Joey Gallo Strikeout Probability

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I
1	GameDate	Rangers Games	Strikeouts	PA	PA per Team Game	Remaining PA	Probability of 224 K	Probability of 200 K	Intrinsic Prob

2	3/29/2018	1	1	4	4.00	644	5.93E-01	9.87E-01	0.35
3	3/30/2018	2	3	8	4.00	640	6.13E-01	9.89E-01
4	3/31/2018	3	6	12	4.00	636	6.63E-01	9.93E-01
5	4/1/2018	4	8	16	4.00	632	6.82E-01	9.94E-01
6	4/2/2018	5	8	21	4.20	659	8.92E-01	9.99E-01
7	4/3/2018	6	8	25	4.17	650	8.38E-01	9.99E-01
8	4/4/2018	7	10	29	4.14	642	8.23E-01	9.98E-01
9	4/5/2018	8	10	34	4.25	655	9.02E-01	1.00E+00
10	4/6/2018	9	12	39	4.33	663	9.54E-01	1.00E+00
11	4/7/2018	10	12	43	4.30	654	9.24E-01	1.00E+00
12	4/8/2018	11	12	48	4.36	659	9.42E-01	1.00E+00
13	4/9/2018	12	12	52	4.33	650	9.06E-01	1.00E+00
14	4/10/2018	13	13	56	4.31	642	8.80E-01	9.99E-01
15	4/11/2018	14	14	60	4.29	634	8.49E-01	9.99E-01
16	4/13/2018	15	17	64	4.27	627	8.61E-01	9.99E-01
17	4/14/2018	16	20	69	4.31	630	9.23E-01	1.00E+00
18	4/15/2018	17	21	73	4.29	623	9.05E-01	1.00E+00
19	4/16/2018	18	23	77	4.28	616	8.99E-01	1.00E+00
20	4/17/2018	19	24	82	4.32	617	9.18E-01	1.00E+00
21	4/18/2018	20	26	86	4.30	611	9.18E-01	1.00E+00
22	4/20/2018	21	28	90	4.29	604	9.13E-01	1.00E+00
23	4/21/2018	22	28	91	4.14	579	7.32E-01	9.97E-01
24	4/22/2018	23	28	95	4.13	574	6.80E-01	9.95E-01
25	4/23/2018	24	28	99	4.13	569	6.24E-01	9.93E-01
26	4/24/2018	25	29	103	4.12	564	5.99E-01	9.92E-01
27	4/25/2018	26	29	107	4.12	560	5.51E-01	9.89E-01
28	4/27/2018	27	30	111	4.11	555	5.25E-01	9.87E-01
29	4/28/2018	28	32	116	4.14	555	5.95E-01	9.92E-01
30	4/29/2018	29	35	120	4.14	550	6.38E-01	9.94E-01
31	4/30/2018	30	36	125	4.17	550	6.71E-01	9.96E-01
32	5/1/2018	31	39	131	4.23	554	7.98E-01	9.99E-01
33	5/2/2018	32	40	134	4.19	544	7.32E-01	9.98E-01
34	5/3/2018	33	42	138	4.18	539	7.40E-01	9.98E-01
35	5/4/2018	34	43	141	4.15	531	6.86E-01	9.97E-01
36	5/5/2018	35	45	145	4.14	526	6.94E-01	9.97E-01
37	5/6/2018	36	45	145	4.03	508	4.72E-01	9.86E-01
38	5/7/2018	37	47	149	4.03	503	4.81E-01	9.87E-01
39	5/8/2018	38	49	153	4.03	499	5.04E-01	9.89E-01
40	5/9/2018	39	52	157	4.03	495	5.64E-01	9.93E-01
41	5/11/2018	40	52	161	4.03	491	5.11E-01	9.90E-01
42	5/12/2018	41	55	164	4.00	484	5.32E-01	9.92E-01
43	5/13/2018	42	58	168	4.00	480	5.93E-01	9.95E-01
44	5/15/2018	43	58	174	4.05	482	6.18E-01	9.96E-01
45	5/16/2018	44	61	178	4.05	477	6.64E-01	9.97E-01
46	5/17/2018	45	63	182	4.04	473	6.85E-01	9.98E-01
47	5/18/2018	46	65	187	4.07	472	7.40E-01	9.99E-01
48	5/19/2018	47	66	191	4.06	467	7.17E-01	9.98E-01
49	5/20/2018	48	67	195	4.06	463	7.04E-01	9.98E-01
50	5/21/2018	49	68	199	4.06	459	6.92E-01	9.98E-01
51	5/22/2018	50	71	203	4.06	455	7.46E-01	9.99E-01
52	5/23/2018	51	71	203	3.98	442	5.85E-01	9.96E-01
53	5/24/2018	52	72	206	3.96	436	5.42E-01	9.95E-01
54	5/25/2018	53	75	210	3.96	432	6.06E-01	9.97E-01
55	5/26/2018	54	76	214	3.96	428	5.90E-01	9.97E-01
56	5/27/2018	55	78	218	3.96	424	6.14E-01	9.97E-01
57	5/28/2018	56	78	219	3.91	415	4.88E-01	9.93E-01
58	5/29/2018	57	80	224	3.93	413	5.41E-01	9.96E-01
59	5/30/2018	58	81	229	3.95	411	5.53E-01	9.96E-01
60	5/31/2018	59	82	233	3.95	407	5.37E-01	9.96E-01
61	6/1/2018	60	83	237	3.95	403	5.21E-01	9.95E-01
62	6/2/2018	61	85	241	3.95	399	5.46E-01	9.96E-01
63	6/3/2018	62	85	242	3.90	390	4.14E-01	9.91E-01
64	6/5/2018	63	85	246	3.90	387	3.71E-01	9.88E-01
65	6/6/2018	64	87	250	3.91	383	3.95E-01	9.90E-01
66	6/7/2018	65	90	254	3.91	379	4.61E-01	9.94E-01
67	6/8/2018	66	91	258	3.91	375	4.44E-01	9.94E-01
68	6/9/2018	67	93	263	3.93	373	5.00E-01	9.96E-01
69	6/10/2018	68	94	264	3.88	365	4.22E-01	9.93E-01
70	6/12/2018	69	96	268	3.88	361	4.47E-01	9.95E-01
71	6/13/2018	70	99	273	3.90	359	5.48E-01	9.98E-01
72	6/15/2018	71	101	277	3.90	355	5.75E-01	9.98E-01
73	6/16/2018	72	102	281	3.90	351	5.58E-01	9.98E-01
74	6/17/2018	73	106	286	3.92	349	6.98E-01	9.99E-01
75	6/18/2018	74	109	290	3.92	345	7.59E-01	1.00E+00
76	6/19/2018	75	109	290	3.87	336	6.37E-01	9.99E-01
77	6/20/2018	76	109	294	3.87	333	5.91E-01	9.99E-01
78	6/22/2018	77	109	298	3.87	329	5.28E-01	9.98E-01
79	6/23/2018	78	109	300	3.85	323	4.31E-01	9.96E-01
80	6/24/2018	79	111	303	3.84	318	4.42E-01	9.97E-01
81	6/25/2018	80	111	304	3.80	312	3.46E-01	9.94E-01
82	6/26/2018	81	113	308	3.80	308	3.72E-01	9.95E-01
83	6/27/2018	82	114	312	3.80	304	3.53E-01	9.95E-01
84	6/29/2018	83	116	316	3.81	301	3.95E-01	9.96E-01
85	6/30/2018	84	116	320	3.81	297	3.31E-01	9.94E-01
86	7/1/2018	85	118	325	3.82	294	3.73E-01	9.96E-01
87	7/3/2008	86	118	326	3.79	288	2.79E-01	9.92E-01
88	7/4/2018	87	121	331	3.80	285	3.64E-01	9.96E-01
89	7/5/2018	88	122	335	3.81	282	3.61E-01	9.96E-01
90	7/6/2018	89	122	335	3.76	275	2.52E-01	9.92E-01
91	7/7/2018	90	123	339	3.77	271	2.35E-01	9.91E-01
92	7/8/2018	91	124	343	3.77	268	2.32E-01	9.91E-01
93	7/9/2018	92	125	345	3.75	263	2.02E-01	9.89E-01
94	7/10/2018	93	125	349	3.75	259	1.53E-01	9.83E-01
95	7/11/2018	94	129	353	3.76	255	2.44E-01	9.94E-01
96	7/13/2018	95	129	357	3.76	252	2.02E-01	9.91E-01
97	7/14/2018	96	131	360	3.75	248	2.23E-01	9.93E-01
98	7/15/2018	97	132	364	3.75	244	2.06E-01	9.93E-01
99	7/20/2018	98	134	370	3.78	242	2.58E-01	9.96E-01
100	7/21/2018	99	135	374	3.78	238	2.39E-01	9.95E-01