Resources on Visualizing Uncertainty
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Book chapterModels of uncertainty in spatial dataPF Fisherhttps://frew.eri.ucsb.edu/private/ESM263/week/9/Models_of_uncertainty_in_spatial_data.pdfIntroduces different types of uncertainty.
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Book chapterMaking Uncertainty Usable: Approaches for Visualizing Uncertainty Information in Geographic Visualization: Concepts, Tools and ApplicationsStephanie Deitrick, Robert Edsallhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/9780470987643.ch14
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Blog postAnimating UncertaintyJim Vallandinghamhttp://vallandingham.me/animating_uncertainty.htmlExplores ways to visualize uncertainty with animation.
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Blog postVisualizing the Uncertainty in DataNathan Yau (FlowingData)http://flowingdata.com/2018/01/08/visualizing-the-uncertainty-in-data/Shows a few examples and techniques.
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Blog postFlowingData's post tagged as "uncertainty"Nathan Yau (FlowingData)http://flowingdata.com/tag/uncertainty/FlowingData's post tagged as "uncertainty".
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Blog postvisualizing uncertaintyElizabeth Rickshttp://www.storytellingwithdata.com/blog/2018/6/27/visualizing-uncertaintyPresents a case study from a client.
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Blog postReferences for visualising uncertaintyAndy Kirkhttp://www.visualisingdata.com/2015/02/references-visualising-uncertainty/A couple of useful links
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Blog PostDifference between risk and uncertaintyDataGeneticshttp://datagenetics.com/blog/december12013/index.html
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Blog PostDeal or No Deal analysisDataGeneticshttp://datagenetics.com/blog/january12015/index.html
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Blog PostEstimating "Known unkowns"DataGeneticshttp://datagenetics.com/blog/december12015/index.html
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Blog PostShowing uncertainty in survey resultsData Revelations
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Blog PostPoint size by accuracyChristoffer Flensburghttp://yabib.blogspot.com/2014/10/point-size-by-accuracy.html?m=0
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Blog PostHoly Mackerel, Uncertainty Matters!Data Remixedhttp://dataremixed.com/2013/03/holy-mackerel-uncertainty-matters/
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ArticleUncertainty and graphicacy: How should statisticians, journalists, and designers reveal uncertainty in graphics for public consumption?Alberto Cairohttp://powerfromstatistics.eu/uploads/originals/PDF/outlook-reports/PfS_Uncertainty%20and%20graphicacy.pdfPresents a series of case studies.
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Research paperHypothetical Outcome Plots Help Untrained Observers Judge Trends in Ambiguous DataAlex Kale, Francis Nguyen, Matthew Kay, and Jessica Hullmanhttps://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/290d/1f3ff5f443d20a6ea5a896f79713b6eea73f.pdf?_ga=2.160446964.831825024.1537194367-1965486301.1522556067User study testing the use of animation to convey uncertainty.
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Research paperValue-Suppressing Uncertainty PalettesMichael Correll, Dominik Moritz, Jeffrey Heerhttp://idl.cs.washington.edu/papers/uncertainty-palettes/Novel technique to use color to represent uncertainty.
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Research paperConceptualizing Visual Uncertainty in Parallel CoordinatesAritra Dasgupta1 Min Chen2 Robert Kosara1https://vgc.poly.edu/~adasgupta/EuroVisUncertainty2012.pdfAnalyzes sources of uncertainty in PCPs.
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Research paperVisual Semiotics & Uncertainty Visualization: An Empirical StudyAlan M. MacEachren, Member, IEEE, Robert E. Roth, James O'Brien, Bonan Li, Derek Swingley, Mark Gaheganhttps://www.researchgate.net/publication/260582970_Visual_Semiotics_Uncertainty_Visualization_An_Empirical_StudyDevelops/proposes a wide set of symbols and evaluates them with a set of user studies.
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Research paperIn Pursuit of Error: A Survey of Uncertainty Visualization EvaluationJessica Hullman, Xiaoli Qiao, Michael Correll, Alex Kale, Matthew Kayhttps://research.tableau.com/sites/default/files/uncertainty_vis_eval.pdfHelps people design experiments to evaluate uncertainty.
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Research paperError Bars Considered Harmful: Exploring Alternate Encodings for Mean and ErrorMichael Correll, Michael Gleicherhttps://graphics.cs.wisc.edu/Papers/2014/CG14/Preprint.pdfProvides alternative designs to standard error bars and evaluates them.
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Research paperVisualizing Time-Specific Hurricane Predictions, with Uncertainty, from Storm Path EnsemblesL. Liu1, M. Mirzangar, R.M. Kirby, R. Whitaker, and D. H. Househttps://people.cs.clemson.edu/~lel/doc/EuroVis-2015.pdfMethod to visualize hurricane predictions with animation.
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Research paperEvaluating Sketchiness as a Visual Variable for the Depiction of Qualitative UncertaintyNadia Boukhelifa, Anastasia Bezerianos, Tobias Isenberg, Jean-Daniel Fekete https://hal.inria.fr/hal-00717441Using sketchiness as a visual property to convey uncertainty.
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Research paperUncertainty displays using quantile dotplots or CDFs improve transit decision-makingMichael Fernandes, Logan Walls, Sean Munson, Jessica Hullman, and Matthew Kayhttp://www.mjskay.com/papers/chi2018-uncertain-bus-decisions.pdfQuantile dotplots (static hypothetical outcome-style alternative to densities, intervals) that leads to better decisions in an incentivized experiment
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Research paperEffects of ensemble and summary displays on interpretations of geospatial uncertainty dataLace Padilla, Ian Ruginski, and Sarah Creem-Regehrhttp://cognitiveresearchjournal.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s41235-017-0076-1Compares ensemble vs. summary uncertainty vis + ensemble biases
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Research paperHypothetical Outcome Plots Outperform Error Bars and Violin Plots for Inferences about Reliability of Variable OrderingJessica Hullman, Paul Resnick, Eytan Adarhttps://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0142444Original Hypothetical Outcome Plots paper, evaluates against violin plots and error bars
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Research paperWhen (ish) is my bus? User-centered visualizations of uncertainty in everyday, mobile predictive systemsMatthew Kay, Tara Kola, Jessica Hullman, and Sean Munsonhttp://www.mjskay.com/papers/chi_2016_uncertain_bus.pdfOriginal quantile dotplots paper, compares against densities and stripe plots
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Research paperI’ve Seen “Enough”: Incrementally Improving Visualizations to Support Rapid Decision MakingSajjadur Rahman, Maryam Aliakbarpour, Ha Kyung Kong, Eric Blais, Karrie Karahalios, Aditya Parameswaran, Ronitt Rubinfieldhttp://data-people.cs.illinois.edu/incvisage.pdfProposes a greedy approach to progressively unveil interesting features of ordinal data visualizations, e.g., line charts, heatmaps. Depends on the incremental improvement to address uncertainity.
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Research paperVisualization of Delay Uncertainty and its Impact on Train Trip Planning: A Design StudyMarcel Wunderlich, Tatiana von Landesbergerhttp://www.gris.tu-darmstadt.de/research/vissearch/publications/pdf/marcelwunderlich2017VisualizationOf_preprint.pdfVisual Design for Trip Plans with Delays
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Research paperTypology of Uncertainty in Static Geolocated Graphs for VisualizationMarcel Wunderlich, Tatiana von Landesberger, Sebastian Bremmhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1109/MCG.2017.3621220Summarizes types of uncertainty in networks and state of art of visualizing them
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Research paperDeveloping Implicit Uncertainty Visualization Methods Motivated by Theories in Decision ScienceStephanie Deitrick & Elizabeth A. Wentzhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/00045608.2015.1012635Defines "Implicit Uncertainty Visualization Methods" and presents a methodology, implicit uncertainty visualization, that reflects how decision makers contend with uncertainty.
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Research paperHow to Assess Visual Communication of Uncertainty? A Systematic Review of Geospatial Uncertainty Visualisation User Studies
Christoph Kinkeldey, Alan M. MacEachren & Jochen Schiewe
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1179/1743277414Y.0000000099
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Research paperData Visualization in the Neurosciences: Overcoming the Curse of DimensionalityAllen EA, Erhardt EB, Calhoun VD.https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S089662731200428X?via%3Dihub
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Research paperThe Perception of Visual Uncertainty Representation by Non-ExpertsSusanne Tak, Alexander Toet, Jan van Erphttps://www.researchgate.net/publication/258116935_The_Perception_of_Visual_Uncertainty_Representation_by_Non-Experts
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Research paperUncertainty Displays Using Quantile Dotplots or CDFs Improve Transit Decision-MakingMichael Fernandes1, Logan Walls1, Sean Munson1, Jessica Hullman1, and Matthew Kayhttp://www.mjskay.com/papers/chi2018-uncertain-bus-decisions.pdf
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Research paper
When (ish) is My Bus? User-centered Visualizations of Uncertainty in Everyday, Mobile Predictive Systems
Matthew Kay, Tara Kola, Jessica R. Hullman, Sean A. Munsonhttp://www.mjskay.com/papers/chi_2016_uncertain_bus.pdf
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TalkThe Visual Uncertainty ExperienceJessica Hullmanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pTVAn4oLvbcContrasting sample-based uncertainty vis with static versions.
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TalkDo You Know Nothing When You See It?Amelia McNamarahttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hps9r7JZQP8Sample-based uncertainty vis
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TalkRoom For Not KnowingAmanda Coxhttp://www.openvisconf.com/2017/#acox-video-itemOpenVis Conf 2017 Keynote
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TalkTidy data and Bayesian analysis make uncertainty visualization funMatthew Kayhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqzO-9LSoG4Strategies for constructing effective uncertainty vis using Bayesian analysis
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ListList of 86 studies on uncertaintyhttps://visualization.ischool.uw.edu/~xiaoliq/uncertainty_vis_eval/DataReferences.html
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ListList of papers from IEEE VIS containing "uncertainty" as a keywordhttp://keyvis.org/index.php?course=uncertainty
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Research paperKnown unknowns: representing uncertainty in historical timeFlorian Kräutli and Stephen Boyd Davishttps://ewic.bcs.org/content/ConWebDoc/50996
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Research paperAnimation as a Visual Indicator of Positional Uncertainty in Geographic InformationCarsten Keßler and Enid Lotsteinhttps://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007%2F978-3-319-78208-9_19
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