Estimates of leave vote in Westminster constituencies in England and Wales
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1
NamePCON11CDEstimated Leave voteLower end of 95% prediction interval
Upper end of 95% prediction interval
Leave percent in local authority, "perfect matches" only
NotesError
2
BatterseaE1400054919.3212.8625.77NA#VALUE!
3
Bristol WestE1400060219.9513.3926.50NA#VALUE!
Note: these estimates have been replaced
4
Hornsey and Wood GreenE1400075221.6815.2128.15NA#VALUE!
See https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wTK5dV2_YjCMsUYlwg0l48uWWf44sKgG8uFVMv5OWlA/edit?usp=sharing for new estimates
5
Hampstead and KilburnE1400072722.6216.2828.95NA#VALUE!
6
TootingE1400099822.7516.3029.20NA#VALUE!
7
KensingtonE1400076823.0616.6929.42NA#VALUE!
8
Chelsea and FulhamE1400062923.1316.8029.47NA#VALUE!
9
Richmond ParkE1400089623.3916.9929.80NA#VALUE!
10
Cities of London and Westminster
E1400063923.7917.3230.27NA#VALUE!
11
Manchester, WithingtonE1400080924.1817.7630.59NA#VALUE!
12
Islington NorthE1400076324.3017.9130.69NA#VALUE!
13
PutneyE1400088724.9018.5731.23NA#VALUE!
14
VauxhallE1400100825.5719.1531.99NA#VALUE!
15
Holborn and St PancrasE1400075025.9219.4532.39NA#VALUE!
16
HammersmithE1400072626.7820.4433.12NA#VALUE!
17
Dulwich and West NorwoodE1400067326.8220.4733.17NA#VALUE!
18
Brighton, PavilionE1400059827.0320.3433.73NA#VALUE!
19
WimbledonE1400104027.0720.6733.48NA#VALUE!
20
Cardiff CentralW0700005028.3821.3535.40NA#VALUE!
21
StreathamE1400097828.5722.2234.92NA#VALUE!
22
Ealing Central and ActonE1400067429.1722.8835.46NA#VALUE!
23
TwickenhamE1400100529.2822.8535.70NA#VALUE!
24
Hackney South and Shoreditch
E1400072129.3822.9135.85NA#VALUE!
25
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
E1400072029.7723.2036.35NA#VALUE!
26
Islington South and FinsburyE1400076429.8023.3736.23NA#VALUE!
27
Lewisham, DeptfordE1400078929.9523.5836.31NA#VALUE!
28
Westminster NorthE1400103630.0323.5336.54NA#VALUE!
29
Sheffield CentralE1400091930.1922.9137.46NA#VALUE!
30
CambridgeE1400061730.5223.7837.26NA#VALUE!
31
Bethnal Green and BowE1400055531.7725.2538.28NA#VALUE!
32
Bermondsey and Old Southwark
E1400055332.2725.8838.67NA#VALUE!
33
Finchley and Golders GreenE1400070332.5426.2538.84NA#VALUE!
34
BathE1400054733.5827.1140.06NA#VALUE!
35
Poplar and LimehouseE1400088234.0727.4640.67NA#VALUE!
36
Sheffield, HallamE1400092234.6728.1741.17NA#VALUE!
37
Greenwich and WoolwichE1400071834.9128.6141.21NA#VALUE!
38
Liverpool, RiversideE1400079335.0728.1242.03NA#VALUE!
39
Camberwell and PeckhamE1400061535.1028.7441.46NA#VALUE!
40
Brentford and IsleworthE1400059335.1728.9141.43NA#VALUE!
41
St AlbansE1400096035.6629.3142.00NA#VALUE!
42
Oxford EastE1400087335.6729.1842.17NA#VALUE!
43
Leeds North WestE1400078036.5629.5243.60NA#VALUE!
44
Manchester CentralE1400080736.8130.2343.40NA#VALUE!
45
HoveE1400075537.2130.8443.59NA#VALUE!
46
Cardiff NorthW0700005138.3131.9844.65NA#VALUE!
47
Hitchin and HarpendenE1400074938.3432.0344.64NA#VALUE!
48
Reading EastE1400088938.3432.0744.61NA#VALUE!
49
Lewisham West and PengeE1400078838.3732.0744.68NA#VALUE!
50
GuildfordE1400071938.7132.4944.93NA#VALUE!
51
CheltenhamE1400063038.7632.4545.08NA#VALUE!
52
Oxford West and AbingdonE1400087439.0332.6945.37NA#VALUE!
53
Esher and WaltonE1400069739.1632.9145.40NA#VALUE!
54
Leeds North EastE1400077939.4533.0045.90NA#VALUE!
55
Manchester, GortonE1400080839.5332.9946.07NA#VALUE!
56
Leyton and WansteadE1400079040.1133.8046.42NA#VALUE!
57
WinchesterE1400104140.3134.0446.58NA#VALUE!
58
Kingston and SurbitonE1400077040.3934.0646.72NA#VALUE!
59
Harrow WestE1400073240.8634.6047.13NA#VALUE!
60
Newcastle upon Tyne EastE1400083241.2734.1848.36NA#VALUE!
61
Swansea WestW0700004741.3334.8247.83NA#VALUE!
62
Chipping BarnetE1400063641.4135.1347.69NA#VALUE!
63
South West SurreyE1400095341.6435.4147.87NA#VALUE!
64
East HamE1400067941.7935.2248.36NA#VALUE!
65
Altrincham and Sale WestE1400053241.8435.5048.17NA#VALUE!
66
South CambridgeshireE1400093442.0635.7548.38NA#VALUE!
67
Chesham and AmershamE1400063142.0735.8248.3244.98-2.91
68
Norwich SouthE1400086442.2535.8748.63NA#VALUE!
69
Lewisham EastE1400078742.5436.2948.79NA#VALUE!
70
York CentralE1400106142.6136.1249.10NA#VALUE!
71
Enfield, SouthgateE1400069242.6336.3448.91NA#VALUE!
72
Ilford SouthE1400076042.8836.4349.32NA#VALUE!
73
WokinghamE1400104843.0436.8049.28NA#VALUE!
74
ArfonW0700005743.0436.6349.44NA#VALUE!
75
RushcliffeE1400090843.1236.8449.40NA#VALUE!
76
West HamE1400103243.2536.8149.70NA#VALUE!
77
Nottingham EastE1400086543.3436.8549.82NA#VALUE!
78
South West HertfordshireE1400095143.8337.5850.08NA#VALUE!
79
WokingE1400104743.9437.7350.15NA#VALUE!
80
Croydon NorthE1400065543.9437.5950.29NA#VALUE!
81
WalthamstowE1400101343.9837.6650.31NA#VALUE!
82
Liverpool, WavertreeE1400079544.0137.6750.34NA#VALUE!
83
HendonE1400074144.0637.7050.43NA#VALUE!
84
Nottingham SouthE1400086744.1737.1851.17NA#VALUE!
85
Cardiff WestW0700007944.2237.8550.59NA#VALUE!
86
Warwick and LeamingtonE1400101944.3638.0350.68NA#VALUE!
87
CeredigionW0700006444.6138.0651.1645.37-0.76
88
MaidenheadE1400080344.6138.3950.83NA#VALUE!
89
CanterburyE1400061944.7338.2951.17NA#VALUE!
90
Birmingham, LadywoodE1400056444.7637.5351.9835.62267156
Taken from http://www.birmingham.gov.uk/eureferendum
9.13
91
Portsmouth SouthE1400088444.9238.2951.55NA#VALUE!
92
MonmouthW0700005445.0038.6851.33NA#VALUE!
93
TottenhamE1400100245.0238.6151.44NA#VALUE!
94
City of ChesterE1400064045.0638.8051.31NA#VALUE!
95
HenleyE1400074245.1138.9151.31NA#VALUE!
96
Mole ValleyE1400082445.1738.9551.39NA#VALUE!
97
CheadleE1400062745.2038.9151.49NA#VALUE!
98
North East HampshireE1400084445.2439.0251.45NA#VALUE!
99
Cardiff South and PenarthW0700008045.5139.1251.89NA#VALUE!
100
Ealing, SouthallE1400067645.7239.3852.05NA#VALUE!
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