ECP_TN07_11.24.25.xlsm

	A	B	C	D	E	F
1	Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
2			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
3	Valid	Approve	283	47.1	47.1	47.1
4		Disapprove	293	48.9	48.9	96.0
5		Neutral or no opinion	24	4.0	4.0	100.0
6		Total	600	100.0	100.0
7
8	What is your party affiliation?
9			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
10	Valid	Democrat	193	32.2	32.2	32.2
11		Republican	257	42.9	42.9	75.0
12		Independent/other	150	25.0	25.0	100.0
13		Total	600	100.0	100.0
14
15	How likely are you to vote in the December 2, 2025 special election for Congress in Tennessee?
16			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
17	Valid	Already voted early/absentee	252	42.0	42.0	42.0
18		Very likely	348	58.0	58.0	100.0
19		Total	600	100.0	100.0
20
21	EV + Day-of Vote: If the 2025 special election for US Congress were held today, who would you vote for at this time? / Who did you vote for in the 2025 special election for US Congress?
22			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
23	Valid	Democrat Aftyn Behn	276	46.0	46.0	46.0
24		Republican Matt Van Epps	285	47.5	47.5	93.5
25		Independent Teresa "Terri" Christie	3	0.5	0.5	94.0
26		Independent Bobby Dodge	1	0.1	0.1	94.1
27		Independent Robert James Sutherby	1	0.1	0.1	94.2
28		Independent Jon Thorp	7	1.2	1.2	95.4
29		Undecided	28	4.6	4.6	100.0
30		Total	600	100.0	100.0
31
32	Although you are undecided, which candidate do you lean toward?
33			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
34	Valid	Democrat Aftyn Behn	6	1.0	22.5	22.5
35		Republican Matt Van Epps	12	1.9	42.1	64.6
36		Independent Teresa "Terri" Christie	1	0.1	3.1	67.6
37		Independent Bobby Dodge	7	1.2	25.1	92.7
38		Independent Jon Thorp	2	0.3	7.3	100.0
39		Total	28	4.6	100.0
40	Missing	System	572	95.4
41	Total		600	100.0
42
43	Combined Vote after Push
44			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
45	Valid	Democrat Aftyn Behn	282	47.0	47.0	47.0
46		Republican Matt Van Epps	297	49.4	49.4	96.5
47		Independent Teresa "Terri" Christie	4	0.6	0.6	97.1
48		Independent Bobby Dodge	8	1.3	1.3	98.4
49		Independent Robert James Sutherby	1	0.1	0.1	98.5
50		Independent Jon Thorp	9	1.5	1.5	100.0
51		Total	600	100.0	100.0
52
53	Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals? First: Aftyn Behn
54			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
55	Valid	Very favorable	196	32.7	32.7	32.7
56		Somewhat favorable	88	14.7	14.7	47.4
57		Unsure/No Opinion	43	7.2	7.2	54.7
58		Somewhat unfavorable	40	6.6	6.6	61.3
59		Very unfavorable	206	34.3	34.3	95.6
60		I have never heard of this person	27	4.4	4.4	100.0
61		Total	600	100.0	100.0
62
63	Matt Van Epps
64			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
65	Valid	Very favorable	194	32.4	32.4	32.4
66		Somewhat favorable	87	14.4	14.4	46.9
67		Unsure/No Opinion	53	8.9	8.9	55.8
68		Somewhat unfavorable	35	5.9	5.9	61.7
69		Very unfavorable	209	34.9	34.9	96.6
70		I have never heard of this person	21	3.4	3.4	100.0
71		Total	600	100.0	100.0
72
73	What do you think is the most important issue facing Tennessee? - Selected Choice
74			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
75	Valid	Healthcare	77	12.8	12.8	12.8
76		Education	28	4.7	4.7	17.5
77		Economy (jobs, inflation, taxes)	228	38.0	38.0	55.5
78		Crime	32	5.3	5.3	60.8
79		Immigration	33	5.6	5.6	66.4
80		Housing affordability	92	15.4	15.4	81.7
81		Abortion access	4	0.7	0.7	82.5
82		Threats to democracy	77	12.8	12.8	95.2
83		Foreign policy	4	0.6	0.6	95.9
84		Something else (please specify)	25	4.1	4.1	100.0
85		Total	600	100.0	100.0
86
87	Did you vote in the 2025 October Primary Election for Congress?
88			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
89	Valid	Yes, Democratic primary	188	31.4	31.4	31.4
90		Yes, Republican primary	230	38.4	38.4	69.7
91		No	174	29.0	29.0	98.7
92		Unsure	8	1.3	1.3	100.0
93		Total	600	100.0	100.0
94
95	Who did you vote for in the 2024 Presidential election?
96			Frequency	Percent	Valid Percent	Cumulative Percent
97	Valid	Kamala Harris	245	40.9	40.9	40.9
98		Donald Trump	322	53.6	53.6	94.5
99		Someone else	27	4.5	4.5	98.9
100		Did not vote	7	1.1	1.1	100.0