2014 EA survey questions & predictions

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	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L
1	Predictions by (add yourself) ->	Jacy Anthis	Kyle Scott	Alex Richard	Xio Kikauka	Peter Hurford	Boris Yakubchik	Tom Ash	Evan Gaensbauer	Joey Savoie	David Moss	Zoe Williams

2	This survey is for everyone
3	Have you ever heard of the term ‘Effective Altruism’ or ‘EA’?
4	Could you, however loosely, be described as 'an EA'?
5	Basic information
6	Your name
7	Your email address
8	Your views and values
9	What moral philosophy do you subscribe to, if any?	No opinion, Consequentialist	<50% will use the first three choices	utilitarianism, then no opinion		majority consequentialist, sizable minority of error theory / objection to moral realism	utilitarianism		no opinion, consequentialist	utilitarianism		Larger than 60% no opinion or consequentalist
10	Which of the following causes do you think you should devote resources to?	Global poverty, x-risk, meta	nothing new to add to other predictions	global poverty > animals > x-risk	x-risk and meta causes top --> poverty --> animals	global poverty > x-risk > animals		Global poverty most popular first-order cause	global poverty > animals > x-risk			>40% tick either x-risk or meta
11	Please list any actions you are taking to support these causes	Donations, research, writing/idea-spreading	volunteerism, community work	Donations, then outreach					spreading ideas
12	Roughly how many hours a month do you spend on these activities?	high variance here, bimodal answers centered on 0-5 and 20-50
13	What is your diet?	Reducing, veget, meat, then near veg	Reducing most?		vegetarian 20%	majority eating meat, 10%-20% vegetarian/vegan			reducing meat			>10% vegetarian or vegan, <80% tick meat-eating
14	Do you identify with any other social movements?	LW/rationalism (most inclined to take surveys)	depends on survey outreach		rationalism most popular answer	Atheism and rationalism together will be a large majority of responses		Skepticism/atheism most popular answer	atheism	Skepticism/atheism most popular answer
15	You and EA
16	In which year did you first hear the term 'Effective Altruism'?	when the first LW article on EA appeared, then 2013	If I had to guess, 2013			2013 to be the plurality			2013
17	How did you first hear about 'Effective Altruism'?	LW, FB, GWWC/80K, Peter Singer, then Other				GiveWell to be the plurality			Peter Singer	Peter singer will be a very common response
18	Which factors were important in 'getting you into' Effective Altruism, or altering your actions in its direction?	Online, LW, then GWWC/80k	EA community			online community to be the plurality			online
19	Which of the following groups are you a member of, if any?	EA Facebook Group, LW, GWWC, then TLYCS	lowest barriers of entry probably			EA FB and LW together to be a large majority			Effective Altruism Facebook Group
20	Have you volunteered or worked for any of the following organisations?	GWWC, 80k, (then distant) GW, CFAR, Leverage, then MIRI							Centre for Effective Altruism
21	Roughly how many of your friends would describe themselves as Effective Altruists?	11-20, over 20, then under 5	the higher the number of respondents, the more it'll be 0-5						0-5	under 5 most popular answer		>50% say 0-5
22	Your past and planned donations
23	Over 2013, how much in total did you donate?	Average <$1000 (non-students)			>60% of people having donated less than $200	mean 5% of pre-tax income (including $0 for students with no income)		Many non-students without significant donations	Many non-students without significant donations	Many non-students without significant donations
24	What was your pre-tax income in 2013?	Average ~$40,000 (non-students)				median <$50K
25	Over 2013, did you donate to any of the following charities?	AMF, SCI, then CEA				AMF to be plurality			AMF
26	How much have you donated over your life?	Average <$5000 (non-students)
28	Do you plan to donate a certain amount either until you retire or until you die?	No, then ~10%				10% most common among those who pledge			10%
29	If so, to which causes?	Global poverty, other, then x-risk					global poverty		global poverty
33	Your career
34	What career path do you plan to follow?	None of these/other, direct, then etg				None of these / no answer / other to be large majority, earning to give next largest (~10%)	At least 30% will check off "Earning to Give" as something they are doing / plan to do. I hope I'm severely underestimating the E2G statistic - I hope it's at least 50%, but am afraid it won't be more than 60%.		none
36	Demographics		within folks who identify as EA
37	Your age	Average 24	<30		most people under 30	most people under 30			most people under 30	most people under 30		Majority under 28
38	Your gender	70-80% male	>75% male			>=70% male	>70% male	Over 70% male	male
39	Are you a full-time student?	40%				50/50 seems reasonable			no	50/50
40	What is the highest level of education you are currently pursuing or have completed?	Undergrad	post secondary			bachelors to be plurality			bachelor's degree	post secondary of some sort		<10% tick high-school
41	In which country do you live?	US, UK, then Switz	US/UK			US and UK to be majority, US > UK			UK	US/UK		Highest one will be US
44	Your religious beliefs	A/A/Non, then Christian in distant second	non-religious		>90% atheist / agnostic	>80% non-religious	70-90% atheist	Clear majority non-religious	non-religious	Clear majority non-religious		>85% non-religious
45	Your political views	Centre left, then centre, then far left	majority on left		>80% left, ~10% libertarian / other	>70% left of center, right to be least frequent response	Less than 10% conservative	Few conservatives or libertarians	centre	Clear majority left wing	Significant numbers of libertarians
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