examining the Oct 2022 Samotsvety nuclear risk update

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB
1			By forecaster							Sorted smallest (1) to largest (7)							Odds Ratios								Forecasters A, B, & G
2	Event	Timespan	forecaster A	forecaster B	forecaster C	forecaster D	forecaster E	forecaster F	forecaster G	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	7:1	6:2	2:1	3:2	4:3	5:4	6:5	7:6	min	median	max	odds ratio max:min

3	russia nukes ukraine	month	0.27	0.04	0.02	0.001	0.09	0.08	0.07	0.001	0.02	0.04	0.07	0.08	0.09	0.27	369.5	4.8	20.4	2.0	1.8	1.2	1.1	3.7	0.04	0.07	0.27	8.9
4	russia nukes ukraine	year	0.38	0.11	0.11	0.005	0.42	0.2	0.11	0.005	0.11	0.11	0.11	0.2	0.38	0.42	144.1	5.0	24.6	1.0	1.0	2.0	2.5	1.2	0.11	0.11	0.38	5.0
5	Escalation \| nukes ukraine	month	0.15	0.09	0.0013	0.00001	0.01	0.3	0.05	0.00001	0.0013	0.01	0.05	0.09	0.15	0.3	42856.7	135.6	130.2	7.8	5.2	1.9	1.8	2.4	0.05	0.09	0.15	3.4
6	Escalation \| nukes ukraine	year	0.2	0.15	0.0151	0.00001	0.15	0.4	0.1	0.00001	0.0151	0.1	0.15	0.15	0.2	0.4	66666.0	16.3	1533.1	7.2	1.6	1.0	1.4	2.7	0.1	0.15	0.2	2.3
7	London \| escalation	month	0.4	0.15	0.9985	0.05	0.02	0.002	0.5	0.002	0.02	0.05	0.15	0.4	0.5	0.9985	332167.7	49.0	10.2	2.6	3.4	3.8	1.5	665.7	0.15	0.4	0.5	5.7
8	London \| escalation	year	0.45	0.3	0.9985	0.05	0.12	0.01	0.5	0.01	0.05	0.12	0.3	0.45	0.5	0.9985	65901.0	19.0	5.2	2.6	3.1	1.9	1.2	665.7	0.3	0.45	0.5	2.3
9	london	month	0.01	0.00056	0.001251	0.00000001	0.000144	0.0012	0.001	0.00000001	0.000144	0.00056	0.001	0.0012	0.001251	0.01	1010101.0	8.7	14402.1	3.9	1.8	1.2	1.0	8.1	0.00056	0.001	0.01	18.0
10	tactical \| Ukraine	year	0.97	0.93	0.97	“Yes”	0.98	0.95	0.8	0.8	0.93	0.95	0.97	0.97	0.98	“Yes”	#VALUE!	3.7	3.3	1.4	1.7	1.0	1.5	#VALUE!	0.8	0.93	0.97	8.1
11
12	london & ukraine (calculated)	chained month	0.0162	0.00054	0.000025961	0.0000000005	0.000018	0.000048	0.00175	0.0000000005	0.000018	0.000025961	0.000048	0.00054	0.00175	0.0162	32933523.1	97.4	36000.6	1.4	1.8	11.3	3.2	9.4	0.00054	0.00175	0.0162	30.5
13	london & ukraine (calculated)	chained year	0.0342	0.00495	0.0016585085	0.0000000025	0.00756	0.0008	0.0055	0.0000000025	0.0008	0.0016585085	0.00495	0.0055	0.00756	0.0342	14164423.2	9.5	320256.2	2.1	3.0	1.1	1.4	4.6	0.00495	0.0055	0.0342	7.1
14	london ratio	Month / chained month	0.6172839506	1.037037037	48.18766611	20	8	25	0.5714285714	0.5714285714	0.6172839506	1.037037037	8	20	25	48.18766611	84.3	40.5	1.1	1.7	7.7	2.5	1.3	1.9	0.5714285714	0.6172839506	1.037037037	1.8
15	london ratio	Month / chained year	0.2923976608	0.1131313131	0.7542921848	4	0.01904761905	1.5	0.1818181818	0.01904761905	0.1131313131	0.1818181818	0.2923976608	0.7542921848	1.5	4	210.0	13.3	5.9	1.6	1.6	2.6	2.0	2.7	0.1131313131	0.1818181818	0.2923976608	2.6
16	russia nukes ukraine	Month \| year	0.7105263158	0.3636363636	0.1818181818	0.2	0.2142857143	0.4	0.6363636364	0.1818181818	0.2	0.2142857143	0.3636363636	0.4	0.6363636364	0.7105263158	11.0	7.0	1.1	1.1	2.1	1.2	2.6	1.4	0.3636363636	0.6363636364	0.7105263158	4.3
17	Escalation \| nukes ukraine	Month \| year	0.75	0.6	0.08609271523	1	0.06666666667	0.75	0.5	0.06666666667	0.08609271523	0.5	0.6	0.75	0.75	1	#DIV/0!	31.8	1.3	10.6	1.5	2.0	1.0	#DIV/0!	0.5	0.6	0.75	3.0
18	London \| escalation	Month \| year	0.8888888889	0.5	1	1	0.1666666667	0.2	1	0.1666666667	0.2	0.5	0.8888888889	1	1	1	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	1.3	4.0	8.0	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	0.5	0.8888888889	1	#DIV/0!