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October 2024 presidential preference detailed tables
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Survey of U.S. adults conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 6, 2024.Note: Data shown here is among all registered voters. Not all registered voters will turn out to vote in the election. For more detail about how preelection indications of interest and intention are related to turnout, read Chapter 1 of the report, “Most Voters Say Harris Will Concede – and Trump Won’t – If Defeated in the Election.”Terms of useThis sheet is view only. You can only export this data into a CSV/Excel or other format by downloading. To download these tables, click “File” and then select “Download” to save in your preferred file format.
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Full report: “Most Voters Say Harris Will Concede – and Trump Won’t – If Defeated in the ElectionPrivacy policy
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% of all registered voters who support ...
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Trump/
Lean Trump
Harris/
Lean Harris
Kennedy/
Lean Kennedy
Oliver/
Lean Oliver
Stein/
Lean Stein
West/
Lean West
Lean toward noneMargin of error
(+/- pct. pts.)
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All voters4748211*11.9
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Gender
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Men5143221*12.7
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Women4352211*22.6
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Race and ethnicity
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White5541211*12.4
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Black1479111154.8
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Hispanic3854321115.1
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Asian**30624*2017
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Age
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18-293457321*24.9
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30-494546321*23.4
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50-645245111*13.5
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65+5147****13.7
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Education
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Postgrad33621*1*14.5
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College grad4253311*13.8
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Some college4846221*13.3
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HS or less563921**23.6
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Education (two-way)
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College grad+3857211*12.9
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Some college or less5242211*22.4
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Gender and age (four-way)
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18-29 Men3951431*27.6
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18-29 Women3062212026.2
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30-49 Men4943321114.8
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30-49 Women4149321*34.9
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50-64 Men5444*1***4.9
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50-64 Women49462*1*25
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65+ Men60381**015.5
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65+ Women4553*01*15
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Party
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Republican9441**0*3.5
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Democrat4941***13.1
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Independent/Other4543432*33.2
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Party/lean
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Rep/Lean Rep89621**12.7
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Dem/Lean Dem491111*12.6
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Party/lean and ideology
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Conservative Rep/Lean Rep95311*013.4
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Moderate/Liberal Rep/Lean Rep761552**14.9
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Conservative/Moderate Dem/Lean Dem787221*13.7
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Liberal Dem/Lean Dem2961*1**3.6
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Religion
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Protestant5837111*12.8
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White evangelical Protestant7917111014.6
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White nonevangelical Protestant5640211015.4
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Black Protestant138111*135.7
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Catholic52452****4.3
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White non-Hispanic Catholic62361****5.5
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Hispanic Catholic33633*1007.9
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Religiously unaffiliated2667311*23.5
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Atheist1282012*37.6
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Agnostic1973321*17
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Nothing in particular3457411024.8
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USR (community type)
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Urban316321*113.9
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Suburban4450211*22.6
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Rural6431221*13.8
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Age and gender (two-way)
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18-49 Men4546321*24.1
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18-49 Women3754311*33.8
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50+ Men5741*1***3.7
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50+ Women47501*1*13.5
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Race and age (two-way)
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18-49 White4844321023.7
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50+ White59391***13.1
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18-49 Black2068121177.6
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50+ Black788***136.1
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18-49 Hispanic3654421126.7
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50+ Hispanic42551110*7.6
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Veteran
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Yes, self6135111*15.8
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Not self4549211*12
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Union membership
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Yes4350211*25.7
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No4747211*12
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100
Religious service attendance