|No or actively bad outcome||Quicktake|
|**Analysis based on texts released 15.12 - UNDER CONSTRUCTION|
|Headline decision 1/CP.25; 1/CMP.15; 1/CMA.2|
|Language on urgency/climate emergency|
Strengthend urgency text directly pointing to emissions gap:
- "Re-emphasizes with serious concern the urgent need to address the significant gap between the aggregate effect of Parties’ mitigation efforts in terms of global annual emissions of greenhouse gases by 2020...."
- "Stresses the urgency of enhanced ambition in order to ensure the highest possible
mitigation and adaptation efforts by all Parties;"
|Language on urgency and science|
Continue to have language on importance of both science and IPPC reports (actual reports moved to a footnote) in addressing climate change, invites parties to use reports in their discussions and to support IPCC.
|balance on pre-and post 2020|
Both pre and post-2020 language stregthened but while the pre-2020 programme is concrete and clear, Post-2020 language is stronger but still faily indirect (i.e. a lot of re-referencing of Paris language, no clear dealine for submission of NDCs etc)
NDC language beyond restatement of Paris, i.e. through 2020 timeline/by proxy synthesis report for NDCs by a certain date
Stregthend language a) reminding parties that successive NDCs should reperesent a progression and reflect highest possible ambition; b) recalls Paris language on NDCs and urges parties to consider the gap (weirdly referenced as the gap in 2020 not the gap expected in 2030 which would be the relevant one for NDCs - maybe a typo?) c) syntehsis report made available by COP26 (November 2020) - no clear proxy timelien so reliant on UNFCCC to clarify by when they would need submissions to set a weak deadline for NDC submission.
Bounded and purposeful pre-2020 work programme (i.e. 2020-2022, input to Global Stocktake)
stregthened pre-2020 provision for round tables "on on pre-2020 implementation and ambition" at COp26 and COP27 with partiy and non-party stakeholder (the latter is new and good!) + by September 2022 prepare a synthesis report as input for the second periodic review
|Language on enhancing work on adaptation|
Language on adaptation stregthened, including recognising the gap in adaptation action and mandate to review progress made on the achievin global adaptation goal
Carbon markets - all texts produced during the two weeks will be taken foward as inputs to negotiations at COP26
|Overall Mitigation of Globale Emissions|
|No double counting/ Corresponding adjustments|
|predictable and adequate share of proceeds (6.4; 6.2?) for resourcing adaptation fund|
|No double counting: (or limited) transition period of Kyoto era credits|
|Safeguards for human and indegenous rights|
|Loss & damage - need to double-check final text|
|call for "new and addtional" loss and damage finance|
Loss and damage language back in headline decision, though called "impacts of climate change"- no new and additional fiannce but call for international entities (incl finance institutions) to continue support, WIM decision urges” scale up of support by developed countries and other Parties is a position to do so, as well as private and non-governmental organizations, funds and other stakeholders;
|establish an expert working group on action on support|
Expert group on support established to work with financial bodies inside the UNFCCC (GCF, STanding Committe on fiannce) and collect info on available support inside and outside of UNFCCC
|mandate for a Santiago Network on Implementiation||Santiago Network established under WIM|
|GCF work on loss and damage|
invites the GCF to continue funding activities relevant to loss and damage consistent with existing policies, and work with WIM Executive Committee to clarify how countries may access GCF funding for loss and damage activties, WIM requested to provide inputs to SCF, and SCF told it can receive inputs from WIM ExCom on potential future guidance to funds.
|Governance of the WIM||Will be discussed at the next session|
|Second Periodic Review|
|Clarity about interaction with GST and pre-2020 work prorgamme|
pre-2020 roundtables will form an input into SPR - no clarity on interaction with GST
Mandate to use this review as a space for discussing best available science and what it means for climate safe GHG levels
could be a lot more explicit but the scope of the review includes enhancing understanding of the long-term goal in light of best available science, and improving scenarios for achieving it
|COP decisions on or inclusion in headline decision text|
|Non-state party stakeholders|
Weakend language on the role of non-state actors but generally still acknolweges the improtant role of non-party stakeholders in reaching Paris Agreement goals. The work of High-Level Champions (members of the COP Presidency teams focusing specifically on engagement with subnational and real economy actors) will continue for the next five years, which was up in the air.
No placeholder for acknolwedging decisions, general language on importance of just transition, Workplan however has been adopted
Human rights only in the decision text under the meeting of the Paris Agreement. First time ever recognition of the efforts of youth and indigenous peoples in a COP decision, strong general language on social inclusion (imperative of just transition, creation of decent work and jobs) but no clear call for including them in NDC revision or LTS design processes.
|gender and action plan|
Gender action plan adoption acknowledged in headline decision text
|Terms of reference for capacity building body (Consultative Group of Experts)||Rule 16 applied - pushed to next year|
|human rights language|
Coverage in the preamble of the decision text (1/CMA.2), no mention of human rights in 1CP25
Recognises importance of multilateralism to address climate change; but no link to need t invest in multilateral process more
Recognises efforts of Chilean Presidency to highlight importance of oceans. june 2020 mandate for dialogue on climate/oceans (35), and invites submission of views by March 31 2020 on this (36) - informal summary report by Secretariat
june 2020 dialogue on climate/land and what it means for adaptation ( so as not to overlap with ongoing land processes and discussions on sinks and agriculture) - informal summary report by Secretariat