Results 2018 General
 Share
The version of the browser you are using is no longer supported. Please upgrade to a supported browser.Dismiss

Comment only
 
 
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
1
CA-04 voter universe: registered Democrats, voted in 2016 general, skipped 2014 general election, registered on or before 10/15/2014
2
3
Primary election - June 2018
4
Voters in the CALAWAY GOTV programVoters not in the CALAWAY GOTV program
5
People in the voter universe we obtained voter pledge cards from whose mail did not bounceOther people in the voter universe we didn't obtain a card from or we got a card from them but their mail bounced.
6
Number of people in this universe1,215-
7
Number that voted in the 2018 election590-
8
% voting rate48.56%38.60%
9
Lift9.96%
10
11
General election - November 2018
12
Voters in the CALAWAY GOTV programVoters not in the CALAWAY GOTV program
13
People in the voter universe we obtained voter pledge cards from whose mail did not bounceOther people in the voter universe we didn't obtain a card from or we got a card from them but their mail bounced.
14
Number of people in this universe2,48630,322
15
Number that voted in the 2018 election2,10323,423
16
% voting rate84.59%77.25%
17
Lift7.35%
18
19
CA-07 voter universe: registered Democrats, voted in 2016 general, skipped 2014 general election, registered on or before 10/15/2014
20
Primary election - June 2018
21
Voters in the CALAWAY GOTV programVoters not in the CALAWAY GOTV program
22
People in the voter universe we obtained voter pledge cards from whose mail did not bounceOther people in the voter universe we didn't obtain a card from or we got a card from them but their mail bounced.
23
Number of people in this universe939-
24
Number that voted in the 2018 election386-
Results combined across districts in November election
25
% voting rate41.11%36.60%CAT voters voted2847
26
Lift4.51%
27
CAT Voters with cards339083.98%
28
General election - November 2018
NON-CAT voters voted52,110
29
Voters in the CALAWAY GOTV programVoters not in the CALAWAY GOTV program
NON-CAT voters without cards
69,65374.81%
30
People in the voter universe we obtained voter pledge cards from whose mail did not bounceOther people in the voter universe we didn't obtain a card from or we got a card from them but their mail bounced.LIFT9.17%
31
Number of people in this universe90439,3313.36
Door knocks until we touched someone who voted
32
Number that voted in the 2018 election74428,68736.68Door knocks until we touched someone who wouldn't have voted except for the CAT program.
33
% voting rate82.30%72.94%
34
Lift9.36%
35
36
Caveats:
37
We collected cards from some people whose mail bounced. We consider them to have not signed a card at all. Their act of signing the card (even though they didn't receive it), may have increased their voting rate.
38
I can't tell anything about people we collected cards from that didn't get tagged with card in NationBuilder. We are only as good as our data entry.
39
We collected cards from people not in our target universe. They are not included here. Some of them might be Republicans. If they were, we might have lost their voter commitment cards.
40
Some people who moved out of the area will have left this universe between the time we turfed them and the time we ran this evaluation. This would cause our card count in this analysis not to match our "cards mailed" count.
41
We did not maintain a "control" group, so we can't properly A/B test two cloned voters where one participated in our program and one did not.
42
We did very little canvassing after the primary in CA-07, and our voter universe atrophied as voters left the district or became unregistered. This is why our universe shrank from the primary to the general.
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
Loading...
Main menu