CR Maine Statewide and CD-02 Toplines

	A	C	E	F
1	Maine Statewide and CD-02 October 29–November 2, 2020

2
3			ME	ME-02
4	Sample Size (Weighted)		1024	475
5
6	Margin of error, 95% confidence level*		±3.5%	±4.6%
7	*Note that we believe the traditional margin of error calculation to be of limited value, as it reflects only one type of error in surveys. The margin of error is larger for subgroups.
8
9	Allocated Ballots
10
11	Presidential ballot including leaners & early vote:	Joe Biden, the Democrat	52	47
12		Donald Trump, the Republican	40	46
13		Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian	4	4
14		Howie Hawkins, the Green Party	2	1
15		I did not vote in this race	1	0
16		Don't recall	0	0
17		Not sure	1	1
18		Would not vote	0	0
19
20		Net Democrat	12	2
21
22	Senate ballot including leaners & early vote:	Sara Gideon, the Democrat	46	42
23		Susan Collins, the Republican	42	47
24		Lisa Savage, the Independent	7	5
25		Max Linn, the Independent	2	2
26		Don't recall	1	1
27		I did not vote in this race	0	0
28		Not sure	1	2
29		Would not vote	1	1
30
31		Net Democrat	4	-5
32
33	ME-02 Congressional ballot including leaners & early vote:	Jared Golden, the Democrat		53
34		Dale Crafts, the Republican		44
35		Don't recall		0
36		I did not vote in this race		0
37		Not sure		2
38		Would not vote		1
39
40		Net Democrat		9
41
42	Ranked-Choice Voting Simulation
43
44	Presidential ballot after second round of ranked-choice voting:	Donald Trump, the Republican		47
45		Jo Jorgensen, the Libertarian		5
46		Joe Biden, the Democrat		49
47
48	Presidential ballot after third round of ranked-choice voting:	Donald Trump, the Republican		50
49		Joe Biden, the Democrat		50
50
51	Senate ballot after second round of ranked-choice voting:	Lisa Savage, the Independent	8	6
52		Sara Gideon, the Democrat	48	44
53		Susan Collins, the Republican	45	50
54
55	Senate ballot after third round of ranked-choice voting:	Sara Gideon, the Democrat	54	49
56		Susan Collins, the Republican	46	51
57
58	Other Questions
59
60	Do you plan to vote in the November election for President and other state and local offices?	Yes, I already voted	60	51
61		Yes, definitely	39	48
62		Yes, probably	0	0
63		Maybe (50-50)	1	0
64		No, probably not	0	0
65		No, definitely not	0	0
66
67	How would you say things in the United States are going? Are they going in the right direction or off on the wrong track?	Right direction	33	37
68		Wrong track	67	63
69
70	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Joe Biden	Very favorable	31	30
71		Somewhat favorable	19	16
72		Neutral	4	3
73		Somewhat unfavorable	3	3
74		Very unfavorable	42	47
75		Never heard of them	1	1
76
77		Total Favorable	50	46
78		Total Unfavorable	45	50
79		Net Favorable	5	-4
80
81	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Donald Trump	Very favorable	34	38
82		Somewhat favorable	6	6
83		Neutral	2	2
84		Somewhat unfavorable	3	3
85		Very unfavorable	55	50
86		Never heard of them	1	0
87
88		Total Favorable	40	45
89		Total Unfavorable	58	53
90		Net Favorable	-18	-9
91
92	How favorable are your feelings about each of the following people? - Sara Gideon	Very favorable	24	24
93		Somewhat favorable	23	21
94		Neutral	5	4
95		Somewhat unfavorable	6	4
96		Very unfavorable	41	47
97		Never heard of them	1	1
98
99		Total Favorable	47	44
100		Total Unfavorable	47	51