ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAP
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poop
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199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022Avgstdev/avgavg last 10 years
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1BostonBoston Celtics21282022.519.520813201124.5291396101626.5169449516613.960.6011.2
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2New YorkNew York Knicks105.514158.51123211723.5292225.52322.51513.5719292424.5223025112118.940.3721.3
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3BrooklynBrooklyn Nets222315252324589177142120.53025.525.591518283023141441417.910.4316.9
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4PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia 76ers28252211102141022.51618.519.5171524.5161619.52928302757123816.870.4916.9
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5WashingtonWashington Wizards1813162424271920271213151428.526.5272923.51412189172522172219.720.3018.0
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6OrlandoOrlando Magic31218617171217292020169428123028262026261518282917.330.4924.6
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7MiamiMiami Heat143845920.52612251130141334152171714181113310.870.7011.0
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8TorontoToronto Raptors2721.5281912.512152722.523.5269152218.52823.519.5111146222241016.350.539.2
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9MilwaukeeMilwaukee Bucks262021121671716152517282420.5142119183015221315117716.570.4512.9
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10ChicagoChicago Bulls11227282928.523281015822161711.5111291615.524.52724221215.960.6017.3
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11IndianaIndiana Pacers717553181691141419.52018211958419.511149.5117182612.570.5312.8
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12DetroitDetroit Pistons1291910152165651421724.5242223.523231319191626292815.630.5522.0
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13ClevelandCleveland Cavaliers914112022232428.521196713112927.52822735628.52926.51516.520.5917.0
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14CharlotteCharlotte Hornets161091611141128.527.52223191522302916221020201823201718.760.3319.5
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15AtlantaAtlanta Hawks117.5107.52525222225.53027.52719126138.51418281127.52627121617.040.4916.2
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16MemphisMemphis Grizzlies292925292626272481383027.525.518.51276951512292316.515218.410.5013.3
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17Minnesota
Minnesota Timberwolves
241513178.5137421524.524.527.525.52930212217302624.5132128251319.260.4222.0
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18DenverDenver Nuggets2026292619.5192628.511911101157911420242218164651115.110.5413.0
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19UtahUtah Jazz52134513121327166811818151526.519.51989.58101910.830.6512.6
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20DallasDallas Mavericks25242422.51864274311094513.5171010142227.523138512.280.6715.0
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21San AntonioSan Antonio Spurs4277161213323561121.53162212121919206.721.059.6
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22HoustonHouston Rockets85.5177.52115251510722.55681614171363173168303012.460.6511.7
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23Oklahoma CityOklahoma City Thunder2431812.516101818.562126292712732214510810926.52712.830.6911.4
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24PortlandPortland Trail Blazers13111222109716263024.516710102021781215.5751592512.960.5712.5
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25SacramentoSacramento Kings171923141441358122218302825.525.5252425222324.51820222418.390.4422.8
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26Golden StateGolden State Warriors1921.52621272828.51918.521.522.513122426.52023.5108111333014416.540.587.5
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27LA LakersLos Angeles Lakers67.5491336421.5101232346122527292821203102311.220.8319.8
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28LA ClippersLos Angeles Clippers23182728292218252.51891725.528.522.5238.5534671813461815.870.578.4
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29PhoenixPhoenix Suns15166137820.514241427135171827131727293028.516.52114.130.6519.1
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30New OrleansNew Orleans Pelicans111428.518.518410201127.52621132521112321221918.230.3620.2
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-0.346CORREL with $-0.459-0.331-0.479-0.505-0.552-0.371-0.121-0.299-0.017-0.061-0.009-0.063-0.172-0.391-0.528-0.526-0.384-0.473-0.282-0.256-0.541-0.361-0.608-0.434-0.369-0.430-0.326
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Correl with $ % vs. average-0.459-0.331-0.479-0.505-0.552-0.371-0.121-0.299-0.017-0.061-0.009-0.063-0.172-0.391-0.528-0.526-0.384-0.473-0.282-0.256-0.541-0.361-0.608-0.434-0.369-0.430-0.326
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0.159correl with draft0.3060.3390.6490.3920.4210.2160.3260.5480.367-0.0370.070-0.0860.1400.1090.1670.1440.0750.1080.1190.0290.0510.2090.0020.045-0.055-0.274-0.089
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0.144correl with both0.221-0.073-0.0940.0680.0280.154-0.119-0.158-0.3180.073-0.0260.2760.1310.1990.2700.2410.2440.3790.2160.1440.2110.0320.3880.2690.3160.5110.302
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-0.246correl between draft and $-0.021-0.046-0.325-0.176-0.466-0.468-0.479-0.375-0.263-0.228-0.305-0.345-0.406-0.266-0.522-0.462-0.359-0.238-0.164-0.0130.1010.085-0.136-0.265-0.226-0.114-0.160
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rank of correl with $917762142319262527242212451382021316110151118
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rank of correl with draft861439725231825131511121716142119102220242726
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rank of correl with both112324192115252627182261714710931216132028415
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Cap2324.426.93034.135.542.540.343.843.949.553.155.658.757.758585858.763.17094.199.1101.9109.1109.1112.4115.7
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YOY6.09%10.25%11.52%13.67%4.11%19.72%-5.18%8.68%0.23%12.76%7.27%4.71%5.58%-1.70%0.52%0.00%0.00%1.21%7.50%10.94%34.43%5.31%2.83%7.07%0.00%3.02%2.94%
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Player payrollTeamavgcorrel with successcorrel/last 10 years
rank of correl 10 years
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1Boston$20,219,000$25,853,500$26,800,500$32,258,856$46,152,875$51,478,707$47,515,677$52,548,195$60,185,915$64,577,356$56,907,300$62,981,479$74,509,455$79,188,973$83,552,174$82,045,867$79,820,530$75,508,399$70,885,503$62,218,516$77,141,919$93,465,326$115,284,776$125,334,993$117,759,332$132,931,565$136,557,646$177,542,567$76,115,246-0.59-0.526
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2New York$43,329,000$25,923,500$53,974,881$59,945,400$72,288,001$74,007,738$85,993,039$93,452,379$89,444,820$102,567,539$126,631,098$117,350,866$96,190,114$96,643,646$85,710,076$67,016,562$77,093,212$79,977,119$89,072,787$81,369,219$74,237,021$102,593,418$105,403,130$123,387,454$100,232,129$102,137,151$120,644,081$146,896,465$89,053,9940.700.2622
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3Brooklyn$22,580,000$25,426,600$28,504,567$43,735,000$53,245,461$68,977,578$75,193,712$60,412,919$63,697,123$54,983,980$66,449,350$64,486,110$61,836,211$62,666,523$59,366,715$58,495,989$65,281,235$87,644,649$102,589,967$87,817,289$80,258,302$82,391,482$95,475,397$118,850,600$118,889,943$170,444,633$174,811,922$158,452,356$79,034,486-0.38-0.644
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4Philadelphia$25,133,000$23,669,500$31,420,520$41,509,920$43,890,593$51,085,458$58,073,366$64,822,487$60,411,079$71,951,878$84,807,300$69,140,163$74,038,229$68,301,007$64,883,448$68,915,246$66,672,368$66,697,839$51,741,312$54,355,571$64,583,220$84,775,343$100,797,386$115,127,167$129,912,339$147,825,311$148,922,969$150,009,934$74,409,784-0.52-0.861
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5Washington$22,224,000$34,940,000$40,718,075$34,018,500$53,194,441$59,085,969$54,776,087$46,691,190$45,682,902$49,797,050$54,555,947$62,733,705$65,278,996$70,743,317$73,440,274$58,324,988$55,386,345$59,715,539$64,698,822$73,372,974$85,055,155$104,016,580$123,306,396$123,747,588$121,296,256$131,294,012$128,019,790$150,752,126$73,102,394-0.030.2723
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6Orlando$36,526,560$40,149,100$43,954,299$46,118,000$41,586,801$37,459,860$45,984,001$50,435,346$50,588,419$66,445,249$75,784,782$61,447,108$58,165,973$69,672,979$82,200,916$90,770,804$87,955,505$66,557,496$56,948,031$59,629,210$63,199,651$104,096,951$98,700,258$114,394,213$126,095,610$121,739,163$126,786,646$125,342,062$73,169,1070.30-0.2512
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7Miami$22,087,000$22,421,000$34,641,186$44,594,000$52,496,573$73,472,329$53,351,186$57,378,326$47,349,374$59,523,529$60,732,452$64,416,312$74,767,603$70,297,059$74,208,013$66,205,855$75,469,639$80,427,933$80,841,617$75,813,041$85,764,781$100,740,770$133,624,374$153,171,497$129,867,871$134,731,235$140,840,240$147,550,206$79,170,8930.120.1921
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8Toronto$17,955,000$18,633,900$24,748,905$34,368,500$34,730,320$38,313,749$52,657,161$55,408,207$63,033,243$61,703,775$62,411,884$51,015,491$66,042,375$73,446,970$67,822,433$69,992,648$55,063,049$63,708,138$71,561,643$81,317,963$71,591,189$108,599,970$116,929,373$137,793,831$122,463,495$129,131,910$134,896,484$149,986,612$72,690,294-0.55-0.2214
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9Milwaukee$23,011,000$24,222,500$25,919,828$33,703,240$44,680,197$57,819,318$56,224,266$57,995,152$53,229,826$57,448,246$63,022,514$63,498,518$62,571,522$71,360,656$66,775,602$69,076,690$60,192,388$62,410,041$54,400,846$54,473,275$73,843,541$96,245,877$120,521,249$130,988,604$122,612,183$136,623,929$160,875,421$180,164,069$74,425,375-0.64-0.783
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10Chicago$23,512,000$58,270,000$61,330,670$28,640,500$27,032,368$29,691,907$42,592,857$44,531,095$55,489,797$57,276,129$57,166,530$54,754,904$63,084,166$68,126,774$69,700,359$54,538,076$69,548,447$74,491,280$73,336,893$67,414,682$87,073,838$92,522,306$90,466,801$112,598,201$112,601,901$128,963,580$136,083,814$150,644,803$71,124,4530.030.4927
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11Indiana$23,909,000$39,480,000$39,162,273$45,401,500$54,988,605$55,086,140$53,398,621$53,472,323$58,156,236$66,064,780$78,791,779$63,118,965$66,260,246$69,668,818$66,733,257$65,088,630$51,554,083$66,107,195$67,182,414$74,793,526$71,605,233$90,279,072$95,271,736$110,724,804$112,872,260$130,237,102$138,181,486$124,938,727$72,590,3150.370.5728
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12Detroit$23,970,000$26,848,500$24,876,625$34,699,620$42,141,801$40,475,338$42,417,677$47,777,888$53,442,834$54,762,481$59,619,275$59,010,951$65,898,875$71,434,174$60,185,833$65,517,821$70,923,605$68,807,497$62,387,432$67,410,675$77,256,014$106,492,988$119,773,191$126,557,932$104,527,576$117,041,599$131,120,355$128,151,957$69,768,9470.480.1419
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13Cleveland$27,695,000$18,867,500$26,677,290$28,714,000$46,547,966$49,780,549$45,649,974$49,610,448$46,186,472$49,175,274$51,303,962$62,992,729$82,217,583$91,298,233$83,398,534$53,990,021$64,875,599$54,472,190$66,654,061$82,592,827$108,300,458$128,522,489$137,722,926$123,255,073$131,059,022$129,605,319$136,385,911$150,510,719$76,002,219-0.13-0.1716
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14Charlotte$23,084,000$20,975,500$27,006,013$30,452,000$38,619,012$46,441,558$49,999,445$23,922,578$33,458,932$41,964,046$53,745,468$62,866,926$68,681,758$66,542,696$57,902,024$58,122,566$60,395,651$66,792,937$76,860,006$103,054,004$117,382,664$121,427,859$96,552,033$108,218,809$122,139,566$125,124,594$65,451,2560.10-0.1815
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15Atlanta$22,227,000$25,806,100$30,133,827$40,954,940$44,169,202$39,297,129$51,525,207$55,711,549$64,497,340$41,059,616$42,944,553$48,581,972$55,501,133$68,168,841$65,883,642$71,469,843$73,669,912$66,710,178$58,998,677$58,320,278$71,661,760$96,315,163$99,992,696$79,180,081$110,702,618$118,804,016$135,166,020$149,836,313$67,403,2000.040.3224
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16Memphis$18,413,000$15,978,000$25,637,110$33,635,800$37,432,688$48,899,840$50,920,631$61,009,172$57,378,323$67,010,830$67,525,538$61,960,489$54,118,526$55,958,148$57,287,474$70,241,344$70,628,007$63,054,115$71,992,885$75,158,730$83,223,881$110,083,520$110,700,149$125,188,633$98,495,848$132,022,601$117,284,457$126,136,596$70,263,441-0.440.4526
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17Minnesota$22,642,000$24,100,500$27,787,780$33,107,230$42,642,272$47,488,500$55,093,782$59,518,801$71,272,042$70,123,411$61,830,186$66,820,673$69,043,895$66,445,144$62,253,360$53,461,123$56,844,339$64,329,748$68,564,040$69,378,954$72,287,243$83,527,580$116,075,131$121,962,221$114,202,982$130,334,934$137,432,702$145,988,656$71,948,5440.14-0.3711
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18Denver$24,553,000$21,243,300$26,518,960$29,392,200$40,677,095$52,189,220$54,460,475$49,109,209$39,398,646$46,101,759$56,492,172$65,517,776$82,958,227$70,121,003$74,935,538$68,019,290$58,553,173$63,444,254$65,782,065$56,820,307$72,589,023$83,836,460$107,543,599$118,327,016$128,746,180$129,793,210$137,963,926$160,758,292$70,923,049-0.59-0.625
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19Utah$22,451,000$25,267,000$28,505,442$30,298,560$50,348,426$53,893,860$52,642,362$50,934,629$34,747,674$43,515,760$57,372,902$62,364,364$64,959,089$65,841,407$71,905,244$75,855,296$58,178,016$65,657,569$56,911,999$60,847,538$63,608,425$80,138,192$105,606,838$113,826,156$118,910,311$136,881,324$149,760,719$148,211,360$69,622,909-0.06-0.812
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20Dallas$21,753,000$26,107,500$27,268,948$35,565,568$40,014,500$52,274,842$57,960,080$72,940,316$79,536,723$91,908,443$98,454,832$88,531,846$101,694,879$95,045,559$88,916,075$85,409,890$77,180,233$69,766,571$75,012,158$84,820,225$75,397,067$102,354,966$85,440,245$86,958,881$120,871,082$127,657,823$126,696,965$174,590,183$81,076,050-0.48-0.429
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21San Antonio$26,553,000$30,785,500$38,846,163$43,681,143$42,529,801$57,215,938$45,844,814$53,182,559$46,464,064$47,504,123$63,570,274$65,654,320$70,048,523$68,020,487$79,338,309$69,522,311$73,732,762$69,838,600$63,115,911$70,770,209$87,832,839$112,017,779$114,633,844$121,588,790$119,217,331$129,537,825$127,655,401$100,674,368$72,834,8920.420.8030
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22Houston$25,632,000$26,275,000$28,086,350$30,297,100$52,269,367$49,283,309$49,168,169$50,181,239$55,401,430$60,284,303$69,257,404$63,837,566$69,894,114$73,302,272$69,095,315$72,315,654$57,021,755$48,048,265$57,823,063$76,849,302$87,504,058$90,956,067$119,905,532$126,474,100$128,109,922$131,784,255$132,267,085$137,685,730$72,821,7760.130.3525
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23Oklahoma City$25,852,000$30,301,500$37,592,175$30,413,082$38,258,910$51,538,658$45,556,733$53,167,479$52,347,476$53,821,301$49,253,379$56,986,831$60,861,388$68,341,605$58,578,614$55,922,488$59,501,709$68,924,100$71,653,401$80,408,520$95,708,387$91,230,089$134,534,640$144,916,427$132,017,938$95,774,839$82,022,873$147,014,376$70,446,4610.01-0.0217
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24Portland$23,926,000$24,903,500$27,786,719$54,725,500$73,898,705$87,395,140$84,292,850$105,595,657$82,956,768$83,671,309$60,017,964$75,026,386$73,241,335$80,260,059$56,946,258$74,584,058$80,920,717$59,442,596$61,260,350$69,936,842$61,685,814$119,732,234$118,708,146$130,256,600$131,979,953$131,904,647$124,788,473$145,126,780$82,320,406-0.010.0218
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25Sacramento$24,391,000$27,820,200$30,046,350$32,267,000$40,113,125$46,266,289$54,921,012$70,416,596$68,372,826$61,807,688$62,811,975$64,296,611$63,403,225$69,204,512$67,515,718$45,268,465$48,950,236$54,421,935$59,174,155$73,379,071$70,610,560$95,596,327$99,587,185$101,466,920$113,796,966$106,847,430$130,457,848$136,284,165$68,553,4070.21-0.4010
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26Golden State$22,877,000$31,087,000$32,856,469$30,985,000$36,133,518$42,363,018$47,681,152$47,737,715$53,376,708$54,943,723$57,114,566$65,012,368$62,148,303$67,416,431$65,352,372$68,415,336$61,576,901$70,036,985$72,503,122$73,611,166$93,669,566$101,584,835$137,610,134$146,291,276$129,254,928$171,105,334$178,980,766$192,070,742$79,064,158-0.540.1720
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27LA Lakers$30,073,000$28,838,500$36,304,583$41,872,000$55,018,533$58,968,213$54,262,017$63,151,182$64,123,085$65,059,098$72,917,945$77,099,949$72,626,796$78,245,793$91,378,064$91,428,140$88,264,478$100,131,988$77,423,614$77,546,500$72,694,352$94,781,848$103,126,557$107,225,482$123,971,686$139,334,713$164,409,293$169,362,513$82,129,9970.33-0.508
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28LA Clippers$21,165,000$23,336,500$24,493,625$28,417,580$22,489,343$29,606,189$33,849,932$42,955,777$39,114,363$45,483,265$51,358,645$59,181,038$64,847,945$62,764,206$61,616,409$53,225,329$67,333,389$69,152,721$73,049,774$85,259,447$97,019,321$114,756,766$119,093,010$118,026,816$131,506,341$139,722,606$168,378,382$191,711,055$72,818,385-0.480.6129
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29Phoenix$36,525,000$36,140,000$36,937,876$36,101,500$46,544,037$53,906,347$56,596,369$55,225,080$66,931,770$44,598,682$53,626,924$65,841,120$71,323,049$76,130,408$65,288,544$65,979,054$80,640,576$54,196,264$55,569,468$58,018,672$68,095,365$89,754,590$92,684,083$108,692,835$98,539,675$128,858,241$136,476,474$174,777,771$71,928,5630.07-0.517
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30New Orleans$44,458,882$49,800,204$56,572,882$41,277,617$53,748,991$62,609,991$67,530,808$70,163,827$68,230,729$65,441,008$64,134,537$67,358,651$80,012,866$83,709,371$101,616,451$120,814,452$116,052,756$117,868,297$133,901,495$135,793,968$148,357,985$83,307,4180.15-0.2413
80
81
average$24,974,743$27,712,800$32,708,207$36,892,181$45,314,984$51,853,886$53,744,919$58,049,033$57,957,760$59,122,201$63,248,999$64,645,788$68,796,241$71,950,425$70,437,139$67,529,008$67,205,841$67,197,944$67,629,677$71,350,344$78,468,912$98,869,315$111,890,530$120,126,494$118,831,134$130,173,020$137,393,389$150,488,469
82
stdev/average0.220.300.270.220.240.250.210.240.220.260.280.200.160.130.140.160.160.150.160.140.140.120.130.130.090.120.140.14
83
change yoy10.96%18.03%12.79%22.83%14.43%3.65%8.01%-0.16%2.01%6.98%2.21%6.42%4.58%-2.10%-4.13%-0.48%-0.01%0.64%5.50%9.98%26.00%13.17%7.36%-1.08%9.54%5.55%9.53%
84
vs. cap8.59%13.58%21.59%22.97%32.89%46.07%26.46%44.04%32.32%34.67%27.78%21.74%23.73%22.57%22.07%16.43%15.87%15.86%15.21%13.08%12.10%5.07%12.91%17.89%8.92%19.32%22.24%30.07%
85
Teams above cap17192125272727292627262727292824232624222519242725262929
86
Correl of YOY change in cap/change in salary0.60
87
88
89
Player payroll vs. annual average
avgcorrel with successcorrel/last 10 years
rank of correl 10 years
90
1Boston81.0%93.3%81.9%87.4%101.8%99.3%88.4%91.3%104.4%109.2%90.0%97.4%108.3%110.1%118.6%121.5%118.8%112.4%104.8%87.2%98.3%94.5%103.0%104.3%99.1%102.1%99.4%100.3%-0.420.2329
91
2New York173.5%93.5%165.0%162.5%159.5%142.7%160.0%162.3%155.1%173.5%200.2%181.5%139.8%134.3%121.7%99.2%114.7%119.0%131.7%114.0%94.6%103.8%94.2%102.7%84.3%78.5%87.8%131.5%0.02-0.0525
92
3Brooklyn90.4%91.8%87.1%118.5%117.5%133.0%139.9%104.9%110.4%93.0%105.1%99.8%89.9%87.1%84.3%86.6%97.1%130.4%151.7%123.1%102.3%83.3%85.3%98.9%100.0%130.9%127.2%106.3%-0.49-0.658
93
4Philadelphia100.6%85.4%96.1%112.5%96.9%98.5%108.1%112.6%104.7%121.7%134.1%107.0%107.6%94.9%92.1%102.1%99.2%99.3%76.5%76.2%82.3%85.7%90.1%95.8%109.3%113.6%108.4%100.4%-0.46-0.792
94
5Washington89.0%126.1%124.5%92.2%117.4%113.9%101.9%81.1%79.2%84.2%86.3%97.0%94.9%98.3%104.3%86.4%82.4%88.9%95.7%102.8%108.4%105.2%110.2%103.0%102.1%100.9%93.2%98.9%-0.20-0.3715
95
6Orlando146.3%144.9%134.4%125.0%91.8%72.2%85.6%87.6%87.7%112.4%119.8%95.1%84.5%96.8%116.7%134.4%130.9%99.0%84.2%83.6%80.5%105.3%88.2%95.2%106.1%93.5%92.3%103.5%-0.49-0.1321
96
7Miami88.4%80.9%105.9%120.9%115.8%141.7%99.3%99.6%82.1%100.7%96.0%99.6%108.7%97.7%105.4%98.0%112.3%119.7%119.5%106.3%109.3%101.9%119.4%127.5%109.3%103.5%102.5%106.4%-0.06-0.0722
97
8Toronto71.9%67.2%75.7%93.2%76.6%73.9%98.0%96.2%109.3%104.4%98.7%78.9%96.0%102.1%96.3%103.6%81.9%94.8%105.8%114.0%91.2%109.8%104.5%114.7%103.1%99.2%98.2%94.8%-0.29-0.3317
98
9Milwaukee92.1%87.4%79.2%91.4%98.6%111.5%104.6%100.7%92.3%97.2%99.6%98.2%91.0%99.2%94.8%102.3%89.6%92.9%80.4%76.3%94.1%97.3%107.7%109.0%103.2%105.0%117.1%96.8%-0.57-0.694
99
10Chicago94.1%210.3%187.5%77.6%59.7%57.3%79.3%77.3%96.2%96.9%90.4%84.7%91.7%94.7%99.0%80.8%103.5%110.9%108.4%94.5%111.0%93.6%80.9%93.7%94.8%99.1%99.0%98.8%-0.57-0.5512
100
11Indiana95.7%142.5%119.7%123.1%121.3%106.2%99.4%92.9%100.8%111.7%124.6%97.6%96.3%96.8%94.7%96.4%76.7%98.4%99.3%104.8%91.3%91.3%85.1%92.2%95.0%100.0%100.6%102.0%-0.010.4330