TourneySim2016.xlsx

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK	AL	AM	AO	AP	AQ	AR	AU	AV	AY	AZ	BC	BD
1	This is a 64-team bracket, filled in by seed. The goal is to make these numbers bounce because of randomness, but also to reflect team quality. then we can simulate the tournament. -->													Bracket Played -- Press F9 to play again.													Seed	Team Quality (SUs)			Men 2016		Women 2016		Men 2015
2	1												2	1												2	1	2	SUs in col AP can be replaced		Kansas	1.953795652	Connecticut	3.453695646	Kentucky	2.363336466
3	64	1										2	63	64	1										2	63	2	1.95	to show different field		North Carolina	1.872480311	South Carolina	2.527966307	Villanova	1.920646169
4	32	32	1								2	31	31	32	33	1								2	34	31	3	1.9	dispersions.		Virginia	1.84024154	Notre Dame	2.598421878	Duke	1.944248589
5	33												34	33												34	4	1.85		+2 = super	Oregon	1.527938202	Baylor	2.709268265	Wisconsin	2.070646175
6	17												18	17												18	5	1.8		0 = average	Oklahoma	1.736185125	Oregon St.	2.39287758	Virginia	1.999342169
7	48	17	16	1						2	15	18	47	48	17	17	1						2	15	18	47	6	1.75		-1 = bad	Michigan State	1.965849171	Maryland	2.636544866	Arizona	2.015405164
8	16	16										15	15	16	16										15	15	7	1.7			Xavier-Ohio	1.575469857	Arizona St.	2.033839734	Gonzaga	1.808102979
9	49												50	49												50	8	1.65			Villanova	1.822517122	Texas	2.219409761	Kansas	1.606975569
10	9												10	9												10	9	1.6			Miami-Florida	1.615218324	UCLA	2.150091663	Iowa State	1.625931688
11	56	9										10	55	56	9										10	55	10	1.55			West Virginia	1.853469936	Ohio St.	2.25835038	Baylor	1.627506381
12	24	24	9	8	1				2	7	10	23	23	24	24	9	8	1				2	10	10	23	23	11	1.5			Utah	1.389609975	Kentucky	2.216796671	Oklahoma	1.689873084
13	41												42	41												42	12	1.45			Texas A&M	1.593814307	Louisville	2.048349565	Notre Dame	1.587111535
14	25												26	25												26	13	1.4			Duke	1.649799492	Texas A&M	1.958141752	North Carolina	1.741949147
15	40	25	8								7	26	39	40	25	8								7	39	39	14	1.35			Iowa State	1.48793717	Stanford	2.306366111	Maryland	1.189236113
16	8	8										7	7	8	8										7	7	15	1.3			Kentucky	1.727040132	Syracuse	2.013691685	Louisville	1.566324067
17	57					1		2					58	57					1		2					58	16	1.25			California	1.39298996	Michigan St.	2.124625861	Georgetown	1.35441569
18	4						1						3	4						1						3	17	1.2			Maryland	1.530371666	Mississippi St.	1.997619914	Utah	1.824428154
19	61	4					Winner					3	62	61	4					Winner					3	62	18	1.15			Indiana	1.673167231	Florida	1.702618727	Arkansas	1.279319824
20	29	29	4								3	30	30	29	29	4								30	30	30	19	1.1			Purdue	1.770247099	Miami-FL	1.759025821	West Virginia	1.387564485
21	36												35	36												35	20	1.05			Baylor	1.439129777	Florida St.	2.249953618	Northern Iowa	1.274955453
22	20												19	20												19	21	1			Texas	1.314406325	DePaul	2.195814086	SMU	1.196381512
23	45	20	13	4	4				3	3	14	19	46	45	20	13	4	5				14	14	14	19	46	22	0.95			Seton Hall	1.291006599	Oklahoma	1.868192605	Providence	1.224826764
24	13	13										14	14	13	13										14	14	23	0.9			Notre Dame	1.241982152	West Virginia	1.919598512	Butler	1.426257653
25	52												51	52												51	24	0.85			Arizona	1.634911976	South Florida	1.990606489	Xavier-Ohio	1.326979336
26	12												11	12												11	25	0.8			Iowa	1.561041313	BYU	1.189719691	Wichita State	1.463689054
27	53	12										11	54	53	12										11	54	26	0.75			Wisconsin	1.20477667	Tennessee	1.883484675	Michigan State	1.488414452
28	21	21	12	5						6	11	22	22	21	21	12	5						11	11	22	22	27	0.7			Dayton	1.096404557	Washington	1.887114741	Iowa	1.350142899
29	44												43	44												43	28	0.65			Oregon State	0.9528596157	Oklahoma St.	1.552290944	VCU(Va. Commonwealth)	1.175801723
30	28												27	28												27	29	0.6			Saint Joseph's-Pa.	1.089070773	St. John's	1.414142379	Cincinnati	0.9751615342
31	37	28	5								6	27	38	37	28	5								6	27	38	30	0.55			Texas Tech	1.088153094	Georgia	1.759025821	Oregon	0.9143674312
32	5	5										6	6	5	5										6	6	31	0.5			USC	1.176177465	Geo. Washington	1.289373406	NC State	1.177595746
33	60												59	60												59	32	0.45			Colorado	1.071598621	Seton Hall	1.365109666	San Diego State	1.151498954
34																											33	0.4			Connecticut	1.39636663	Duquesne	1.354877635	St. John's	1.037894836
35																											34	0.35			Providence	1.055900838	Kansas St.	1.388867733	Oklahoma State	1.19816573
36																											35	0.3			Butler	1.378602092	Indiana	1.519099547	LSU	1.017399489
37																											36	0.25			Cincinnati	1.357334248	Auburn	1.28153571	Purdue	1.147885328
38																											37	0.2			VCU	1.234924329	St. Bonaventure	1.149277821	Indiana	1.07581843
39																											38	0.15			Syracuse	1.184243051	Pennsylvania	1.098347682	Davidson	1.207963699
40																											39	0.1			Pittsburgh	1.307489104	Green Bay	1.577166749	Ohio State	1.65961992
41																											40	0.05			Temple	0.6282708477	Missouri	1.688746364	Georgia	1.136117499
42															1 is an UPSET, defined as expected seed not in its place												41	0			Wichita State	1.514114724	Colorado St.	1.252650716	Texas	1.487593204
43															0										0		42	-0.05			Michigan	1.266577478	Princeton	1.672485837	UCLA	0.962881008
44															1	0								0	1		43	-0.1			Gonzaga	1.489579297	Purdue	1.655362438	Mississippi	1.097852468
45																											44	-0.15			Northern Iowa	0.8259317314	James Madison	1.481461089	Dayton	0.9911677453
46																											45	-0.2			Yale	1.018724323	Middle Tennessee	1.006683908	Wyoming	0.4205312396
47															0	1	0						0	0	0		46	-0.25			Little Rock	0.8230067064	South Dakota St.	1.271933025	Buffalo	0.8653252632
48															0										0		47	-0.3			Chattanooga	0.4759177655	Albany	1.488037469	Wofford	0.4267702189
49																											48	-0.35			South Dakota State	0.670578697	Chattanooga	0.609158445	Stephen F. Austin	0.9836428989
50																											49	-0.4			Hawai'i	0.8550850543	Belmont	0.6344563947	Valparaiso	0.7280827763
51															0										0		50	-0.45			Stony Brook-NY	0.639380313	Army	1.288503397	Harvard	0.5310872485
52															0	0	0	0				0	1	0	0		51	-0.5			Iona	0.5468865423	San Francisco	0.6223262357	Eastern Washington	0.2284215227
53																											52	-0.55			NC Wilmington	0.6080205391	Missouri St.	0.9916760687	UC Irvine	0.4278096204
54																											53	-0.6			Green Bay	0.2774425231	Central Arkansas	-0.3207905444	Georgia State	0.730069402
55															0	0								0	1		54	-0.65			Fresno State	0.5150861086	UNC Asheville	-0.3207905444	Northeastern	0.2759466912
56															0										0		55	-0.7			Stephen F. Austin	1.006569554	Buffalo	0.1834507314	UAB	0.1521011779
57																			0		0						56	-0.75			Buffalo	0.1758967253	Hawaii	0.6273833726	Albany-NY	0.144666327
58																				0							57	-0.8			NC Asheville	0.1981618597	Alabama St.	-1.360053925	New Mexico State	0.5269828074
59															0										0		58	-0.85			Weber State	0.179078981	New Mexico St.	0.4033943593	Belmont	0.1138428186
60															0	0								1	0		59	-0.9			Middle Tennessee	0.3184912798	Iona	0.4117278445	Texas Southern	-0.397772539
61																											60	-0.95			CS Bakersfield	0.365675189	Troy	-0.1389370423	North Dakota State	-0.01712375598
62																											61	-1			Holy Cross	-0.8291575011	Idaho	0.7790431103	Lafayette	-0.1501345043
63															0	0	0	1				1	1	0	0		62	-1.05			Hampton	-0.614417139	N.C. A&T	-0.6234050495	Coastal Carolina	0.1276643764
64															0										0		63	-1.1			Florida Gulf Coast	-0.1454410834	Jacksonville	0.4657038606	Robert Morris	-0.1533204351
65																											64	-1.15			Austin Peay	-0.5092345909	Robert Morris	-0.4346740648	Hampton	-0.6026730528
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67															0										0
68															0	0	0						1	0	0
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71															0	0								0	0
72															0										0
73																			Round	Teams	Games	Upsets
74																			1	64	32	3
75																			2	32	16	2
76																			3	16	8	3
77																			4	8	4	2
78																			5	4	2	0
79																			6	2	1	0
80																					63	10	16%	upset percentage
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83																			16 beats 1	15 beats 2	14 beats 3	13 beats 4	12 beats 5
84																			0	0	0	0	0
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