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PitcherNew PitchArticle LinkInitial VerdictReasoningEnd of Year Check-in
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Hunter GreeneCurve/ SplitterArticle 1MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
I’d love to see Greene with a curveball he can command for strikes, and think that could be a true difference-maker for him.
However, until I see it in a game, I can't believe in it
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Erick FeddeSweeper/SplitterArticle 1IMMENSELY IMPACTFUL
Fedde becoming rosterable means these changes are immensely impactful. He was already pretty good at preventing hard contact but now
he’s stopped throwing the pitch that gave up the most hard contact and added a swing-and-miss pitch that he can also throw for strikes.
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Bryce MillerSplitterArticle 1MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
We certainly don’t want to ignore Miller adding a potential plus swing-and-miss pitch, but the splitter really doesn’t address either of the two main
issues that Miller had heading into the offseason - like his poor splits against lefties.
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Tylor MegillSplitterArticle 1POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL
Admittedly, the bar is low here. By most metrics, Megill has one above-average pitch in his slider, so adding a second above average pitch
would automatically be a good thing.
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Spencer StriderCurveArticle 2MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
Anything that Strider adds isn’t going to have a massive impact on his value because he’s already one of the top, if not THE top, starter in
fantasy baseball. The curve looks like it could be a good pitch for lefties, but we have no idea how often he’ll throw it.
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Lucas GiolitoSliderArticle 2IMMENSELY IMPACTFUL
If Giolito is just able to fix either of his slider or fastball pitches, he would likely rebound to be a low 4.00-ERA pitcher with a solid strikeout rate,
but if he’s able to get both pitches back to their previous levels, we could actually see him come close to the 2021 season where he had a 3.53 ERA
and a 1.10 WHIP with 200 strikeouts in 179 innings.
Sadly, Giolito needed to undergo UCL surgery before the regular season began, so we never saw what he would look like with these changes
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Grayson RodriguezSinkerArticle 2MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
I’d like to see Rodriguez with a version of a two-seamer so long as he can differentiate it from his four-seam. However, I’m not sure we’re really
going to get meaningful usage on whatever new pitch he’s bringing in.
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Cole IrvinSinkerArticle 2MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
It seems like these changes will help Irvin become a more reliable ratio starter but not do much to add more strikeout upside to his game.
That could make him a more reliable streamer, but not likely somebody you want to roster full time.
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Cole Ragans
Slider/ Two-Seamer
Article 3MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
I’m a full believer in Ragans but mainly because I’m a believer that what he did last year was real. I don’t think the tweaked slider
or new two-seamer will make any major difference
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Cristopher SanchezCutterArticle 3MEANINGFULLY IMPACTFUL
The added cutter isn’t going to do anything to Sánchez’s strikeout rate, so it’s not going to make a huge difference to his fantasy profile.
However, I do believe it will make it more likely that 2023 isn’t a huge fluke.
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Bailey OberCutterArticle 3MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
I think this new pitch will be good for Ober but not a massive difference-maker. It could help him improve against lefties by no longer
needing to throw his slower slider, but he wasn’t bad against lefties to begin with.
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Chris PaddackCutterArticle 3MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
I think I might be out on Paddack here. I know people love to think about his upside, but he showed major issues against righties
during that last full season and doesn’t appear to have changed his pitch mix or approach in a way that would suggest growth in that area.
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Zack WheelerSplitterArticle 4MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
Listen, nothing is going to make a MAJOR impact with Wheeler when he’s already one of the top five starters in fantasy.
The splitter could help with his minor split issues against lefties and raise him up a touch
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Joe MusgroveSweeperArticle 4POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL
We know exactly how Musgrove plans to use the sweeper, which is great news; however, we don’t know much about its shape
or how often he’ll use it. All of that makes it hard to trust, but it will certainly be something I’m watching.
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Joe RyanSinker/SplitterArticle 4MEANINGFULLY IMPACTFUL
I love that Ryan has tweaked his splitter and slider. That alone does make me more interested in him than I was when I felt like he had no
consistent offerings besides his four-seam. There is an untapped ceiling that he could reach if that sinker helps to mitigate hard contact.
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Gavin Stone
Cutter/ Two-Seamer
Article 4MEANINGFULLY IMPACTFUL
Look, Stone was an afterthought about a month ago, so the fact that he has looked as good as he has is meaningfully impactful. He’s now
firmly on the radar in 12-team leagues and deeper, and I think he will be less volatile than he was last year.
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Shane BieberChange-UpArticle 5IMMENSELY IMPACTFUL
There are just too many changes here to ignore. The velocity. The tweak to the cutter. The re-introduction of the change-up.
The changes to the knuckle curve. These are all things that are crucial for Bieber's success.
Sadly, Bieber needed to undergo UCL surgery after looking electric in his first two starts of the season
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Garrett WhitlockSlider/CutterArticle 5MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
The new pitches are nice to see from Whitlock and the new philosophical direction of the Red Sox will likely enable him to stick
in the rotation with his new five-pitch mix, but until that sweeper starts missing bats, his upside is going to be capped by a lack of strikeouts.
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Logan GilbertSplitter/CutterArticle 5MEANINGFULLY IMPACTFUL
A deeper arsenal of pitches is a great thing for Gilbert, who could take a big step forward with more reliable pitches. After one start,
the trio of breaking balls seemed to provide him more swing-and-miss
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Aaron CivaleSweeperArticle 5POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL
Civale needed swing and miss to his game, and he tweaked two pitches in ways that should give him that. We didn’t see it after one start,
and he likely will never be a real strikeout asset, but I believe we’ll see gains that make him more than just a standard 12-team streaming option.
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Reid DetmersFour-SeamArticle 6POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL
Detmers has set himself up for success with his new fastball shape and attack plan. If he’s able to consistently miss more bats with it, he should
have more strikeout upside and fantasy upside. The pitch will still get hit hard at times, but at least now we’ll have strikeouts to offset that.
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Spencer TurnbullSweeperArticle 6MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
This feels like a slightly above-average arsenal that requires proper sequencing and everything to work in order for the results to be there.
Sometimes it won’t and he’s going to have rough starts, but I think he will be firmly on the 12-team streamer radar for a while.
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Jordan HicksSplitterArticle 6IMMENSELY IMPACTFUL
Considering I didn’t believe in Hicks as a starter at all, the fact that we’re seeing this level of performance from him is a big change. It does hinge on
the sinker command though. The splitter is a solid pitch, but he needs to pound the strike zone with the sinker to allow the splitter to flourish.
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Louie VarlandCurveArticle 6MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
This isn’t even a knock on the curve, which I think has looked good through the first two starts. I’m just not sure the rest of Varland’s arsenal
meshes well, and I’m not sure the way he attacks hitters sets him up for success.
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Max FriedSweeperArticle 7MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
Fried throws six pitches and his sweeper is used just 15% of the time, so this isn’t a pitch that’s going to drastically change his profile.
However, it appears to be a better version of his slider and will give him more swing-and-miss upside against righties.
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Jose ButtoSweeperArticle 7POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL
On the surface, these changes could be good for Buttó . However, the sweeper is not missing bats so far and he hasn’t been able to throw
either version of the slider for strikes. The results have been good so far, but this feels a bit risky without actually having command.
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Cristian JavierChange-UpArticle 7IMMENSELY IMPACTFUL
We can’t blame the changeup for Javier's poor strikeout rate. That’s an issue with the slider. The changeup has given Javier a much safer
floor and allowed him to limit hard contact. If that slider returns, he could be a top-30 pitcher.
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Graham AshcraftSinkerArticle 7MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
I don’t think there is any real growth here. Yes, the sinker should limit some hard contact against righties, and we like that, but he’s struggling
to command the pitch and is also now struggling to command the cutter, so that pitch is regressing against lefties. I guess he could be a more
reliable streamer in plus matchups now, but I still think this is not something worth chasing.
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Reese OlsonFour-SeamArticle 8POTENTIALLY IMPACTFUL
I appreciate the shift in changeup usage, and it’s certainly worked for him so far. I also think the adjustment to using the sinker more to
right-handed hitters could be good overall. He just needs to fix the locations on it to see a real impact.
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Luis SeverinoSweeperArticle 8MINIMALLY IMPACTFUL
The sweeper theoretically should miss bats against righties, but he can’t command it in the zone and is throwing it up, which doesn’t make much
sense and is likely not his intended location. I’m not buying into this and if you can trade him to somebody, that might be the best path.
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Seth LugoCurve/ CutterArticle 8MARGINALLY IMPACTFUL
Lugo is not all of a sudden going to become a dynamic fantasy starter, but so far, he’s allowing less hard contact. He’s been consistently
mixing and matching his pitch mix to keep hitters off balance and induce as much soft contact as he can. For a pitcher without overwhelming
stuff, the more options he has to do that, the better.
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