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SENATE R vs.DOTHER RACES
LEGISLATURES' CONTROL AT STAKE
U.S. House, races to watch. [based on: https://www.dailykos.com/pages/election-outlook/2016-race-ratings]
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Count: 52R-48D [PROVISIONAL]
Net swing: +2 Dem [PROVISIONAL]
Maricopa sheriff (Joe Arpaio's reelect)
FLIPS TO DEMSGOP
held		AZ Sen (GOP)GOP hold
Dems need +31
Net swing so far: +6 Dem
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ArizonaGOP hold
MT Supreme Court (control at stake)
Dem holdAZ House (GOP)GOP hold
Targeted by Dems
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ColoradoDem hold
NC Supreme Court (control at stake)
FLIPS TO DEMSAK House (GOP)FLIPS TO Ds IN COALITION
WITH MODERATE Rs		Targeted by GOPCall made?VA-04FLIPPEDTier 1
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FloridaGOP hold#CASenHarrisCO Sen (GOP)GOP holdFL-18FLIPPED FL-13FLIPPED
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IllinoisFLIPS TO DEMS#LASenRUNOFF (DvsR)ME Sen (GOP)GOP holdMN-08Dem holdNH-01FLIPPED
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IndianaGOP holdHonda vs. Khanna (CA-17)KhannaMI House (GOP)GOP holdNE-02FLIPPED NV-04FLIPPED
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MissouriGOP holdHonolulu MayorDem holdMN House (GOP)GOP holdAZ-01Dem holdCA-49Tier 2
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NevadaDem holdHarris County/Houston DAFLIPS TO DEMS
NC House (GOP; still veto-proof?)
GOP hold (super-maj)CA-07Dem holdCO-06GOP hold
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New HampshireFLIPS TO DEMSColumbus DAGOP hold
NC Sen (GOP; still veto-proof?)
GOP hold (super-maj)CA-24Dem holdFL-07FLIPPED
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North CarolinaGOP holdTampa DAFLIPS TO DEMSNH House (GOP)GOP holdNH-01Dem holdFL-26GOP hold
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PennsylvaniaGOP holdMaricopa County DAGOP holdNM House (GOP)FLIPS TO DEMSMN-01Dem holdIA-01GOP hold
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WisconsinGOP holdPA Attorney GeneralDem holdNV Assembly (GOP)FLIPS TO DEMSIL-10FLIPPED
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NC Attorney GeneralDem holdNV Senate (GOP)FLIPS TO DEMSMI-01GOP hold
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GOVERNORSMO Attorney GeneralFLIPPED TO GOPNY Senate (GOP)GOP holdME-02GOP hold
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IndianaGOP holdWA Sen (GOP)
GOP hold
(bc of a D who caucuses with Rs)
MN-02GOP hold
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MissouriFLIPPED TO GOPWV Sen (GOP)GOP holdNJ-05FLIPPED
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MontanaDem holdREFERENDACALL MADE?WI Sen (GOP)GOP holdNV-03FLIPPED
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New HampshireFLIPPED TO GOPdeath pen:NE, *restore* death penaltypassedWI House (GOP)GOP holdNY-19GOP hold
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North CarolinaD AHEAD NOW, but:
Provisionals+Recount		CA 62: *abolish* death penaltyfailedDem
held		CO House (Dem)Dem holdNY-22GOP hold
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OregonDem holdCA 66: quicken death penaltyCT Sen (Dem)
Dem hold (tie, with LT tie-breaker)
PA-08GOP hold
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VermontFLIPPED TO GOPmin wage:AZ, min wage+sick timepassedCT House (Dem)Dem holdTX-23GOP hold
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WashingtonDem holdCO, min wagepassedIA Sen (Dem)FLIPPED TO GOPVA-10GOP hold
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West VirginiaDem holdME, min wagepassedKY House (Dem)FLIPPED TO GOPCA-10GOP holdTier 3
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WA, min wagepassedME House (Dem)Dem holdCA-21GOP hold
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SD, lower minimum wage for teens
failedMN Senate (Dem)FLIPPED TO GOPCA-25GOP hold
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sentencing:CA, 57: juvenile sentencingpassedNM Sen (Dem)Dem holdCO-03GOP hold
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OK, drug sentencingWA House (Dem)Dem holdIA-03GOP hold
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transit:Los Angeles, transit expansionpassed
www.governing.com/topics/elections/gov-2016-legislative-handicapping-october.html
IN-09GOP hold
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Seattle light railpassedKS-03GOP hold
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marijuana:AZ marijuanaMI-07GOP hold
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AR medical marijuanapassedMN-03GOP hold
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CA recreational marijuanapassedNY-01GOP hold
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FL medical marijuanapassedNY-24GOP hold
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ME marijuanaWI-08GOP hold
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MA recreational marijuanapassedAK-ALGOP holdTier 4
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MT marijuanaAZ-02GOP hold
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NV marjiuanaIL-12GOP hold
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ND medical marijuanapassedIN-02GOP hold
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gunsCA 63: gunspassedMI-06GOP hold
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ME, gunsMI-08GOP hold
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NV, gunspassedMT-ALGOP hold
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WA, gunsNY-21GOP hold
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green:CA 67: ban on plastic bagsNY-23GOP hold
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FL, solar energy (would hurt solar energy)
failedPA-16GOP hold
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WA: carbon taxfailedUT-04GOP hold
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health:CA 61: drug pricingfailedVA-05GOP hold
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CO single-payerfailed
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voting:ME, ranked votingpassed
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MO, voter ID
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San Francisco, lower voting age
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other:CA 53: new rules for bonds
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CA 55: hike taxes for ed/health
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CA 60: condoms/pornfailed
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CO, assisted dying
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DC statehoodpassed
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VA, right to workfailed
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education:MA, charter school expansionfailed
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ME, education funding
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For more on *local* (non-state) referenda, see @politicswolf's primer: http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/7/1590824/-Major-city-ballot-measures-include-a-15-minimum-wage-public-campaign-finance-soda-taxes-and-more?_=2016-11-07T07:41:45.476-08:00
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FOR SPECIFIC FOCUS ON PUBLIC-TRANSIT REFERENDA, follow @yfreemark.
his primer: http://www.thetransportpolitic.com/2016/11/03/on-the-ballot-2016/
transit-specific election night results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11e00DpCvubdDAFmt4AUxfBzSmdkSSzSBFQylfaiuy6c/edit#gid=0
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