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Maine Statewide and CD-02
October 29–November 2, 2020
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MEME-02
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Sample Size (Weighted)1024475
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Margin of error, 95% confidence level*±3.5%±4.6%
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*Note that we believe the traditional margin of error calculation to be of limited value, as it reflects only one type of error in surveys. The margin of error is larger for subgroups.
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Allocated Ballots
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Presidential ballot including leaners & early vote:Joe Biden, the Democrat5247
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Donald Trump, the Republican4046
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Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian44
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Howie Hawkins, the Green Party21
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I did not vote in this race10
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Don't recall00
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Not sure11
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Would not vote00
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Net Democrat122
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Senate ballot including leaners & early vote:Sara Gideon, the Democrat4642
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Susan Collins, the Republican4247
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Lisa Savage, the Independent75
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Max Linn, the Independent22
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Don't recall11
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I did not vote in this race00
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Not sure12
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Would not vote11
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Net Democrat4-5
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ME-02 Congressional ballot including leaners & early vote:Jared Golden, the Democrat53
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Dale Crafts, the Republican44
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Don't recall0
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I did not vote in this race0
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Not sure2
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Would not vote1
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Net Democrat9
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Ranked-Choice Voting Simulation
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Presidential ballot after second round of ranked-choice voting:Donald Trump, the Republican47
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Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian5
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Joe Biden, the Democrat49
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Presidential ballot after third round of ranked-choice voting:Donald Trump, the Republican50
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Joe Biden, the Democrat50
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Senate ballot after second round of ranked-choice voting:Lisa Savage, the Independent86
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Sara Gideon, the Democrat4844
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Susan Collins, the Republican4550
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Senate ballot after third round of ranked-choice voting:Sara Gideon, the Democrat5449
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Susan Collins, the Republican4651
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Other Questions
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Do you plan to vote in the November election for President and other state and local offices?Yes, I already voted6051
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Yes, definitely3948
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Yes, probably00
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Maybe (50-50)10
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No, probably not00
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No, definitely not00
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How would you say things in the United States are going? Are they going in the right direction or off on the wrong track?Right direction3337
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Wrong track6763
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How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Joe BidenVery favorable3130
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Somewhat favorable1916
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Neutral43
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Somewhat unfavorable33
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Very unfavorable4247
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Never heard of them11
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Total Favorable5046
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Total Unfavorable4550
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Net Favorable5-4
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How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Donald TrumpVery favorable3438
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Somewhat favorable66
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Neutral22
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Somewhat unfavorable33
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Very unfavorable5550
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Never heard of them10
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Total Favorable4045
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Total Unfavorable5853
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Net Favorable-18-9
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How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Sara GideonVery favorable2424
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Somewhat favorable2321
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Neutral54
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Somewhat unfavorable64
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Very unfavorable4147
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Never heard of them11
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Total Favorable4744
100
Total Unfavorable4751