Most Winnable Republican Seats for Democrats in 2018
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Source:https://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-the-2012-2008-elections
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CDIncumbentPartyClinton Margin in 2016Obama Margin in 2012Weighted Partisan Lean (75/25)
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FL-27Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana(R)19.76.713.9
4
FL-26Curbelo, Carlos(R)16.111.512.4
5
CA-21Valadao, David(R)15.511.111.9
6
CO-06Coffman, Mike(R)8.95.15.4
7
MN-03Paulsen, Erik(R)9.40.84.7
8
VA-10Comstock, Barbara(R)10.0-1.64.6
9
NY-24Katko, John(R)3.615.94.1
11
CA-39Royce, Ed(R)8.6-3.73.0
12
CA-25Knight, Steve(R)6.7-1.92.0
13
CA-49Issa, Darrell(R)7.5-6.71.4
14
AZ-02McSally, Martha(R)4.9-1.50.7
16
IL-06Roskam, Peter(R)7.0-8.20.7
18
CA-10Denham, Jeff(R)3.03.60.6
19
WA-08Reichert, David(R)3.01.60.1
20
TX-23Hurd, Will(R)3.4-2.6-0.7
22
PA-07Meehan, Pat(R)2.3-1.9-1.3
24
CA-45Walters, Mimi(R)5.4-11.8-1.5
27
IA-01Blum, Rod(R)-3.513.7-1.8
31
PA-06Costello, Ryan(R)0.6-2.5-2.7
33
PA-08Fitzpatrick, Brian(R)-0.2-0.1-2.7
44
NJ-07Lance, Leonard(R)1.1-6.2-3.3
45
MN-02Lewis, Jason(R)-1.20.1-3.4
46
NJ-02LoBiondo, Frank(R)-4.68.1-4.0
48
KS-03Yoder, Kevin(R)1.2-9.5-4.0
62
IA-03Young, David(R)-3.54.2-4.1
65
CA-48Rohrabacher, Dana(R)1.7-11.7-4.2
68
NJ-11Frelinghuysen, Rodney(R)-0.9-5.8-4.7
71
TX-32Sessions, Pete(R)1.9-15.5-5.0
72
VA-02Taylor, Scott(R)-3.4-2.4-5.7
73
NE-02Bacon, Don(R)-2.2-7.2-6.0
79
NJ-03MacArthur, Tom(R)-6.24.6-6.1
80
NY-19Faso, John(R)-6.86.2-6.1
81
FL-25Diaz-Balart, Mario(R)-1.7-9.6-6.2
82
IL-13Davis, Rodney(R)-5.5-0.3-6.8
90
TX-07Culberson, John(R)1.4-21.3-6.8
91
MI-11Trott, Dave(R)-4.4-5.4-7.2
92
IL-14Hultgren, Randy(R)-3.9-10.0-8.0
93
ME-02Poliquin, Bruce(R)-10.38.5-8.2
95
NY-02King, Peter(R)-9.14.4-8.3
97
MI-08Bishop, Mike(R)-6.7-3.1-8.4
100
OH-10Turner, Michael(R)-7.3-1.9-8.5
101
WA-03Herrera Beutler, Jaime(R)-7.4-1.7-8.5
104
NY-11Donovan, Dan(R)-9.84.3-8.8
105
PA-15Dent, Charlie(R)-7.6-2.9-9.0
106
OH-01Chabot, Steve(R)-6.6-6.1-9.0
107
PA-16Smucker, Lloyd(R)-6.8-6.1-9.2
108
MI-06Upton, Fred(R)-8.4-1.4-9.2
114
GA-06Handel, Karen(R)-1.5-23.3-9.5
115
VA-07Brat, Dave(R)-6.5-11.2-10.2
116
FL-18Mast, Brian(R)-9.2-3.7-10.4
117
NC-13Budd, Ted(R)-9.4-6.8-11.3
119
WI-01Ryan, Paul(R)-10.3-4.2-11.3
122
MI-03Amash, Justin(R)-9.4-7.3-11.4
123
NY-21Stefanik, Elise(R)-13.96.1-11.5
124
FL-15Ross, Dennis(R)-10.0-5.6-11.5
125
NY-01Zeldin, Lee(R)-12.30.5-11.7
126
NM-02Pearce, Steve(R)-10.2-6.8-11.9
127
OH-14Joyce, David(R)-11.5-3.3-12.0
128
FL-16Buchanan, Vern(R)-10.7-8.6-12.7
130
GA-07Woodall, Rob(R)-6.3-21.9-12.8
133
VA-05Garrett, Tom(R)-11.1-7.6-12.8
135
TX-24Marchant, Kenny(R)-6.2-22.4-12.8
136
NC-02Holding, George(R)-9.6-13.0-13.0
137
CO-03Tipton, Scott(R)-12.0-6.0-13.1
138
IL-12Bost, Mike(R)-14.81.5-13.3
144
CA-22Nunes, Devin(R)-9.5-15.0-13.4
150
AR-02Hill, French(R)-10.7-11.8-13.5
151
OH-12Tiberi, Patrick(R)-11.3-10.5-13.7
152
NV-02Amodei, Mark(R)-12.3-8.1-13.8
153
NY-23Reed, Tom(R)-14.8-1.2-14.0
154
NC-09Pittenger, Robert(R)-11.6-11.6-14.2
156
MO-02Wagner, Ann(R)-10.3-15.7-14.2
158
NY-22Tenney, Claudia(R)-15.5-0.4-14.3
159
TX-10McCaul, Michael(R)-9.1-20.3-14.5
160
TX-22Olson, Pete(R)-7.9-25.4-14.8
161
WA-05McMorris Rodgers, Cathy(R)-13.1-9.8-14.8
162
VA-01Wittman, Rob(R)-12.4-12.4-15.0
164
AZ-06Schweikert, David(R)-10.0-20.7-15.2
165
CA-42Calvert, Ken(R)-12.0-15.1-15.3
166
OH-15Stivers, Steve(R)-15.4-5.6-15.5
167
TX-21Smith, Lamar(R)-10.0-21.9-15.5
168
IN-05Brooks, Susan(R)-11.8-16.8-15.6
169
NJ-04Smith, Chris(R)-14.8-9.5-16.0
170
TX-06Barton, Joe(R)-12.3-17.1-16.1
171
MI-07Walberg, Tim(R)-17.0-3.1-16.1
173
TX-02Poe, Ted(R)-9.3-27.3-16.4
174
NC-08Hudson, Richard(R)-15.0-10.4-16.4
175
WI-08Gallagher, Mike(R)-17.6-3.7-16.7
176
FL-06DeSantis, Ron(R)-17.0-5.6-16.7
178
NC-06Walker, Mark(R)-14.7-12.8-16.8
179
UT-04Love, Mia(R)-6.7-37.0-16.8
180
SC-01Sanford, Mark(R)-13.1-18.1-16.9
181
OH-16Renacci, Jim(R)-16.6-8.2-17.1
191
WI-06Grothman, Glenn(R)-16.9-7.3-17.1
200
OK-05Russell, Steve(R)-13.4-18.4-17.2
201
CA-08Cook, Paul(R)-15.1-13.9-17.4
202
OH-02Wenstrup, Brad(R)-16.1-11.0-17.4
203
IL-16Kinzinger, Adam(R)-17.2-7.7-17.4
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