Final Projection For The 2019 United States North Carolina 9th Congressional District Special Election {GEUN/GEHSC.en}
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Nation : NC 9th CD, United States of North America*Rounded*Simple
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-Polling AverageDan McCreadyDan BishopJeff ScottAllen SmithDan McCreadyDan BishopJeff ScottAllen Smith
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PollsterPolling DateSample SizeSample PercentageDemocratsRepublicansLibertariansGreensDemocratsRepublicansLibertariansGreens
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Center-LeftCenter-RightBig TentLeft-wingCenter-LeftCenter-RightBig TentLeft-wing
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Average8/16~9/102,2261.0000000000048.24%47.39%2.73%1.64%44.72%43.95%2.53%1.53%
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0.4823778080.4738899370.0272796500.0164526060.4471967650.4395417790.0252785270.015278527
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"Congressional Swing"
"-.0.69pp""-1.86pp""+0.92pp""+1.64pp"
"Congressional Swing" - Compared With Last Election Results From 2018
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HP/CCL8/26~8/285510.2475292003650.55%46.15%2.20%1.10%46.00%42.00%2.00%1.00%
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0.1251260110.1142347260.0054456420.0027228210.1138634320.1039622640.0049505840.002475292
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GAJS8/26~8/285000.2246181491547.87%48.94%2.13%1.06%45.00%46.00%2.00%1.00%
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0.1075247080.1099281220.0047843670.0023809520.1010781670.1033243490.0044923630.002246181
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C/E9/5~9/61,1750.5278526504947.31%47.31%3.23%2.15%44.00%44.00%3.00%2.00%
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0.2497270890.2497270890.0170496410.0113488320.2322551660.2322551660.0158355800.010557053
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-Endorsement
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TOTALFederal (5P)Local (3P)Other (1P)
Organiztation (2P)
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Dan McCready17475601326
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Democrats6115201313
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58.78%60.00%51.28%81.25%68.42%
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Dan Bishop1225057312
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Republicans38101936
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41.22%40.00%48.72%18.75%31.58%
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-Fundraise
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TOTALSpentOn Hand
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Dan McCready4,950,811.114,470,374.25818,345.51
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Democrats71.70%71.73%80.93%
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Dan Bishop1,954,334.641,761,558.40192,776.24
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Republicans28.30%28.27%19.07%
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