Feb 12
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Strong Confidence - 1
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RISK TRADING CALENDAR 02/11/2018 - 02/16/2018Medium Confidence - 2
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`No Strong View - 0
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TIER 1 DATA: VERY MARKET MOVING, TRADEABLE
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DayDateTime (EST)CountryConfEventPeriodSurveyPreviousBull/Bear?Potential ST TradeRationale
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Tuesday
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUK2CPIH YoYJan--2.70%Bearish GBPShort GBP/USDShop prices continue to fall but at a less moderate rate. Strong GBP will dampen inflation
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKCPI MoMJan--0.40%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKCPI YoYJan--3.00%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKCPI Core YoYJan--2.50%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKRetail Price IndexJan--278.1
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKRPI MoMJan--0.80%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKRPI YoYJan--4.10%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKRPI Ex Mort Int.Payments (YoY)Jan--4.20%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKPPI Input NSA MoMJan--0.10%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKPPI Input NSA YoYJan--4.90%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKPPI Output NSA MoMJan--0.40%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKPPI Output NSA YoYJan--3.30%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKPPI Output Core NSA MoMJan--0.30%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKPPI Output Core NSA YoYJan--2.50%
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Tuesday2/13/20184:30 AMUKHouse Price Index YoYDec--5.10%
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Wednesday
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGE2GDP SA QoQ4Q P--0.80%Bearish EURShort EUR/USDSignificantly weaker retail sales and trade activity
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGEGDP WDA YoY4Q P--2.80%
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGEGDP NSA YoY4Q P--2.30%
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGECPI MoMJan F---0.70%
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGECPI YoYJan F--1.60%
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGECPI EU Harmonized MoMJan F---1.00%
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Wednesday
2/14/20182:00 AMGECPI EU Harmonized YoYJan F--1.40%
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Wednesday
2/14/20185:00 AMECNo TradeIndustrial Production SA MoMDec--1.00%No TradeNo TradeWhile important EZ GDP released same day as GE GDP so hard to predict
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Wednesday
2/14/20185:00 AMECIndustrial Production WDA YoYDec--3.20%
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Wednesday
2/14/20185:00 AMECGDP SA QoQ4Q P--0.60%
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Wednesday
2/14/20185:00 AMECGDP SA YoY4Q P--2.70%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUS2CPI MoMJan0.30%0.10%Bullish USDLong USD/JPYRetail sales unchanged from month ago. Wages marginally lower. Gas prices up strongly
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSCPI Ex Food and Energy MoMJan0.20%0.30%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSCPI YoYJan1.90%2.10%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSCPI Ex Food and Energy YoYJan1.70%1.80%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSCPI Index NSAJan--246.524
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSCPI Core Index SAJan--254.426
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSRetail Sales Advance MoMJan0.20%0.40%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSRetail Sales Ex Auto MoMJan0.50%0.40%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSRetail Sales Ex Auto and GasJan0.40%0.40%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSRetail Sales Control GroupJan0.40%0.30%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSReal Avg Weekly Earnings YoYJan--0.90%
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Wednesday
2/14/20188:30 AMUSReal Avg Hourly Earning YoYJan--0.60%
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Wednesday
2/14/20187:00 PMAU2Consumer Inflation ExpectationFeb--3.70%Bearish AUDShort AUD/USDWeaker manufacturing and construction employment. Stronger services
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Wednesday
2/14/20187:30 PMAUEmployment ChangeJan--34.7k
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Wednesday
2/14/20187:30 PMAUUnemployment RateJan--5.50%
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Wednesday
2/14/20187:30 PMAUFull Time Employment ChangeJan--15.1k
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Wednesday
2/14/20187:30 PMAUPart Time Employment ChangeJan--19.5k
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Wednesday
2/14/20187:30 PMAUParticipation RateJan--65.70%
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Thursday
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Thursday
2/15/20185:00 AMEC2Trade Balance SADec--22.5bBearish EURShort EUR/USDWeaker French and German trade
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Thursday
2/15/20185:00 AMECTrade Balance NSADec--26.3b
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSNo TradeEmpire ManufacturingFeb17.917.7No TradeNo TradeFirst manufacturing release is hard to predict but can be market moving
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSInitial Jobless Claims10-Feb----
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSContinuing Claims3-Feb----
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPPI Final Demand MoMJan0.30%-0.10%
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPPI Ex Food and Energy MoMJan0.20%-0.10%
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoMJan--0.10%
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPPI Final Demand YoYJan--2.60%
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPPI Ex Food and Energy YoYJan--2.30%
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoYJan--2.30%
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Thursday
2/15/20188:30 AMUSPhiladelphia Fed Business OutlookFeb2122.2
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Thursday
2/15/20184:30 PMNZ2BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMIJan--51.2Bearish NZDShort NZD/USDStrong NZD could dampen activity
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Friday
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Friday2/16/20184:30 AMUK2Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel MoMJan---1.60%Bearish GBPShort GBP/USDLower CBI and BRC retail sales reports
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Friday2/16/20184:30 AMUKRetail Sales Ex Auto Fuel YoYJan--1.30%
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Friday2/16/20184:30 AMUKRetail Sales Inc Auto Fuel MoMJan---1.50%
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Friday2/16/20184:30 AMUKRetail Sales Inc Auto Fuel YoYJan--1.40%
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Friday2/16/20188:30 AMUSNo TradeHousing StartsJan1225k1192kNo TradeNo TradeStarts and permits are hard to predict but can be market moving
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Friday2/16/20188:30 AMUSHousing Starts MoMJan2.80%-8.20%
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Friday2/16/20188:30 AMUSBuilding PermitsJan1300k1300k
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Friday2/16/20188:30 AMUSBuilding Permits MoMJan0.00%-0.20%
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Friday2/16/201810:00 AMUS2U. of Mich. SentimentFeb P95.395.7Bullish USDLong USD/JPYHigher IBD TIPP index means confidence improved. Survey taken before stock drop
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Friday2/16/201810:00 AMUSU. of Mich. Current ConditionsFeb P--110.5
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Friday2/16/201810:00 AMUSU. of Mich. ExpectationsFeb P--86.3
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Friday2/16/201810:00 AMUSU. of Mich. 1 Yr InflationFeb P--2.70%
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Friday2/16/201810:00 AMUSU. of Mich. 5-10 Yr InflationFeb P--2.50%
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TIER 2 DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE
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DayDateTime (EST)CountryConfEventPeriodSurveyPrevious
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Sunday2/11/20184:45 PMNZCard Spending Retail MoMJan--0.50%
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Sunday2/11/20184:45 PMNZCard Spending Total MoMJan--0.20%
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Sunday2/11/20187:30 PMAUCredit Card PurchasesDec--A$27.9b
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Sunday2/11/20187:30 PMAUCredit Card BalancesDec--A$52.2b
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Monday2/12/20183:15 AMSZCPI MoMJan--0.00%
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Monday2/12/20183:15 AMSZCPI YoYJan--0.80%
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Monday2/12/20183:15 AMSZCPI EU Harmonized MoMJan--0.20%
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Monday2/12/20183:15 AMSZCPI EU Harmonized YoYJan--1.10%
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Monday2/12/20186:50 PMJNPPI YoYJan--3.10%
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Monday2/12/20186:50 PMJNPPI MoMJan--0.20%
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Monday2/12/20187:30 PMAUNAB Business ConditionsJan--13
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Monday2/12/20187:30 PMAUNAB Business ConfidenceJan--11
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Tuesday2/13/20186:30 PMAUWestpac Consumer Conf IndexFeb--105.1
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Tuesday2/13/20186:30 PMAUWestpac Consumer Conf SA MoMFeb--1.80%
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Tuesday2/13/20186:50 PMJNGDP SA QoQ4Q P0.20%0.60%
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Tuesday2/13/20186:50 PMJNGDP Annualized SA QoQ4Q P0.90%2.50%
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Tuesday2/13/20186:50 PMJNGDP Nominal SA QoQ4Q P0.40%0.80%
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