2016 Roland Garros - Analysis
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2016 Roland Garros - System Comparisons
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How often do the different rating systems correctly predict the winners of matches?
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TRNUTR
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74%75%75%
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38%33 / 44 52%
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3 / 8 17 / 33
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78%
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216 / 277
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48%63%
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16 / 33 5 / 8
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25%
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11 / 44
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Point Systems
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69%
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All Rating Systems
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How often do all the systems agree on the outcome?
277matches77%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
216times78%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
61times22%of the time
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TRN & UTR Ratings
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How often do TRN and UTR agree on the outcome?
321matches89%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
249times78%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
72times22%of the time
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How often do TRN and UTR disagree on the outcome?
41matches11%of the time
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When they disagree, how often does the higher rated TRN player win?
19times46%of the time
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When they disagree, how often does the higher rated UTR player win?
22times54%of the time
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TRN Ratings & Point Systems (ITF, ATP, WTA)
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How often do TRN and the Point Systems agree on the outcome?
310matches86%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
232times75%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
78times25%of the time
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How often do TRN and the Point Systems disagree on the outcome?
52matches14%of the time
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When they disagree, how often does the higher rated TRN player win?
36times69%of the time
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When they disagree, how often does the player with more points win?
16times31%of the time
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UTR & Point Systems (ITF, ATP, WTA)
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How often do UTR and the Point Systems agree on the outcome?
285matches79%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the higher rated player win?
221times78%of the time
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When they agree, how often does the lower rated player win?
64times22%of the time
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How often do UTR and the Point Systems disagree on the outcome?
77matches21%of the time
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When they disagree, how often does the higher rated UTR player win?
50times65%of the time
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When they disagree, how often does the player with more points win?
27times35%of the time
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Notes: This chart only uses the 362 matches from our study that were played to completion where both players were rated by all systems and player ratings were unique (i.e., no projected ties).
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System Comparisons
Match Summary
TRN
UTR
Points
Elo
Notes