman/LotheS. Dunnavant*38/5852/47-1$177.8/$34.0K$162.3K$91.2K/$25.3K$49.1KMostly Henrico District is trending Bluer. Rodman is giving up HoD Seat (73) to vie for this one.
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10Bedell/Brown/ HashmiGlen Sturtevant*47/5057/4210$40.0/$15.6/$80.1K$216.1/$50.9K/$20.9K $50.7K$44.6KModerate Sturtevant highly vulnerable in Richmond/Chesterfield+ district
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Too Good13John BellHiggins/Meyer48/5255/442$164.4K$111.2/$101.4K$131.2K$115.9K/$79.7KLoudoun district is now bluish. Dick Black R incumbent is retiring. Bell is strong candidate.
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7Hippen/Howard /TurpinKiggans/Weems46/5454/453$11.0/$27.6/$100.1K$13.8/$2.6K$6.2K/$31.2K/ $40.5K$4.5K/$2.6KHD Turpin +2 others seek open seat. Should be prime for Dem flip6.45
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Many thanks to Jim Shelton with 31st Street Swing Left for compiling this data
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