SUPER GOP ELECTION TRACKER 9001 #MAGA EDITION
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StateDate
Delegates
Trump
CruzKasichTD
Trump TD
TD%
Cruz TD
TD%
Kasich TD
TD%Free TD%
DSpread
%VotesTrump%Cruz%Kasich%Type
Open/Closed
Allocation
Threshold
CeilingPSpreadFSpreadWin OddsGreen Papers
2
Iowa2/1/20163078130723%827%13%1447%13%186,87445,42724%51,66628%3,4742%CaucusClosedProportionalTrump +4.7Cruz +3Trump 46%Iowa
3
New Hampshire2/9/2016231134531834%1121%59%1936%713%284,120100,40635%33,18912%44,90916%PrimaryMixedProportional10%
Trump +17.2
Trump +20Trump 69%New Hampshire
4
South Carolina2/20/20165050001036866%1111%55%1918%5755%737,917239,85133%164,79022%56,2068%PrimaryOpenWinner Take AllTrump +13Trump +10Trump 76%South Carolina
5
Nevada2/23/20163014611338262%1713%65%2821%6549%75,21634,53146%16,07921%2,7094%CaucusClosedProportional
Trump +16.8
Trump +22Trump 64%Nevada
6
Alabama3/1/2016503613018311864%3016%63%2916%8848%856,166371,73543%180,60821%37,9704%PrimaryOpenProportional20%50%
Trump +17.7
Trump +22Trump 94%Alabama
7
Alaska3/1/2016281414021113263%4421%63%2914%8842%43,86014,69233%15,94636%1,7844%CaucusClosedProportional13%Trump +3Cruz +3Alaska
8
Arkansas3/1/2016401615025114859%5924%62%3815%8935%406,522133,14433%123,87330%15,0984%PrimaryOpenProportional15%50%Trump +1Trump +2Trump 52%Arkansas
9
Colorado3/1/20163728814851%5920%62%3813%8931%CaucusClosedUnboundColorado
10
Georgia3/1/2016764317036419152%7621%62%5415%11532%1,292,601501,70739%305,10924%72,3036%PrimaryMixedProportional20%50%
Trump +13.8
Trump +14.Trump 88%Georgia
11
Massachusetts3/1/201642224840621352%8020%143%6215%13333%631,395311,31349%60,47310%113,78318%PrimaryMixedProportional5%
Trump +26.8
Trump +31
Trump >99%
Massachusetts
12
Minnesota3/1/201638813044422150%9321%143%7918%12829%112,75524,01821%32,68429%6,4886%CaucusOpenProportional10%85%Trump +4Rubio +7Minnesota
13
Oklahoma3/1/2016431315048723448%10822%143%9419%12626%459,542130,14128%157,94134%16,5154%PrimaryClosedProportional15%50%
Trump +11.4
Cruz +6Trump 68%Oklahoma
14
Tennessee3/1/2016583316054526749%12423%143%10319%14326%854,445332,70239%211,15925%45,2435%PrimaryOpenProportional20%66%Trump +14Trump +14.Trump 92%Tennessee
15
Texas3/1/201615548104070031545%22833%142%10615%8712%2,832,234757,61827%1,239,37044%120,2574%PrimaryOpenProportional20%50%Cruz +9Cruz +17Cruz 87%Texas
16
Vermont3/1/20161680871632345%22832%223%10615%9513%61,01319,96833%5,92910%18,54330%PrimaryOpenProportional20%50%Trump +15Trump +2Vermont
17
Virginia3/1/201649178576534044%23631%274%12516%10414%1,024,913355,96035%173,19317%96,5199%PrimaryOpenProportional
Trump +14.5
Trump +3Trump 69%Virginia
18
Wyoming3/1/20162919079434143%24531%273%12616%9612%945707%61865%00%CaucusClosedUnboundCruz +45Wyoming
19
Kansas3/5/201640924183435042%26932%283%13216%8110%73,11617,06223%35,20748%7,79511%CaucusClosedProportional10%Trump +9Cruz +25Trump 51%Kansas
20
Kentucky3/5/2016461715788036742%28432%354%13916%839%229,66782,49336%72,50332%33,13414%CaucusClosedProportional5%Trump +13Trump +4Kentucky
21
Louisiana3/5/2016461818092638542%30233%354%14916%839%301,169124,81841%113,94938%19,3556%PrimaryClosedProportional20%
Trump +15.6
Trump +4Trump 96%Louisiana
22
Maine3/5/201623912294939442%31433%374%14916%808%18,6276,07033%8,55046%2,27012%CaucusClosedProportional10%50%Cruz +13Maine
23
Puerto Rico3/6/20162300097239441%31432%374%17218%808%37,2085,05214%3,3409%5161%PrimaryOpenProportional20%50%Rubio +60Puerto Rico
24
Hawaii3/8/201619117099140541%32132%374%17317%848%13,3775,67742%4,37933%1,41311%CaucusClosedProportionalTrump +10Hawaii
25
Idaho3/8/20163212200102341741%34133%374%17317%767%221,81362,27828%100,74245%16,5177%PrimaryClosedProportional20%50%Trump +11Cruz +17Idaho
26
Michigan3/8/201659251717108244241%35833%545%17316%848%1,318,308481,29237%328,48325%320,27124%PrimaryClosedProportional15%50%
Trump +12.3
Trump +12Trump 92%Michigan
27
Mississippi3/8/20164025150112246742%37333%545%17315%948%403,956191,21247%146,54436%35,7189%PrimaryOpenProportional15%
Trump +15.5
Trump +11Mississippi
28
Virgin Islands3/10/20169110113146841%37433%545%18016%948%1,6271046%19112%00%
Convention
ClosedWinner Take AllCruz +2Virgin Islands
29
District of Columbia
3/12/201619009115046841%37433%635%19017%948%2,83238814%34712%1,01536%
Convention
ClosedProportional15%50%Rubio +2
District of Columbia
30
Guam3/12/20169010115946840%37532%635%19817%938%0000
Convention
ClosedUnboundGuam
31
Florida3/15/2016999900125856745%37530%635%19816%19215%2,350,5701,075,37446%402,64717%159,0147%PrimaryClosedWinner Take All
Trump +17.6
Trump +19Trump 98%Florida
32
Illinois3/15/2016695496132762147%38429%695%19815%23718%1,412,375548,52939%428,36130%278,23920%PrimaryOpen
Winner Take Most
Trump +11.8
Trump +9Trump 63%Illinois
33
Missouri3/15/20165237150137965848%39929%695%19814%25919%935,795382,09441%380,36541%94,52810%PrimaryOpen
Winner Take Most
50%Trump +6Trump +0Missouri
34
North Carolina3/15/20167230279145168847%42629%785%20414%26218%1,138,395458,04940%418,57037%144,26713%PrimaryMixedProportional
Trump +13.6
Trump +3Trump 89%North Carolina
35
Northern Marianas3/15/20169900146069748%42629%785%20414%27119%47134373%11324%102%CaucusClosedWinner Take AllTrump +49Northern Marianas
36
Ohio3/15/2016660066152669746%42628%1449%20413%27118%2,043,043727,58536%267,59213%956,76247%PrimaryMixedWinner Take AllTrump +0.1Kasich +11Kasich 87%Ohio
37
American Samoa3/22/20169000153569745%42628%1449%26817%27118%0000
Convention
OpenUnboundAmerican Samoa
38
Arizona3/22/2016585800159375547%42627%1449%26817%32921%530,726249,91347%132,14325%53,04610%PrimaryClosedWinner Take All
Trump +13.2
Trump +22Trump 92%Arizona
39
Utah3/22/2016400400163375546%46629%1449%26316%28918%177,20324,86114%122,56369%29,77917%CaucusClosed
Winner Take Most
15%50%Cruz +24.7Cruz +52Cruz 98%Utah
40
North Dakota4/1/2016280001661CaucusClosedUnboundNorth Dakota
41
Wisconsin4/5/2016420001703PrimaryOpenWinner Take AllCruz +2.6Wisconsin
42
New York4/19/2016950001798PrimaryClosed
Winner Take Most
20%50%
Trump +47.2
New York
43
Connecticut4/26/2016280001826PrimaryClosedProportional20%50%Connecticut
44
Delaware4/26/2016160001842PrimaryClosedWinner Take AllDelaware
45
Maryland4/26/2016380001880PrimaryClosedWinner Take AllTrump +8.9Maryland
46
Pennsylvania4/26/2016710001951PrimaryClosedWinner Take All
Trump +16.7
Pennsylvania
47
Rhode Island4/26/2016190001970PrimaryMixedProportional10%Rhode Island
48
Indiana5/3/2016570002027PrimaryOpenWinner Take AllIndiana
49
Nebraska5/10/2016360002063PrimaryClosedWinner Take AllNebraska
50
West Virginia5/10/2016340002097PrimaryMixedDirect ElectionWest Virginia
51
Oregon5/17/2016280002125PrimaryClosedProportionalOregon
52
Washington5/24/2016440002169PrimaryClosedProportional20%Washington
53
California6/7/20161720002341PrimaryClosedWinner Take AllTrump +10California
54
Montana6/7/2016270002368PrimaryOpenWinner Take AllMontana
55
New Jersey6/7/2016510002419PrimaryMixedWinner Take All
Trump +26.6
New Jersey
56
New Mexico6/7/2016240002443PrimaryClosedProportional15%New Mexico
57
South Dakota6/7/2016290002472PrimaryClosedWinner Take AllSouth Dakota
58
21,070,7967,816,4775,739,2162,805,450
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The 2016 Republican National Convention will be held from 07/18 to 07/21
KEY
61
1,237 delegates needed to win GOP nomination
938 delegates left
TD
Total Delegates. This is a "hard total" of pledged delegates from all primaries and caucuses.
62
Trump
TD%
Total Delegate Percentage. The percentage acquired of the total available delegates. (Candidate TD / TD)
63
NH, SC, NV, AL, AR, GA, MS, TN, VT, VA, KY, LA, HI, MI, MS, FL, IL, MO, NC, MP, AZFree
These are delegates that are either uncommitted, unbound, or still bound to a withdrawn candidate. These will be allocated at the national convention.
64
Total755
delegates
DSpread
Delegate Spread: (Largest TD - 2nd Largest TD) color-coded by leading candidate.
65
Needs+482
delegates
Primary
A primary is a statewide voting process in which voters cast secret ballots for their preferred candidates.
66
Progress61%
of target
Open
All voters regardless of party affiliation may vote in the GOP primary. (R+D+I)
67
Goal24.1
delegates per state
Closed
Only voters registered as Republicans may vote in the GOP primary. (R)
68
Mixed
Republicans and Independents can vote in these primaries, but Democrats can't. (R+I)
69
Caucus
A system of local gatherings where voters decide which candidate to support and select delegates for nominating conventions.
70
Cruz
IA, AK, OK, TX, WY, KS, ME, ID, UT
KasichOH
Convention
A territorial caucus that convenes as a convention; a formal meeting of members, representatives or delegates of the GOP.
71
Total466delegatesTotal144
delegates
Allocation
How delegates are awarded.
72
Needs+771delegates
Needs
+1093
delegates
Proportional
Delegates are awarded based on the percentage of votes received by candidates.
73
Progress38%of target
Progress
12%
of target
Winner Take All
All delegates are given to the winner of the contest.
74
Goal38.6
delegates per state
Goal54.7
delegates per state
Unbound
Delegates are not bound to a specific candidate and can support any candidate of their choosing, varies by state party.
75
Threshold
Candidates have to reach this level of support to earn delegates.
76
Ceiling
Candidates win all delegates by surpassing this percentage of votes.
77
PSpread
Poll Spread: The average spread in vote percentage between the top two candidates.
78
FSpread
Final Spread: The spread in vote percentage between the top two candidates after the voting is done.
79
Win Odds
The candidate most likely to win and their odds of doing so.
80
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Regarding Colorado and Wyoming
82
Delegates in Colorado are selected through a process that starts with the March 1st caucuses and culminates at the state convention on April 9th.
83
Colorado Delegates can go to the national convention as unbound or bound to a candidate.
84
The Wyoming precinct caucuses on March 1st do not bind any delegates, but they start a delegate selection process that culminates at the state convention on April 14-16.
85
Delegates from Wyoming can be bound or unbound.
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CONTACT
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This document was made by California for !fTRUMPLVL2 with collaboration from Spurdoposter !bbbENisSlM
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