Standard VI - MRP - CoL populism experiment.xlsx

	A	B	C	D
1	Seats won — control scenario
2	Party	Mean seats	Seats upper (95th pct)	Seats lower (5th pct)
3	Labour	95	109	82
4	Reform	332	363	300
5	Conservative	73	98	53
6	Green	22	29	16
7	Lib Dem	68	80	56
8	SNP	31	47	8
9	Plaid Cymru	10	16	6
10	Other	2	5	0
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12	Seats won — Labour only platform scenario
13	Party	Mean seats	Seats upper (95th pct)	Seats lower (5th pct)
14	Labour	358	381	330
15	Reform	178	202	157
16	Conservative	41	54	27
17	Green	4	8	2
18	Lib Dem	39	48	32
19	SNP	6	25	0
20	Plaid Cymru	5	7	4
21	Other	1	2	0
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23	Seats won — Labour and Reform platform scenario
24	Party	Mean seats	Seats upper (95th pct)	Seats lower (5th pct)
25	Labour	249	275	225
26	Reform	367	391	347
27	Conservative	0	2	0
28	Green	1	3	0
29	Lib Dem	8	12	5
30	SNP	5	23	0
31	Plaid Cymru	1	2	0
32	Other	0	1	0
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