A | B | C | D | E | F | G | |
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1 | Maine Statewide and CD-02 October 29–November 2, 2020 | ||||||
2 | |||||||
3 | ME | ME-02 | |||||
4 | Sample Size (Weighted) | 1024 | 475 | ||||
5 | |||||||
6 | Margin of error, 95% confidence level* | ±3.5% | ±4.6% | ||||
7 | *Note that we believe the traditional margin of error calculation to be of limited value, as it reflects only one type of error in surveys. The margin of error is larger for subgroups. | ||||||
8 | |||||||
9 | Allocated Ballots | ||||||
10 | |||||||
11 | Presidential ballot including leaners & early vote: | Joe Biden, the Democrat | 52 | 47 | |||
12 | Donald Trump, the Republican | 40 | 46 | ||||
13 | Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian | 4 | 4 | ||||
14 | Howie Hawkins, the Green Party | 2 | 1 | ||||
15 | I did not vote in this race | 1 | 0 | ||||
16 | Don't recall | 0 | 0 | ||||
17 | Not sure | 1 | 1 | ||||
18 | Would not vote | 0 | 0 | ||||
19 | |||||||
20 | Net Democrat | 12 | 2 | ||||
21 | |||||||
22 | Senate ballot including leaners & early vote: | Sara Gideon, the Democrat | 46 | 42 | |||
23 | Susan Collins, the Republican | 42 | 47 | ||||
24 | Lisa Savage, the Independent | 7 | 5 | ||||
25 | Max Linn, the Independent | 2 | 2 | ||||
26 | Don't recall | 1 | 1 | ||||
27 | I did not vote in this race | 0 | 0 | ||||
28 | Not sure | 1 | 2 | ||||
29 | Would not vote | 1 | 1 | ||||
30 | |||||||
31 | Net Democrat | 4 | -5 | ||||
32 | |||||||
33 | ME-02 Congressional ballot including leaners & early vote: | Jared Golden, the Democrat | 53 | ||||
34 | Dale Crafts, the Republican | 44 | |||||
35 | Don't recall | 0 | |||||
36 | I did not vote in this race | 0 | |||||
37 | Not sure | 2 | |||||
38 | Would not vote | 1 | |||||
39 | |||||||
40 | Net Democrat | 9 | |||||
41 | |||||||
42 | Ranked-Choice Voting Simulation | ||||||
43 | |||||||
44 | Presidential ballot after second round of ranked-choice voting: | Donald Trump, the Republican | 47 | ||||
45 | Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian | 5 | |||||
46 | Joe Biden, the Democrat | 49 | |||||
47 | |||||||
48 | Presidential ballot after third round of ranked-choice voting: | Donald Trump, the Republican | 50 | ||||
49 | Joe Biden, the Democrat | 50 | |||||
50 | |||||||
51 | Senate ballot after second round of ranked-choice voting: | Lisa Savage, the Independent | 8 | 6 | |||
52 | Sara Gideon, the Democrat | 48 | 44 | ||||
53 | Susan Collins, the Republican | 45 | 50 | ||||
54 | |||||||
55 | Senate ballot after third round of ranked-choice voting: | Sara Gideon, the Democrat | 54 | 49 | |||
56 | Susan Collins, the Republican | 46 | 51 | ||||
57 | |||||||
58 | Other Questions | ||||||
59 | |||||||
60 | Do you plan to vote in the November election for President and other state and local offices? | Yes, I already voted | 60 | 51 | |||
61 | Yes, definitely | 39 | 48 | ||||
62 | Yes, probably | 0 | 0 | ||||
63 | Maybe (50-50) | 1 | 0 | ||||
64 | No, probably not | 0 | 0 | ||||
65 | No, definitely not | 0 | 0 | ||||
66 | |||||||
67 | How would you say things in the United States are going? Are they going in the right direction or off on the wrong track? | Right direction | 33 | 37 | |||
68 | Wrong track | 67 | 63 | ||||
69 | |||||||
70 | How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Joe Biden | Very favorable | 31 | 30 | |||
71 | Somewhat favorable | 19 | 16 | ||||
72 | Neutral | 4 | 3 | ||||
73 | Somewhat unfavorable | 3 | 3 | ||||
74 | Very unfavorable | 42 | 47 | ||||
75 | Never heard of them | 1 | 1 | ||||
76 | |||||||
77 | Total Favorable | 50 | 46 | ||||
78 | Total Unfavorable | 45 | 50 | ||||
79 | Net Favorable | 5 | -4 | ||||
80 | |||||||
81 | How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Donald Trump | Very favorable | 34 | 38 | |||
82 | Somewhat favorable | 6 | 6 | ||||
83 | Neutral | 2 | 2 | ||||
84 | Somewhat unfavorable | 3 | 3 | ||||
85 | Very unfavorable | 55 | 50 | ||||
86 | Never heard of them | 1 | 0 | ||||
87 | |||||||
88 | Total Favorable | 40 | 45 | ||||
89 | Total Unfavorable | 58 | 53 | ||||
90 | Net Favorable | -18 | -9 | ||||
91 | |||||||
92 | How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Sara Gideon | Very favorable | 24 | 24 | |||
93 | Somewhat favorable | 23 | 21 | ||||
94 | Neutral | 5 | 4 | ||||
95 | Somewhat unfavorable | 6 | 4 | ||||
96 | Very unfavorable | 41 | 47 | ||||
97 | Never heard of them | 1 | 1 | ||||
98 | |||||||
99 | Total Favorable | 47 | 44 | ||||
100 | Total Unfavorable | 47 | 51 |