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2 | Clinton's lead in the polls peaked between August 7th and August 14th, since then Trump has been gaining and as of August 24th the race was virtually tied in the tracking polls. After leveling off for a few days, Trump is now gaining again. | ||||||||||||
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5 | All 4 Presidential daily tracking polls that report daily results. | ||||||||||||
6 | LA Times/UNC | 2-way poll with only Clinton and Trump | |||||||||||
7 | UPI/CVoter | 2-way poll with only Clinton and Trump | |||||||||||
8 | Reuters/Ipsos | 4-way poll including Johnson and Stein | |||||||||||
9 | PPD | 4-way poll including Johnson and Stein | |||||||||||
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39 | The graph below shows an overall trend of all polls released since August 1st. When a new poll is release, the change in the poll vs. the previous version of the same poll is added to the counter shown in the graph. For example, if the latest LA Times poll shows Trump leading by 2, but the previous LA Times poll showed a tie, then a +2 will be added to the counter. If Trump’s lead were to decrease from the previous version of a poll, or if Clinton’s lead increased, then the change would be subtracted from the counter If newly released polls are showing an improvement for Trump over previous versions of those same polls the counter will go up and if they are showing an improvement for Clinton the counter will go down. The net value of the counter is not meaningful, but the change over time shows the trend. | ||||||||||||
40 | When the line is rising it means Trump is gaining in the polls, when the line is falling, Clinton is gaining in the polls | ||||||||||||
41 | 8/1 - 8/7 - Clinton gaining | ||||||||||||
42 | 8/8 - 8/14 - Flat | ||||||||||||
43 | 8/15 - 8/21 - Trump gaining | ||||||||||||
44 | 8/22 - 8/27 - Flat | ||||||||||||
45 | 8/28 - Present - Trump gaining | ||||||||||||
46 | Graph reflects changes in the following polls: | ||||||||||||
47 | Economist/YouGov | ||||||||||||
48 | Rasmussen | ||||||||||||
49 | LA Times/USC | ||||||||||||
50 | Reuters/Ipsos | ||||||||||||
51 | UPI/CVoter | ||||||||||||
52 | ABC/WaPo | ||||||||||||
53 | IBD/TIPP | ||||||||||||
54 | NBC/SM | ||||||||||||
55 | Monmouth | ||||||||||||
56 | Bloomberg | ||||||||||||
57 | Pew | ||||||||||||
58 | Gravis | ||||||||||||
59 | Quinipiac | ||||||||||||
60 | Morning Consult | ||||||||||||
61 | PPP | ||||||||||||
62 | Fox News | ||||||||||||
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74 | Update Log for Trend Graph: | ||||||||||||
75 | 8/28/16 - Added Morning Consult polls to the data set. | ||||||||||||
76 | 8/28/16 - Changed the 5-Day Avg to use an average of the last 8 data points which will generally approximate 4-5 days since multiple polls can be added each day. | ||||||||||||
77 | 8/30/16 - Added PPP poll to the data set. | ||||||||||||
78 | 8/31/16 - Added Fox News poll to the data set. | ||||||||||||
79 | 9/6/16 - Added CNN/ORC poll to data set, added Google Consumer Surveys to data set | ||||||||||||
