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1 | Inputs | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Dashboard | Price | Date | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Regen Price Final Value | 2.32 | 3/18/2029 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Label | Constant | Unit | Sources | Note | ||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | TIMING ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | First model date | 3/18/2024 | date | RND - total supply | |||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | Target Price - Phase 1 | $0.1 | 12/31/2024 | by COP | Investments | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | Target Price - Phase 2 | $0.5 | 12/31/2025 | by Series A start | Retail Demand | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | Target Price - Phase 3 | $5.0 | <+/- 20%> | Protocol Demand | |||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | MONETARY SUPPLY ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Initial Total Supply | 100,000,000 | $REGEN | Whitepaper 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | Initial Total Supply subject to inflation | 188,280,000 | $REGEN | https://www.mintscan.io/regen | |||||||||||||||||||||||
17 | Initial Regen Liquidity | $424,948 | $ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | Market Cap | $8,498,503.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | Circulating Supply REGEN Market Cap | 566,566,867 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | LIQUIDITY POOL | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22 | Liquidity % of market cap | 3% | % | amount capital for liquidity pool specifically for the other side of the trading pair to achieve 3% on osmosis | |||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | REGEN INFLATION | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | Regen Minimum Yearly Inflation | 3% | % | Whitepaper 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
26 | Regen Maximum Yearly Inflation | 10% | % | Whitepaper 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
27 | Regen Staking Threshold | 66.10% | % | Whitepaper 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
28 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
29 | REGEN BURNING MECHANISM | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | Burn fees percentage rate | 5% | % | RND Model | 5% of the eco-credit value (eg sold 100* $10 = burn $50) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
32 | PRICING ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | Initial ATOM Price | $4.1700 | USD per ATOM | https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cosmos-hub | Should we update to 9 ? | ||||||||||||||||||||||
34 | ATOM Price Yearly variation | 27.00% | % | As an assumption, yearly variation has been calculated on the hypothesis that ATOM goes back to around all-time high. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | ATOM Price price by final date | $13.78602 | 3/18/2029 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
36 | ATOM Price all-time-high in the past | $44.70000 | USD | For reference. https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/cosmos/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | Initial Regen Price | $0.01500 | USD per $Regen | https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/regen | Should we update to 0.04 ? | ||||||||||||||||||||||
38 | Pricing range for Regen Price simulation | 10.00% | % | Freelancer Model Col [N;O] what does this do? | |||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | STATISTICAL REGRESSION ASSUMPTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
41 | Regen Circulating Supply Price Factor | (0.00000001109801684) | x | Regression Mod. 6 Factor 1 - P08 | Update 16.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
42 | Regen Liquidity Price Factor | 0.00000009983990446 | x | Regression Mod. 6 Factor 1 - P09 | Update 16.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
43 | Atom Price Factor | 0.01072088330945210 | x | Regression Mod. 6 Factor 1 - P10 | Update 16.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
44 | Regen NCT Liquidity Pool | 0.00000024267891080 | x | Regression Mod. 6 Factor 1 - P11 | Update 16.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | REGEN-ATOM Volume - Pool | (0.00000000100800598) | x | Regression Mod. 6 Factor 1 - P12 | Update 16.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
47 | Market Depth | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | Data Approach | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | +2% Market Depth - Data Approach | 702.00 | USD | Call API on Coingecko: https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/regen/tickers?depth=true (Recent data as of 17 March 2024) | Buying order necessary to increase the price by 2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | -2% Market Depth - Data Approach | 700.00 | USD | Call API on Coingecko: https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/coins/regen/tickers?depth=true (Recent data as of 17 March 2024) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | Algorithmic Approach | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
54 | Coefficient | This is a proof of concept based on a* Regen Market Cap + b * Crypto Fear & Greed Index Factor + C * Bitcoin Daily Delta Price Factor + D * Regen Trading Volume Factor + E * Previous Market Depth (volume needed to move 2%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
55 | a | 0.00 | x | Placeholder | |||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | b | 0.10 | x | Placeholder | |||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | c | 0.00 | x | Placeholder | |||||||||||||||||||||||
58 | d | 0.01 | x | Placeholder | |||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | e | 0.95 | x | Placeholder | |||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
61 | a | Regen Market Cap Factor | 2,270,018 | USD | Placeholder | ||||||||||||||||||||||
62 | b | Crypto Fear & Greed Index Factor | 49 | ratio | Placeholder | ||||||||||||||||||||||
63 | c | Bitcoin Daily Delta Price Factor | 1,857 | USD | Placeholder | ||||||||||||||||||||||
64 | d | Regen Trading Volume Factor | 4,619.63 | USD | Placeholder | ||||||||||||||||||||||
65 | e | Previous Market Depth | 702.00 | USD | Placeholder | ||||||||||||||||||||||
66 | +2% Market Depth - Algorithmic Approach | 702 | USD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
67 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | a | Regen Market Cap Factor | 2,270,018.00 | USD | Placeholder | We assume the same impact of buying & selling pressure to initialize the model | |||||||||||||||||||||
69 | b | Crypto Fear & Greed Index Factor | 49.00 | USD | Placeholder | We assume the same impact of buying & selling pressure to initialize the model | |||||||||||||||||||||
70 | c | Bitcoin Daily Delta Price Factor | 1,857.49 | USD | Placeholder | We assume the same impact of buying & selling pressure to initialize the model | |||||||||||||||||||||
71 | d | Regen Trading Volume Factor | 4,619.63 | USD | Placeholder | We assume the same impact of buying & selling pressure to initialize the model | |||||||||||||||||||||
72 | e | Previous Market Depth | 702.00 | USD | Placeholder | We assume the same impact of buying & selling pressure to initialize the model | |||||||||||||||||||||
73 | -2% Market Depth - Algorithmic Approach | 702 | USD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
74 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
75 | Approach Selected by the user (Data or Algorithmic) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
76 | Pressure calculation Method (Data, Algorithmic) | Data | label | Data = Purely through statistical analysis, Algorithmic formula based with additional market price drivers) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
77 | +2% Market Depth Chosen method - Data | 702.00 | USD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
78 | -2% Market Depth Chosen method - Data | 700.00 | USD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
79 | Buying order needed to increase price by USD 0.01 | 23,400 | USD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | Selling order needed to decrease price by USD 0.01 | 23,333 | USD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
81 | Convexity of order book | 1.00 | constant | Assumption for the gradient of the curve | For simplicity it is assumed that buying and selling pressure is linear (gradient = 1), i.e. you don't have exponentially more people selling as you increase the price. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
82 | Buying pressure to get to Phase 1 Target price of $0.1 | 1,090,000 | USD | Pressure between current & target price. | Just for reference and without any other market dynamics | ||||||||||||||||||||||
83 | Buying pressure to get to Phase 2 Target price of $0.5 | 2,920,000 | USD | Pressure between current & target price. | Just for reference and without any other market dynamics | ||||||||||||||||||||||
84 | Buying pressure to get to Phase 3 Target price of $5 | 4,010,000 | USD | Pressure between current & target price. | Just for reference and without any other market dynamics | ||||||||||||||||||||||
85 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
86 | Sizing the investment | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
87 | Target 1 daily buying program | 5,000.00 | USD per day | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
88 | Target 2 daily buying program | 20,000.00 | USD per day | Linkage with eco-credit sales | |||||||||||||||||||||||
89 | Target 1 daily buying program | 150,000.00 | USD per month | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
90 | Target 2 daily buying program | 600,000.00 | USD per month | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
91 | Price reached by Target 1 deadline | 0.51 | 12/31/2024 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
92 | Price reached by Target 2 deadline | 1.79 | 12/31/2025 | avg cost | |||||||||||||||||||||||
93 | Investment pressure to reach Target 1 | 1,090,000 | USD | 0.27 | 7,610,903.27 | REGEN | |||||||||||||||||||||
94 | 1,090,000 | Investment pressure to reach Target 2 | 2,920,000 | USD | 1.15 | 2,845,550.95 | REGEN | ||||||||||||||||||||
95 | Total Investment pressure to reach all the targets | 4,010,000 | USD | 0.62 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
96 | Market Valuation @ $5 | $18,669,853 | USD | 10,456,454.22 | REGEN | ||||||||||||||||||||||
97 | Multiple of invested capital | 4.66 | X | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
98 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
99 | Target 1 daily buying program | USD per day | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | Target 2 daily buying program | USD per day | Linkage with eco-credit sales |