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Notes on data sources and methodology:
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*This Workbook includes the summary enrollment data and cohort rates used to calculate the directional forward-looking public school enrollment forecast.
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*Three input calculation scenarios form the high, mid, and low forecasts.
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*High: 2017 to 2019 Pre-COVID rates
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*Mid: 2017 to 2021 5-year rates
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*Low: 2018 to 2021 4-year rates
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*Three forward-looking scenarios were calculated using the high, mid, and low calculations for individual grade levels.
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*All three scenarios use actual 2017 to 2020 Orleans Parish births and a 72.0% birth-to-kinder rate, which is the average of the 2012 to 2016 birth cohorts entering 2017 to 2021 public school kindergarten.
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*Data was provided by the Louisiana Department of Education Multi stats files for public schools located in Orleans Parish.
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*For the detailed assumptions and annual Multi stats enrollment data this analysis was based on, please refer to the file titled "Public School Enrollment: 2011 to 2021".
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*The year listed reflects October 1st enrollment each year. For instance, "2021" refers to students enrolled in the school on October 1, 2021.
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*This Workbook was developed by NSNO in collaboration with NOLA-PS. Please reach out to Holly Reid (holly@nsno.org) or Matthew Braun (matthew@nsno.org) at NSNO with any questions you may have.
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File updateed: January 2023
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