Prediction target

Concrete application, if applicable

Relevant link(s)

Whether a child is at risk of maltreatment

Investigating a family for child maltreatment

https://csda.aut.ac.nz/research/our-projects/all-projects/allegheny-family-screening-tool

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will recidivate or fail to appear in court

Setting bail amount or deciding if someone should be detained pre-trial

https://www.equivant.com/wp-content/uploads/Practitioners-Guide-to-COMPAS-Core-040419.pdf

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will experience domestic abuse

Launching a police investigation for domestic violence

https://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/dp1676.pdf

March 2022 (original)

Whether a student will commit a violent act at school

Alerting school officials to launch a disciplinary case

Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center

https://www.tun.com/blog/artificial-intelligence-school-violence/

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will commit a crime if released on parole

PA board of probation and parole

https://crim.sas.upenn.edu/sites/default/files/WP2016-04_Berk_MachineLearningParole_08.03.2016%281%29.pdf

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will commit their first violent offence with a gun or knife in the next two years

Predictive policing

Most Serious Violence (MSV)

https://www.wired.co.uk/article/police-violence-prediction-ndas

March 2022 (original)

How many days a patient will spend in a hospital in the next year

Change treatment plans of patients with a high predicted length of stay

Baylor Scott & White Health

https://www.altexsoft.com/blog/length-of-stay-hospital/

March 2022 (original)

Whether a patient who is still in the hospital can be discharged

Discharging patients earlier

https://piecestech.com

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will get a particular disease

Alerting healthcare workers about the possibility of sepsis

Epic Sepsis Model

https://www.epic.com/epic/post/reducing-sepsis-mortality-epic

March 2022 (original)

The severity a disease will reach

Target interventions to patients sooner

Epic deterioration index

https://www.epicshare.org/share-and-learn/saving-lives-with-ai

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will die

Having a palliative care consultation with a patient

Palliative connect

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6712114/

March 2022 (original)

What medical treatment will be best for the patient

Deciding which medicine or procedure should be given to a patient

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8129866/

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will commit suicide

Contacting police or community efforts for a welfare check

https://qz.com/1367197/machines-know-when-someones-about-to-attempt-suicide-how-should-we-use-that-information

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will be a no-show at a hospital

Target interventions to patients to reduce no-show rates

Epic no-show prediction

https://academic.oup.com/jamia/advance-article/doi/10.1093/jamia/ocac242/6889491

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will develop a medical condition

Whether to enroll a patient in a high-risk program

Optum ImpactPro

https://www.optum.com/business/health-plans/data-analytics/predict-health-risk.html

March 2022 (original)

Predict mental illness before a diagnosis

Mental illness screening

Paper (Birnbaum et al. 2020)

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41537-020-00125-0
https://www.wired.com/story/an-ai-used-facebook-data-to-predict-mental-illness/

March 2022 (original)

Covid-19 assistance fraud

Whether someone will commit pandemic assistance fraud

Decide who should be investigated by law enforcement

Innovative Ohio Platform

https://www.nascio.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/NASCIO-2021-Emerging-Tech-JFS-Predictive-Modeling.pdf
https://www.pandemicoversight.gov/spotlight/using-data-intelligence-to-fight-pandemic-fraud

March 2022 (original)

Unemployment insurance fraud

Whether someone is at a higher risk of submitting inaccurate information

Prioritize unemployment insurance fraud investigations

https://www.govtech.com/data/aiming-analytics-at-our-35-billion-unemployment-insurance-problem.html

March 2022 (original)

Health welfare fraud

Whether someone will commit health welfare fraud

Prioritize healthcare fraud investigations

https://governmentciomedia.com/cms-using-analytics-machine-learning-fight-fraud

March 2022 (original)

Food welfare fraud

Whether someone will commit food welfare fraud

Prioritize food welfare fraud investigations

https://www.eweek.com/enterprise-apps/usda-taps-sas-analytics-to-fight-food-stamp-fraud/
https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-19-115#summary

March 2022 (original)

Child welfare fraud

Whether someone will commit child welfare fraud

Whether to require families to return welfare funds

Dutch child welfare

https://autoriteitpersoonsgegevens-nl.translate.goog/nl/nieuws/boete-belastingdienst-voor-zwarte-lijst-fsv?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

March 2022 (original)

The price a car will sell for

Whether to purchase or sell a car at a given price

https://careers.carmax.com/us/en/job/JR-107696/Senior-Manager-Data-Science-and-Machine-Learning-Engineering

March 2022 (original)

Car insurance risk

Whether an insured person will file a large-loss insurance claim

Whether to sell car insurance and at what rates

https://cloud.google.com/blog/products/gcp/using-machine-learning-for-insurance-pricing-optimization

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone's credit card transaction is an instance of fraud

Whether to approve a credit card transaction

https://www.sas.com/en_us/insights/articles/risk-fraud/fraud-detection-machine-learning.html; https://www.altexsoft.com/blog/credit-card-fraud-detection/

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will pay back their loan

Whether to give a loan to someone

https://www.kaggle.com/c/risky-business/overview

March 2022 (original)

How much housing damages will cost

Whether to conduct additional inquiries for high-risk homes

https://www.kaggle.com/c/liberty-mutual-group-property-inspection-prediction

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone is likely to pay back credit

Whether to give a loan to someone and at what rate

https://www.upstart.com/lenders/ai-lending-knowledge-hub/ai-machine-learning/

March 2022 (original)

The price a house will sell for

Whether to purchase or sell a house at a given price

https://investors.zillowgroup.com/investors/news-and-events/news/news-details/2021/Zillow-Group-Reports-Third-Quarter-2021-Financial-Results--Shares-Plan-to-Wind-Down-Zillow-Offers-Operations/default.aspx

March 2022 (original)

Someone's risk of lapse or mortality

Whether to give an insurance policy to someone and at what rates

https://www.remarkgroup.com/en/insights/velogica-2-0-improving-the-no-1-e-underwriting-platform-in-france

March 2022 (original)

How a student will perform on future interactions with AI education

Personalized learning experiences for each student

https://www.kaggle.com/c/riiid-test-answer-prediction

March 2022 (original)

Someone's measure of academic merit, e.g., GPA, star ratings

Whether a student should be admitted

Academic paper references

https://papers.nips.cc/paper/2021/hash/63c3ddcc7b23daa1e42dc41f9a44a873-Abstract.html

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will drop out of school

Targeted interventions to aid students

https://eab.com/products/navigate/

March 2022 (original)

How far someone will be willing to drive

Assign drivers to deliveries below that distance

https://restofworld.org/2021/how-a-small-change-to-zomatos-algorithm-created-havoc-for-delivery-riders/

March 2022 (original)

Whether an employee will leave

Whether resources should be spent on training an employee

Fictional Kaggle dataset

https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/arashnic/hr-analytics-job-change-of-data-scientists

March 2022 (original)

How good someone will be at their job according to some performance metric

Whether to hire someone or invite them to the next round of interviews

https://www.hirevue.com/

March 2022 (original)

Whether a customer will leave

Direct customer intervention teams

https://www.datarobot.com/use-cases/customer-churn/

March 2022 (original)

Whether a customer will purchase a coupuon

Share the right coupons with customers

https://www.kaggle.com/c/coupon-purchase-prediction

March 2022 (original)

How much monetary value a customer would bring

Prioritize resources for high-value customers

https://www.kaggle.com/c/predicting-red-hat-business-value

March 2022 (original)

Whether a customer will respond to mail

Improve targeted efforts to consumers

https://www.kaggle.com/c/springleaf-marketing-response/overview/description

March 2022 (original)

Amount of consumer demand

Help choose how much of stock of different items to purchase

https://www.antuit.ai/solutions/consumer-goods-cpg/demand-forecasting-and-planning

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone will click a particular ad

Which ads to show users

https://www.facebook.com/business/news/good-questions-real-answers-how-does-facebook-use-machine-learning-to-deliver-ads

March 2022 (original)

What hotel someone will book

Personalized hotel recommendations

https://www.kaggle.com/c/expedia-hotel-recommendations

March 2022 (original)

Time someone will spend watching online content

Which videos to show users

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/05/business/media/tiktok-algorithm.html

March 2022 (original)

How much someone will like a movie

Which movies to show users

https://research.netflix.com/research-area/recommendations

March 2022 (original)

The product someone will purchase

Personalized product recommendations

https://www.clerk.io/

March 2022 (original)

Whether someone has met up with a match in the past

Most compatible match suggestion

https://d3.harvard.edu/platform-rctom/submission/hinge-and-machine-learning-the-makings-of-a-perfect-match/

March 2022 (original)

Nudges that led to behavioral change

Which nudge to present

https://www.humu.com

March 2022 (original)