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Questions? Contact /u/arcanition here.Total Delegates & % of Needed (2026 Pledged Needed For Nomination)% of Remaining
Needed
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Clinton176186.9%33.4%
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Sanders149873.9%66.7%
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Delegates Needed to be
"On Track"
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4/5/20164/19/20164/26/20165/10/20166/7/2016
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Clinton12131340153515892014
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Sanders11781312150115652018
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Predictions for Upcoming Primaries
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Normalized to 100%California
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Clinton538 Prediction62.9%
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Adjusted61.4%
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Predicted Del.292
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Sanders538 Prediction37.1%
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Adjusted38.6%
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Predicted Del.183
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538 Predictions:Link To Source
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*No 538 prediction available
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Bold = Confirmed
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Italics = Predicted / Approximate
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*No 538 prediction availableAverage*Oregon*KentuckyWest VirginiaIndiana*DelawareConnecticutRhode IslandMarylandPennsylvaniaNew York*WyomingWisconsin*Alaska*Washington*Hawaii*Arizona*Idaho*UtahFloridaIllinoisMissouriN. CarolinaOhio*N. M. Islands*Dem. Abr.MichiganMississippi*Maine*NebraskaLouisiana*KansasVirginiaVermontTexasTennesseeOklahomaMinnesotaMass.GeorgiaColoradoArkansasAlabamaSCNevadaNHIowa
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Clinton538 Prediction55.5%46.6%54.2%51.1%47.9%57.5%57.8%56.3%47.2%64.9%51.8%48.8%60.8%54.1%60.0%79.2%75.0%62.3%11.0%64.6%62.7%47.4%39%52.3%68.0%44%64.3%73.9%67.0%52.4%39.9%48.3%
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Actual49.4%45.5%46.8%35.8%47.5%59.8%51.8%43.3%63.0%55.6%58.0%44.3%43.1%18.4%27.1%30.0%57.6%21.2%20.3%64.4%50.5%49.6%54.6%56.5%54.0%30.9%48.3%82.6%35.5%42.9%71.1%32.3%64.3%13.6%65.2%66.1%41.5%38.3%50.1%71.3%40.4%66.3%77.8%73.5%52.7%38.0%49.9%
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Difference-0.5%-10.8%-6.7%0.7%-4.6%5.5%-2.2%1.7%-4.1%-0.5%-1.3%0.8%-6.2%2.4%-11.7%3.4%-3.9%2.0%2.6%0.6%3.4%-5.9%-0.7%-2.2%3.3%-3.6%2.0%3.9%6.5%0.3%-1.9%1.6%
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Sanders538 Prediction41.3%49.6%43.3%46.5%49.3%39.8%39.7%41.3%50.2%32.1%44.1%48.0%36.2%43.1%37.5%14.5%17.9%34.6%86.7%32.4%33.9%47.3%60%44.8%28.9%55%32.2%23.2%28.7%46.0%57.2%45.1%
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Actual49.1%54.5%46.3%51.4%52.5%39.2%46.4%55.0%33.3%43.6%42.0%55.7%56.6%81.6%72.7%69.8%39.9%78.0%79.3%33.3%48.7%49.4%40.8%42.7%34.4%68.8%49.8%16.5%64.2%57.1%23.2%67.7%35.2%86.1%33.2%32.4%51.9%61.7%48.7%28.2%59.0%29.7%19.2%26.0%47.2%60.4%49.6%
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Difference2.1%1.8%9.2%-0.1%5.7%-6.5%3.9%0.7%6.4%1.2%4.6%1.4%4.6%-0.4%12.3%2.0%5.3%0.6%-0.6%0.8%-1.5%4.6%1.7%3.9%-0.7%4.0%-2.5%-4.0%-2.7%1.2%3.2%4.5%
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Latest
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Raw
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FloridaIllinoisMissouriN. CarolinaOhioArizonaIdahoUtahWisconsinNew YorkConnecticutMarylandPennsylvaniaCaliforniaRhode Island
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ClintonPrediction64.9%51.8%48.8%60.8%54.1%53.0%45.0%44.0%47.2%56.3%51.1%57.4%57.8%62.0%47.9%
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Adjusted64.4%51.3%48.3%60.3%53.6%52.5%44.5%43.5%46.7%55.8%50.6%56.9%57.3%61.5%47.4%
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Predicted Del.1388034657739101440138285410829211
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SandersPrediction32.1%44.1%48.0%36.2%43.1%23.0%47.0%52.0%50.2%41.3%46.6%39.9%39.7%36.5%49.9%
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Adjusted34.2%46.2%50.1%38.3%45.2%25.1%49.1%54.1%52.3%43.4%48.7%42.0%41.8%38.6%52.0%
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Predicted Del.73723641651911184510727407918312
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