neonatal meningitis probabilistic updating
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRST
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NameGramCefotax_MICProbFreq of InfectionGram Stain + Coccoid LRUpdated Probability Updated Prob NormBeta hemolysis + Beta hemolysis - Beta hemolysis LR Updated ProbUpd Prob NormLancefield + B LRUpd ProbUpd Prob Norm
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Enterococcus21700.0740740746392.8888888890.12239651133670.330.0403908490.0464897860.020.0009297960.0000110311
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Listeria21200.01234567910.02560.0003160490.0000133904stopped calcing00.000013390400.0000133904
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GBS20.1250.456790123373917.814814810.7547784859910.990.74723070.8600610479884.285982630.999966795
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S_aureus240.0493827164391.9259259260.0815976749910.990.0807816970.0929795730.020.0018595910.0000220621
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S_pneumo20.0640.0246913582390.9629629630.0407988371990.010.0004079880.0004695940.020.000009391880.000000111425
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Acinetobacter11500.03703703730.02560.0009481480.0000401712stopped calcing these0.00004017120.0000401712
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Serratia110.02469135820.02560.0006320990.0000267808stopped calcing these0.00002678080.0000267808
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Haemophilus00.0640.02469135820.02560.0006320990.0000267808stopped calcing these0.00002678080.0000267808
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E_coli00.20.148148148120.02560.0037925930.000160685stopped calcing these0.0001606850.000160685
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Citrobacter00.60.01234567910.02560.0003160490.0000133904stopped calcing these0.00001339040.0000133904
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Enterobacter00.430.04938271640.02560.0012641980.0000535616stopped calcing these0.00005356160.0000535616
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Proteus00.1250.01234567910.02560.0003160490.0000133904stopped calcing these0.00001339040.0000133904
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Pseudomonas0320.03703703730.02560.0009481480.0000401712stopped calcing these0.00004017120.0000401712
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Salmonella00.30.01234567910.02560.0003160490.0000133904stopped calcing these0.00001339040.0000133904
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Neisseria00.0160.02469135820.02560.0006320990.0000267808stopped calcing these0.00002678080.0000267808
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note that some of the MICs are adjusted for viz purposesassuming 97.5% sensitivity and 97.5% specificity for a positive testcompare the odds… assuming sensitivity of 98% and specificity of 99% for gbs
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assuming tests are independent, but the full dependence structure data does not exist, so nothing to really do
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assuming false results are equally likely to be any of the bacteria, which is false because in reality some of them are probably way more likely to occur for each of the bacteria, but this data doesn't exist for most
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