| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | AB | AC | AD | AE | AF | AG | ||
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1 | Last updated: April 6th, 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Please note: Game plan and entry (H) and April Update (M) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | DISCLAIMER: This analysis cannot be reproduced or leveraged for commercial purposes by anyone who writes about stocks and is intended for the recipient only. The report, or any portion of the report, may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person for any purpose without purchasing a commercial license or institutional license. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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5 | Company Name | Ticker | Date Coverage Began (Beth) | Conviction Level (Beth) | Price at time of initial coverage | Current price (4/6/20) | Target Entry | Game Plan for New Entry | Long Term Cost Basis | Long Term Gains (no stops) | Closed and open setups (gains as of 4/1) | Fundamental Overview (Beth) | April Update (Beth) - Coronavirus | Risks (Beth) | Link to initial coverage (Beth) | Links to Fundamental Updates (Beth) | Link to Recent Chart | Link to recent closed position in real time | Additional Links | |||||||||||||||
6 | Microsoft | MSFT | 12/8/2018 | 10 | $107.59 | $376.53 | Our target is between $125.50 and $90. There is heavy support between $135 and $131. We believe this support will break, which will put the target in play. | 3/18:We have a low cost basis in this stock and will be looking to build our final postion in this range. The 200-day SMA is trending down and the internals have yet to reach oversold levels, which we think will change. | $121.97 | 209% | 9% (Still open. Buy the breakout at $144 last year - no stop specified. Watch the $135 support region) | Microsoft has a 2-3x runway due to hybrid cloud and enterprise strength; will be a leader in AI cloud computing with nearly pure play focus; valuation not cheap. We predict MSFT will outpace Apple by 2025. | Cloud infrastructure/data center was already a primary focus area for 2020 and could be a growth area with shelter in place. | Not many risks; Valuation is historically high | https://seekingalpha.com/article/4227330-why-microsoft-beat-amazon-on-cloud-in-2-years?source=all_articles_title | https://research.beth.technology/thoughts-on-msft/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/microsoft/updated-chart-entries-4/#post-1147 | https://research.beth.technology/?s=microsoft https://beth.technology/?s=Microsoft https://seekingalpha.com/article/4315014-how-microsoft-won-pentagon-contract-and-why-matters?source=all_articles_title | ||||||||||||||||
7 | Nvidia | NVDA | 11/1/2018 | 10 | $160.00 | $200.19 | Nvidia is currently below its 200-day moving average and right above it VWAP, which is anchored from the October high. We believe it will break this, as well as the $172 support, and we will target entries between $175 and $121. | 3/17: The momentum suggests Nvidia has further to go before bottoming. Smart money is not selling out yet. We will be more than satisfied to get Nvidia in this price range. Please note, we have a low cost basis already on Nvidia from two years ago. | $149.05 | 34% | Nvidia will be a leader in AI due to GPUs and developer buy-in. We predict Nvidia will be one of world's most valuable companies by 2030 due to data center | Cloud infrastructure/data center was already a primary focus area for 2020 and could be a growth area with shelter in place. Gaming is a question mark as to how it'll effect Nvidia in the current cycle. | Low Risk; other semiconductors could drag Nvidia down or temp China geopolitical relations/supply chain. We think once Mellanox acquisition closes, Nvidia should begin to pass former resistance levels and current prices will be in rear view once this acquisititon begins to contribute to Nvidia's market lead | Seeking Alpha Nov 2018: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4222511-holding-nvidia-stock-will-pay-off-due-to-two-impenetrable-moats | NVIDIA PDF: https://research.beth.technology/nvidia-premium-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/nvidia/ | We have covered Nvidia extensively including Mellanox acquisition: https://research.beth.technology/?s=Nvidia https://beth.technology/?s=Nvidia | |||||||||||||||||
8 | Alibaba | BABA | 11/7/2019 | 10 | $186.66 | $111.25 | Our target will be between $167 and $136. Also, smart money is buying into the decline. The MACD is at its lowest support and the RSI has yet to reach oversold levels. We have a low cost basis in the stock and will be building our final position size in this range. | 3/18: Alibaba is clearly in the larger degree fourth wave and within that fourth wave, we are in the C-wave. Like many stocks, BABA hasn’t officially ended it’s third wave from the C-wave. However, historically, the $167-$160 region has been very strong support. | $152.40 | -27% | Alibaba will be the cloud leader in China's soon-to-be burgeoning AI market; valuation cheap due to China troubles. We predict Alibaba will outpace many United States FANGs due to diversification across B2B ecommerce and the nascent cloud market (and China's nationalism) | Cloud infrastructure/data center was already a primary focus area for 2020 and could be a growth area with shelter in place. Online commerce should be strong. | Geopolitical and supply chain issues -- although we have seen BABA fare well through many turbulent issues with China, notably we recommended the stock during the height of the trade war issues. | April 2019 on FATrader and on premium: https://research.beth.technology/check-in-roku-ttd-baba-uber-tlra-and-upcoming-5g-nov-6th/ | https://research.beth.technology/alibaba-premium-analysis-2019/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/baba/updated-chart-new-entries-2/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=alibaba https://beth.technology/?s=Alibaba | |||||||||||||||||
9 | AMD | AMD | 3/18/2020 | 10 | $39.12 | $553.66 | Our target is between $34-$15. It is being held up as a general in this bear market. IF the $34 support breaks, it will give well into our target region. With such a promising future, we also wouldn't be shocked if its price holds the $34 region. | Layer in at desending levels, starting with $34 | Cloud infrastructure/data center was already a primary focus area for 2020 and could be a growth area with shelter in place. Gaming is question mark as to how it'll effect AMD in the current cycle. | https://research.beth.technology/amd-2020-premium-research/ | https://research.beth.technology/amd-2020-premium-research/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/and/updated-chart-entries-7/ | https://seekingalpha.com/research/45714056-beth-kindig/5421999-amd-2020-premium-research?source=premium_articles_title | |||||||||||||||||||||
10 | Datadog | DDOG | 1/14/2020 | 8 | $39.27 | $269.31 | Our target is between $27 and $20. Smart money isn’t selling out of this position yet and the internals are not showing any signs of slowing down. | 3/18: Still trending in the third wave of the C-wave. Like most stocks in the market this 3rd wave is extending. There’s a bear flag that has formed, and below $30, it will be confirmed. We will wait for positive divergence within our target, which is a sign that a bottom is in place. | -1% (Bought at $33.82 - Stopped out at %39.60 - bought at time of support) | Hybrid cloud monitoring is a big enough trend that I am recommending both companies. Datadog is more agile and has more revenue growth than Dynatrace, but both should do well this year. | Cloud infrastructure monitoring should follow IaaS growth | High valuation; not many risks with product | https://seekingalpha.com/research/45714056-beth-kindig/5396419-datadog-premium-analysis?source=premium_articles_title | https://research.beth.technology/datadog-premium-research/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/datadog/updated-chart-entries-3/#post-1146 | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Datadog | ||||||||||||||||||
11 | Dynatrace | DT | 1/21/2020 | 8 | $26.26 | $44.20 | Our target entry is between $18 - $12. We will start layering in as DT hits our targets, starting off small. | It's clearly in a corrective, 4th wave, suggesting another low is in its future. We will want to see positive divergence as it hits this new low to confirm a bottoming structure. | -7.5% (Bought at $29.22 - Stopped out at $27) | Hybrid cloud is an important micro trend right now as IT budgets migrate to multi-cloud and hybrid cloud rather than public cloud-only. Dynatrace's focus on the enterprise could pay off as these are the budgets migrating in the short-term. | Cloud infrastructure monitoring should follow IaaS growth | Forward revenue growth is lower than competitors due to business model change; not many risks' | https://seekingalpha.com/research/45714056-beth-kindig/5399079-dynatrace-premium-research?source=premium_articles_title | https://research.beth.technology/dynatrace-premium-research/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/dynatrace/updated-chart-entries-8/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Dynatrace | ||||||||||||||||||
12 | Zoom Video | ZM | 9/6/2019 | 9 | $85.41 | $88.21 | Zoom is retracing into a 4th wave. It is abuy between $130 - $107.50. Hard stop at $107.50 | We will play the wave structure and buy into the corrective dips. | $73.04 | 21% | +101% (Still open. Buy in the low $60s, mid $70s, and again at $103. We sold half our position at $156, holding the remainder without a stop. For new longs - hard stop at $107.50.) | Cloud productivity tools are a hyper trend due to cost-benefits with strong ROI for customers. Zoom's nearly unrivaled as they take on Cisco Webex. Valuation not cheap; follow Knox closely | Lots of trend followers/quants in the stock now. Great product, solid financials. As I put in PDF, product has viral mechanism that competitors do not have. Look to Knox for TA from here. | Not many risks; Valuation is high | April 2019 on FATrader and here for premium: https://research.beth.technology/zoom-video-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/zoom-video-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/zoom/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Zoom+Video https://beth.technology/zoom-video-analysis-from-long-time-bull/ | ||||||||||||||||
13 | Slack | WORK | 6/6/2019 | 8 | $37.22 (IPO) | #N/A | Slack is finding heavy support at $15.20 to $16.00. Due to recent information about a sharp increase in paid subscribers, we are increasing our target entry to $16. | 3/16: We are allocated 20% of our Slack position at $15.80 and are looking to buy more into renewed strength or weakness. | $15.98 | #N/A | +2% (Traded the range between $20-$25 3 times. Went long at $23.77 - stopped out at $24.25)….Opened new position below $16 | Cloud productivity tool that has too much traction to fail, in our opinion. There will be many anti-MSFT customers (we said this at Slack's low point). Slack is early to the trend of business messaging. Expect Slack to defy typical Wall Street metrics due to product-market fit. Valuation is not cheap; follow Knox closely | Slack is a great product. MSFT Teams does not concern me. Addressable market much larger than investors realize (similar to $ZM). Slack has not proven itself with monetization as they drive hard on the fremium model. This is not a concern to me long-term. Will likely post decent user growth but at expense of bottom line. Until, one day, it won't and the bottom line will catch up. | Product is early to the market; valuation is high | https://beth.technology/slack-ipo/ | https://research.beth.technology/slack-update-earnings-perfect/ | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-march-29/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Slack https://beth.technology/?s=Slack | ||||||||||||||||
14 | Lam Research | LRCX | 3/31/2020 | 7 | $218.15 | $361.63 | We will look to go long in LRCX around the $175 region. The structure suggests this will be tested. If it doesn't hold, we will be heavy buyers around $161 | LAM is still holding onto the 4th wave structure. If it continues higher, it will be in either the ealry stages of a recovery, or a more complex drawdown. We still believe the odds favor a retest of the lows, and will look around this region to enter. | Cash efficient semiconductor. Headquarters are closed right now. High on my wish list for a coronavirus discount. | https://research.beth.technology/lam-research-premium-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/lam-research/updated-chart-and-entry-target/#post-1436 | https://research.beth.technology/lam-research-spreadsheet/ https://seekingalpha.com/research/45714056-beth-kindig/5427683-lam-research-premium-analysis | ||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Netflix | NFLX | 10/16/2019 | 6 | $286.28 | $75.44 | Target between $280 - $250. Below $250 is a hard stop on this setup | 3/23: We are currently moving in the B-wave up which will give to a C-wave down. If Netflix breaks out to new highs of $394, this will invalidate our analysis. If it breaks above $385, it will tilt the probabilities to a more bullish short term outcome. | Netflix is here to stay and is not only rivaling Pay TV (still) but also Hollywood). There is truly no media company like Netflix in terms of market share and global potential (Roku is an ad platform; not media company) | Noise over Disney+ and Apple TV+ has subsided. I've been firm that Netflix is unshakeable and bears would be proven wrong. There could be increased infrastructure costs for Netflix this year due to increase in streaming per account. Look to Knox for TA and entry. | Debt load | https://beth.technology/dethrone-netflix/ | https://research.beth.technology/october-15th-update-netflix/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/netflix/updated-chart-and-entry-target-2/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Netflix https://beth.technology/?s=Netflix | |||||||||||||||||||
16 | Twilio | TWLO | 5/30/2019 | 5 | $126.93 | $214.46 | Target between $70 and $45. The 200-day SMA is trending down. Twilio is clearly in a C-wave and the stock is currently in its fourth wave up. We can expect a fifth wave to lower levels. | The downward momentum is notable in Twilio, and we expect another leg lower. We'll look for positive divergence around key supports within the target box to indicate an entry. | Twilio has solid fundamentals for a cloud stock. I don't see a major catalyst until 5G has proliferated and applications are developed | Need more information on Twilio's guidance due to usage based pricing and exposure to wide range of industries, including ride-sharing, real estate, etc. Too big of question mark. | SendGrid acquisition still needs to prove itself and 4G apps have been built out. Twilio does have nice vendor lock-in on 4G but real growth will resume once 5G apps come to market | https://beth.technology/podcast-twilio/ | https://research.beth.technology/twilio-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/twilio/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Twilio | |||||||||||||||||||
17 | Elastic | ESTC | 1/28/2020 | 5 | $65.99 | $60.85 | I’m targeting between $33 and $38 for the third wave and $30 and $35 for the final fifth wave. I will look to start buying between $38 to $25. | 3/23: Elastic is also in a C-wave pattern down. However, I do not believe the third wave is complete. I'll be looking for positive divergence and completed symmetrical 5th wave structure. | +12.60% (bought at $65.57 - Stopped out at $69. Structure broke the wave 3 impulse below this level) | For me, this is all about product and wanting an open source/open core company in the portfolio and speculating that Elastic can expand to include security (I think it can) | Big competitors: MongoDB and Splunk | https://research.beth.technology/tech-trends-my-current-convictions-january-2020/ | https://research.beth.technology/elastic-premium-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/estc/elastic/paged/2/#post-1440 | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Elastic | |||||||||||||||||||
18 | Shopify | SHOP | 10/5/2019 | 5 | $290.65 | $120.12 | Support region between $296 and $264 will be very difficult to breakthrough. However, we think this is likely to happen and are targeting $280 and $159. | 3/17: We will look to build in this target region while also monitoring TA for positive divergence to appear. Once positive divergence occurs, we will allocate the majority of our position. | +39% (Bought at 290.65 just above the head and shoulders pattern discussed on the forum and updates - stopped out at $395) | Shopify has a long runway by serving the side of the equation that Amazon has ignored - the merchants. E-commerce is due for disruption. Shopify has incredible forward EPS growth this year of 400%, which is why the market is so hot on the company right now. If not in this stock, then use TA for the right entry to avoid overpaying. | High valuation; priced for perfection | https://research.beth.technology/shopify-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/shopify-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/shopify/updated-chart-target-entries-2/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Shopify | |||||||||||||||||||
19 | Qualcomm | QCOM | 2/15/2019 | 5 | $51.98 | $191.00 | Qualcomm found support at the $62 range which is a heavy confluence of price clusters. We believe it will break this support with a target of $40 to $60. | 3/17: We will look for signals of a bottom around key support levels, which is currently at $60, $55 and $50. Once positive divergence occurs, we will allocate the majority of our position. | -9.5% (Small position at $80.18 - Stopped out at $72.5 - bought at support with a small position - story has changed due to 5G updates) | Powering 5G consumer devices and enterprise use cases. Most investors are fatigued with Qcom but we see it as being in the right part of the 5G stack for diversification across manufacturers | It looks like 5G is being pushed out. Qualcomm may need to lower revenue guidance. I'm favoring patience on QCOM right now as I prioritize the data center | Not the best reputation, 5G roll-out could be delayed (Qcom should still be okay with delays due to diverisification) | https://beth.technology/podcast-tech-lightning-rounds/ | https://research.beth.technology/5g-premium-analysis/ https://beth.technology/5g-technology-podcast/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/qcom/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Qualcomm https://beth.technology/?s=Qualcomm | ||||||||||||||||||
20 | Roku | ROKU | 5/8/2018 | 5 | $33.12 | $139.60 | We are targeting the lower end of the trend channel between $70 and $35 region. This lines up with key Fibonacci price clusters. Follow Knox on forum for charts. | 3/16: After a corrective rebound (4th wave), we will need to see the internals reset. We are expecting a final leg lower (5th wave), we will want to see positive divergence around key support levels. | $29.88 | 367% | -23% (Stopped out at 86% - Layered in at supports: $125,$115,$98) | Roku will deliver free ad-supported TV to global audiences at $20 ARPU; may be rocky in 2020 due to EPS. We predict Roku will rival Netlflix for global OTT. Expect phenomenal growth with broadband tailwinds 2022-2024ish | We have many indications that ad spend is down. The current information is that Q1 and Q2 will be tough for ad spend. Roku likely to feel these effects. Use proper risk management. User accounts could grow quite well and then when ad-tech resumes, Roku will be back on the map in a big way. | Negative earnings this year will decline further YoY as Roku grows globally 2020-2021. Market may cool off this year with Roku but once the company is profitable, we think these prices will be hard to attain again. We think stock will take off when company is profitable | https://seekingalpha.com/article/4171113-long-on-roku-even-miss-q1-earnings?source=all_articles_title | https://research.beth.technology/roku-and-the-trade-desk-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-march-29/ | https://research.beth.technology/page/2/?s=Roku https://beth.technology/?s=roku https://research.beth.technology/?s=roku | ||||||||||||||||
21 | Mongo DB | MDB | 7/25/2019 | 5 | $155.70 | $360.87 | The target is between $95 and $67. MDB is ending its 4th wave and appears to be starting it’s 5th wave. The pattern is showing negative divergence which confirms this. | MDB seems to have completed the B-wave up, and in the early stages of a C-wave down. The structure is too overlapping to say the bottom is in. Also, the internals are suggesting weakness as well. I'll look to pick up shares around $95, if we get there. Otherwise, I'll look to go in when the uptrend returns. | NoSQL database allows for unstructured data with cloud product Atlas making up close to 50% of revenue; #1 wanted database skills among developers | MongoDB is spending a lot to maintain market position; should do well with catalyst of AI and ML. Market may penalize MDB in short-term as the company foregoes earnings for growth. | https://beth.technology/mongodb-atlas/ | https://research.beth.technology/mongodb-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/mongodb/updated-chart-and-entries/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=MongoDB https://beth.technology/?s=MongoDB | ||||||||||||||||||||
22 | Workday | WDAY | 8/29/2019 | 5 | $187.65 | $136.15 | target between $122-$99. Hard stop if we close below $99. | The structure is suggesting a pootential bottom is shaping up. I still want to see positive divergence and an attempt at a new low first. The structure is stretched, and it's getting harder to defend that this is a 4th wave pullback in a larger degree 5-wave structure. As long as we hold above $99, I'll maintain this plan. | SaaS company that serves the human capital management and financial management ERP markets. Company should breakout from ML in 1-2 years | Workday has pros and cons. The pros are that more teams are virtual now. On-premise HR/finance software won't work for most companies. The company holds a lot of debt and has to spend to capture AI. This could hurt bottom line | Debt load and competitors. | https://research.beth.technology/workday-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/workday-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/workday-wday/updated-chart-and-entry/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Workday | |||||||||||||||||||
23 | Alteryx | AYX | 11/22/2019 | 5 | $105.36 | #N/A | I am targeting the $78 range to $55. Considering it’s a second wave, I think it’s likely that it will hit the $64 region, which is the 38.2% retrace level. Believe it or not, this is a shallow wave 2. Most second waves target the 50%-61.8% | 3/19: Alteryx completed its larger degree first wave up, like many cloud stocks. This puts us in the larger degree second wave, which we have been talking about for about six months. We plan to be more patient with AYX, due to the 38.2% retrace level as well as the open gap around $45. We will likely start small, and look for these targets coupled with positive difergence to go all in. | +3.7% (Stopped out at 121.9 - bought on the structure apearing to be a 3rd wave) | Meets a market demand with citizen data scientists and Alteryx does well with current customer base | I am concerned about Alteryx's price (cost-benefit ratio) and the number of citizen data scientists that could get laid off in favor of more technical data scientists. | Alteryx is high priced for customers. We are honoring our stops on this stock.Gartner de-ranked Alteryx down from Leader to Challenger in 2019 but Alteryx returned to Leader quadrant in 2020. | https://beth.technology/alteryx-stock-price-downside/ | https://research.beth.technology/alteryx-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/alteryx/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Alteryx https://beth.technology/?s=Alteryx | ||||||||||||||||||
24 | Marvell | MRVL | 1/31/2020 | 5 | $24.04 | $246.09 | Targetin between $21-$16 with a hard stop below $14.30. | MRVL's structure is enough for a complete larger degree wave 2. Also, we have 5-waves up from the low. If this is accurate, it will pull back correctivly and then setup for a wave 3 up. I like the risk/reward here with a stop at $14.30. Below $14.30, and the bullish setup changes. | ASICs (and FPGAs) are more specialized than Nvidia's GPUs. Marvell is moving into ASICs. In addition, Marvell supplies Samsung, a company that will be gaining market share now that Huawei is a security risk | ASICs and FPGAs are a pet project of mine bc one day, at least one of these chips should catch on soon. A starter position is a good idea. | We are too early to the market on this one but I believe Marvell and/or Xilinx will have a nice turnaround once product-market fit is acheivedd | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-january-31st/ | https://research.beth.technology/marvell-technology-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/marvell/updated-chart-and-entry-targets/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Marvell | |||||||||||||||||||
25 | PINS | 4/23/2019 | 4 | $25.85 | $22.62 | There are some stocks that the market has deserted. This doesn’t mean the fundamentals aren’t strong. Pinterest is one of these stocks. Our target is between $10 and $7. | 3/18: The $11.00 to $10.50 is strong support. The MACD is starting to show some positive divergence, which means the third wave may be ending. This will result in a fourth wave bounce and a subsequent fifth wave/leg lower. We are targeting the fifth wave/leg lower. | -6.5% (Stopped out when PINS broke to new lows at $17.35. Attempting to buy at a potential 2nd wave bottom) | https://research.beth.technology/community/pinterest-pins/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
26 | The Trade Desk | TTD | 10/27/2019 | 4 | $209.97 | $19.27 | TTD is seeing a corrective bounce at $160. The next support region for TTD is $137. Below this level and the $123 and $95 region are in play. Target range is $137 to $95 | 3/16: After a corrective rebound (4th wave), we will need to see the internals reset. We are expecting a final leg lower (5th wave), we will want to see positive divergence around key support levels. | +33% (Stopped out at 254.9 - bought on weakness after overreaction to earnings) | Same as Telaria, I am bullish on Connected TV ads with TTD. I do perfer supply side (TLRA) more than demand side (TTD) but TTD is a first mover in delivering omni-channel campaigns with Connected TV. | The Trade Desk and ad exchanges will be impacted from reduced ad spend. I would not initiate in TTD right now and try to get very low in Q2 | Centered in growth trend; TTD could face changes with its Advertiser ID. Not an issue right now | April 2019 on FATrader and here for premium: https://seekingalpha.com/research/45714056-beth-kindig/5366695-roku-and-trade-desk-8-6-19?source=premium_articles_title | https://research.beth.technology/roku-and-the-trade-desk-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/the-trade-desk/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=The+Trade+Desk https://beth.technology/?s=The+Trade+Desk | ||||||||||||||||||
27 | Telaria | TLRA | 10/27/2019 | 4 | $7.89 | $6.00 | Telaria’s structure is difficult to analyze. From what I can tell, the stock is in the fourth wave. The low will take us to $4.50 to $2.70. The accumulation/distribution indicator suggests that smart money is buying into the selloff with Telaria. | 3/19: Downward momentum is showing no signs of slowing down. With Telaria, like all stocks that are in a clear C-wave, we will wait for the 5th wave to unfold, then look for positive divergence between the price and internal indicators. | +25% (Stopped out at $8.25 - bought on pulback, followed impulse until it broke) | I am very bullish on connected TV ads. Brand budgets will continue to seek out ways to reach cord-cutters. These brands highly prefer television impressions over mobile or desktop due to completion rates (you actually complete an ad when you view it on the TV). Connected TV ads also lets brands use data to target with privacy compliance. | Telaria/Rubicon and ad exchanges will be impacted from reduced ad spend. | Centered in growth trend; Rubicon is the main risk as the company has ad measurement issues to sort through | https://seekingalpha.com/research/45714056-beth-kindig/5365482-small-cap-connected-tv-telaria-tlra-10-17-19?source=premium_articles_title | https://research.beth.technology/connected-tv-small-cap/ | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-feb-22nd/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Telaria | ||||||||||||||||||
28 | Boingo | WIFI | 11/20/2019 | 4 | $11.38 | $0.03 | +13% (Stopped outnat 10.95 - Attempted Cup and Handle and 1-2 setup) | Cellular 5G doesn't work indoors. Boingo is partnered with Verizon and hopefully others to deliver last mile connectivity | I'm surprised Boingo has held up this well considering it supplies hotspots for areas where large crowds congregate. If there is a buyout coming, my best *guess* is a wireless network. | Capex costs for DAS | https://research.beth.technology/boingo-technical-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/tech-trends-my-current-convictions-january-2020/ | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-feb-22nd/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Boingo | ||||||||||||||||||||
29 | Inseego | INSG | 2/7/2019 | 3 | $5.05 | $8.42 | -18% (Stopped out at $6.5 - layered in) | WiFi hotspots for 5G connectivity and fixed wireless access for 5G | Inseego has had favorable press lately on CNBC about a surge in 4G hotspots. | Many competitors; small cap so always more risky | https://research.beth.technology/inseego-premium-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/inseego-premium-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/inseego-technical-analysis-insg/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Inseego | ||||||||||||||||||||
30 | Bitcoin | BTCUSD | 7/3/2019 | 8 | $11,961.27 | $62,873.10 | We are in a wait and see with Bitcoin. I either want to see it break above $9,250 before going long. Or, it will break below $5990, at wich point I will be targeting below the recent lows to go long. | The uptrend off this low appears to be corrective, and based on how Bitcoin has fallen apart since institutions have been allowed to trade it efficiently, I'm leaning towards the red count as of now. We believe in the long term viability of Bitcoin, and that it holds a small place in all portfolios. As of now, we want to see it break out above $9,250 or confirming a break down below the $5990. If this happens, my target will be around $2,000 per BTC. On the other hand, if the green counts becomes the primary, keep in mind the target level is very high above the current all time high. | -5% (we triggered our stop at $7,000, but didn't get filled until the $6,800 range.) | Financial systems are very risky globally - bitcoin is a disruptive method for wealthy global populations to remain liquid and for undeveloped countries and populations to find stability when their own currency is going through inflation. This is a global trend rather than a debate about United States centralized financial system | Like Bitcoin as a hedge | Financial systems are very risky globally - bitcoin is a disruptive method for wealthy global populations to remain liquid and for undeveloped countries and populations to find stability when their own currency is going through inflation. This is a global trend rather than a debate about United States centralized financial system | https://beth.technology/bitcoin-edward-snowden/ | https://research.beth.technology/bitcoin-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/community/bitcoin-btc/updated-chart-and-entries-2/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Bitcoin https://beth.technology/?s=Bitcoin | ||||||||||||||||||
31 | Chainlink | LINKUSD | 8/1/2019 | 8 | $2.18 | $2.60 | +44% (with a cost basis of $1.8, we hit our stop at $2.6) | Chainlink is at the forefront of smart contracts, which is a legitimate way of using blockchain to enforce legal contracts. There are many exchanges being made everyday that are high-risk for fraud and costly - bond markets, financial markets, real estate markets, etcetera. Before the processing of payments takes off with blockchain, the first trend may be to enforce or agree to something on the blockchain. This is due to pressure from financial systems for a soluttion. Google and Oracle are backers | Like Chainlink as a very early blockchain play | Volatile and seen as crypto; very early to a major growth trend in smart contracts on blockchain | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-march-15/ | https://research.beth.technology/chainlink-2019-analysis/ | https://research.beth.technology/market-update-march-15/ | https://research.beth.technology/?s=Chainlink | ||||||||||||||||||||