Estimates of leave vote in Westminster constituencies in England and Wales

	A	B	C	D	E	F	H	I	J	L
1	Name	PCON11CD	Estimated Leave vote	Lower end of 95% prediction interval	Upper end of 95% prediction interval	Leave percent in local authority, "perfect matches" only		Notes	Error
2	Battersea	E14000549	19.32	12.86	25.77	NA			#VALUE!
3	Bristol West	E14000602	19.95	13.39	26.50	NA			#VALUE!	Note: these estimates have been replaced
4	Hornsey and Wood Green	E14000752	21.68	15.21	28.15	NA			#VALUE!	See https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1wTK5dV2_YjCMsUYlwg0l48uWWf44sKgG8uFVMv5OWlA/edit?usp=sharing for new estimates
5	Hampstead and Kilburn	E14000727	22.62	16.28	28.95	NA			#VALUE!
6	Tooting	E14000998	22.75	16.30	29.20	NA			#VALUE!
7	Kensington	E14000768	23.06	16.69	29.42	NA			#VALUE!
8	Chelsea and Fulham	E14000629	23.13	16.80	29.47	NA			#VALUE!
9	Richmond Park	E14000896	23.39	16.99	29.80	NA			#VALUE!
10	Cities of London and Westminster	E14000639	23.79	17.32	30.27	NA			#VALUE!
11	Manchester, Withington	E14000809	24.18	17.76	30.59	NA			#VALUE!
12	Islington North	E14000763	24.30	17.91	30.69	NA			#VALUE!
13	Putney	E14000887	24.90	18.57	31.23	NA			#VALUE!
14	Vauxhall	E14001008	25.57	19.15	31.99	NA			#VALUE!
15	Holborn and St Pancras	E14000750	25.92	19.45	32.39	NA			#VALUE!
16	Hammersmith	E14000726	26.78	20.44	33.12	NA			#VALUE!
17	Dulwich and West Norwood	E14000673	26.82	20.47	33.17	NA			#VALUE!
18	Brighton, Pavilion	E14000598	27.03	20.34	33.73	NA			#VALUE!
19	Wimbledon	E14001040	27.07	20.67	33.48	NA			#VALUE!
20	Cardiff Central	W07000050	28.38	21.35	35.40	NA			#VALUE!
21	Streatham	E14000978	28.57	22.22	34.92	NA			#VALUE!
22	Ealing Central and Acton	E14000674	29.17	22.88	35.46	NA			#VALUE!
23	Twickenham	E14001005	29.28	22.85	35.70	NA			#VALUE!
24	Hackney South and Shoreditch	E14000721	29.38	22.91	35.85	NA			#VALUE!
25	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	E14000720	29.77	23.20	36.35	NA			#VALUE!
26	Islington South and Finsbury	E14000764	29.80	23.37	36.23	NA			#VALUE!
27	Lewisham, Deptford	E14000789	29.95	23.58	36.31	NA			#VALUE!
28	Westminster North	E14001036	30.03	23.53	36.54	NA			#VALUE!
29	Sheffield Central	E14000919	30.19	22.91	37.46	NA			#VALUE!
30	Cambridge	E14000617	30.52	23.78	37.26	NA			#VALUE!
31	Bethnal Green and Bow	E14000555	31.77	25.25	38.28	NA			#VALUE!
32	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	E14000553	32.27	25.88	38.67	NA			#VALUE!
33	Finchley and Golders Green	E14000703	32.54	26.25	38.84	NA			#VALUE!
34	Bath	E14000547	33.58	27.11	40.06	NA			#VALUE!
35	Poplar and Limehouse	E14000882	34.07	27.46	40.67	NA			#VALUE!
36	Sheffield, Hallam	E14000922	34.67	28.17	41.17	NA			#VALUE!
37	Greenwich and Woolwich	E14000718	34.91	28.61	41.21	NA			#VALUE!
38	Liverpool, Riverside	E14000793	35.07	28.12	42.03	NA			#VALUE!
39	Camberwell and Peckham	E14000615	35.10	28.74	41.46	NA			#VALUE!
40	Brentford and Isleworth	E14000593	35.17	28.91	41.43	NA			#VALUE!
41	St Albans	E14000960	35.66	29.31	42.00	NA			#VALUE!
42	Oxford East	E14000873	35.67	29.18	42.17	NA			#VALUE!
43	Leeds North West	E14000780	36.56	29.52	43.60	NA			#VALUE!
44	Manchester Central	E14000807	36.81	30.23	43.40	NA			#VALUE!
45	Hove	E14000755	37.21	30.84	43.59	NA			#VALUE!
46	Cardiff North	W07000051	38.31	31.98	44.65	NA			#VALUE!
47	Hitchin and Harpenden	E14000749	38.34	32.03	44.64	NA			#VALUE!
48	Reading East	E14000889	38.34	32.07	44.61	NA			#VALUE!
49	Lewisham West and Penge	E14000788	38.37	32.07	44.68	NA			#VALUE!
50	Guildford	E14000719	38.71	32.49	44.93	NA			#VALUE!
51	Cheltenham	E14000630	38.76	32.45	45.08	NA			#VALUE!
52	Oxford West and Abingdon	E14000874	39.03	32.69	45.37	NA			#VALUE!
53	Esher and Walton	E14000697	39.16	32.91	45.40	NA			#VALUE!
54	Leeds North East	E14000779	39.45	33.00	45.90	NA			#VALUE!
55	Manchester, Gorton	E14000808	39.53	32.99	46.07	NA			#VALUE!
56	Leyton and Wanstead	E14000790	40.11	33.80	46.42	NA			#VALUE!
57	Winchester	E14001041	40.31	34.04	46.58	NA			#VALUE!
58	Kingston and Surbiton	E14000770	40.39	34.06	46.72	NA			#VALUE!
59	Harrow West	E14000732	40.86	34.60	47.13	NA			#VALUE!
60	Newcastle upon Tyne East	E14000832	41.27	34.18	48.36	NA			#VALUE!
61	Swansea West	W07000047	41.33	34.82	47.83	NA			#VALUE!
62	Chipping Barnet	E14000636	41.41	35.13	47.69	NA			#VALUE!
63	South West Surrey	E14000953	41.64	35.41	47.87	NA			#VALUE!
64	East Ham	E14000679	41.79	35.22	48.36	NA			#VALUE!
65	Altrincham and Sale West	E14000532	41.84	35.50	48.17	NA			#VALUE!
66	South Cambridgeshire	E14000934	42.06	35.75	48.38	NA			#VALUE!
67	Chesham and Amersham	E14000631	42.07	35.82	48.32	44.98			-2.91
68	Norwich South	E14000864	42.25	35.87	48.63	NA			#VALUE!
69	Lewisham East	E14000787	42.54	36.29	48.79	NA			#VALUE!
70	York Central	E14001061	42.61	36.12	49.10	NA			#VALUE!
71	Enfield, Southgate	E14000692	42.63	36.34	48.91	NA			#VALUE!
72	Ilford South	E14000760	42.88	36.43	49.32	NA			#VALUE!
73	Wokingham	E14001048	43.04	36.80	49.28	NA			#VALUE!
74	Arfon	W07000057	43.04	36.63	49.44	NA			#VALUE!
75	Rushcliffe	E14000908	43.12	36.84	49.40	NA			#VALUE!
76	West Ham	E14001032	43.25	36.81	49.70	NA			#VALUE!
77	Nottingham East	E14000865	43.34	36.85	49.82	NA			#VALUE!
78	South West Hertfordshire	E14000951	43.83	37.58	50.08	NA			#VALUE!
79	Woking	E14001047	43.94	37.73	50.15	NA			#VALUE!
80	Croydon North	E14000655	43.94	37.59	50.29	NA			#VALUE!
81	Walthamstow	E14001013	43.98	37.66	50.31	NA			#VALUE!
82	Liverpool, Wavertree	E14000795	44.01	37.67	50.34	NA			#VALUE!
83	Hendon	E14000741	44.06	37.70	50.43	NA			#VALUE!
84	Nottingham South	E14000867	44.17	37.18	51.17	NA			#VALUE!
85	Cardiff West	W07000079	44.22	37.85	50.59	NA			#VALUE!
86	Warwick and Leamington	E14001019	44.36	38.03	50.68	NA			#VALUE!
87	Ceredigion	W07000064	44.61	38.06	51.16	45.37			-0.76
88	Maidenhead	E14000803	44.61	38.39	50.83	NA			#VALUE!
89	Canterbury	E14000619	44.73	38.29	51.17	NA			#VALUE!
90	Birmingham, Ladywood	E14000564	44.76	37.53	51.98	35.62267156	Taken from http://www.birmingham.gov.uk/eureferendum		9.13
91	Portsmouth South	E14000884	44.92	38.29	51.55	NA			#VALUE!
92	Monmouth	W07000054	45.00	38.68	51.33	NA			#VALUE!
93	Tottenham	E14001002	45.02	38.61	51.44	NA			#VALUE!
94	City of Chester	E14000640	45.06	38.80	51.31	NA			#VALUE!
95	Henley	E14000742	45.11	38.91	51.31	NA			#VALUE!
96	Mole Valley	E14000824	45.17	38.95	51.39	NA			#VALUE!
97	Cheadle	E14000627	45.20	38.91	51.49	NA			#VALUE!
98	North East Hampshire	E14000844	45.24	39.02	51.45	NA			#VALUE!
99	Cardiff South and Penarth	W07000080	45.51	39.12	51.89	NA			#VALUE!
100	Ealing, Southall	E14000676	45.72	39.38	52.05	NA			#VALUE!