ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVW
1
PCON11CD
Constituency name
Estimated Leave vote shareKnown Leave vote shareHow do we know?Figure to use
2
E14000530Aldershot0.58097447880.5789776574Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5789776574Sources:
3
E14000531Aldridge-Brownhills0.68722754780.6779634958Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.6779634958
(1) “Areal interpolation and the UK’s referendum on EU membership”, Chris Hanretty, Journal Of Elections, Public Opinion And Parties, Online Early Access, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2017.1287081
4
E14000532
Altrincham and Sale West
0.38587799990.3858779999
(2) "Local voting figures shed new light on EU referendum", Martin Rosenbaum, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38762034
5
E14000533Amber Valley0.65299124720.6529912472
6
E14000534
Arundel and South Downs
0.49701105810.4970110581
7
E14000535Ashfield0.70472888840.7047288884
8
E14000536Ashford0.59861947440.5986194744
9
E14000537Ashton-under-Lyne0.63405683820.6180980255Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.6180980255
10
E14000538Aylesbury0.51787909840.5178790984
11
E14000539Banbury0.50347797740.5034779774
12
E14000540Barking0.59974879560.5997487956
13
E14000541Barnsley Central0.68188130440.6818813044
14
E14000542Barnsley East0.70984993480.7098499348
15
E14000543Barrow and Furness0.57278706450.5727870645
16
E14000544
Basildon and Billericay
0.67135877310.6713587731
17
E14000545Basingstoke0.53598781970.5359878197
18
E14000546Bassetlaw0.68322754950.6832275495
19
E14000547Bath0.31724548920.3172454892
20
E14000548Batley and Spen0.59628397630.5962839763
21
E14000549Battersea0.22046740550.2204674055
22
E14000550Beaconsfield0.49006267330.4900626733
23
E14000551Beckenham0.46581641120.4838170491Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4838170491
24
E14000552Bedford0.53405356380.5194916653Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5194916653
25
E14000553
Bermondsey and Old Southwark
0.26050327280.2605032728
26
E14000554
Berwick-upon-Tweed
0.5529781540.552978154
27
E14000555
Bethnal Green and Bow
0.30858395160.3085839516
28
E14000556
Beverley and Holderness
0.58739475560.5873947556
29
E14000557Bexhill and Battle0.57721214610.5772121461
30
E14000558
Bexleyheath and Crayford
0.65255137450.6525513745
31
E14000559Birkenhead0.52704222590.517076065Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.517076065
32
E14000560
Birmingham, Edgbaston
0.43751731510.4734707048Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4734707048
33
E14000561
Birmingham, Erdington
0.5848005910.6297289172Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.6297289172
34
E14000562
Birmingham, Hall Green
0.42176623260.3356875091Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.3356875091
35
E14000563
Birmingham, Hodge Hill
0.50812178910.5148416727Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5148416727
36
E14000564
Birmingham, Ladywood
0.39837816620.3562267156Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.3562267156
37
E14000565
Birmingham, Northfield
0.59318770790.617882451Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.617882451
38
E14000566
Birmingham, Perry Barr
0.54151263070.5121731706Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5121731706
39
E14000567
Birmingham, Selly Oak
0.4574962770.4690743133Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4690743133
40
E14000568Birmingham, Yardley0.60617989140.6009480763Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.6009480763
41
E14000569Bishop Auckland0.60885975150.6088597515
42
E14000570Blackburn0.5594281560.5372925725Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5372925725
43
E14000571
Blackley and Broughton
0.50039203790.5003920379
44
E14000572
Blackpool North and Cleveleys
0.66910342440.6691034244
45
E14000573Blackpool South0.67814124570.6781412457
46
E14000574Blaydon0.56124624340.5612462434
47
E14000575Blyth Valley0.60494853260.6049485326
48
E14000576
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
0.64792304970.6479230497
49
E14000577Bolsover0.7039424640.703942464
50
E14000578Bolton North East0.58112759670.5811275967
51
E14000579Bolton South East0.6302767430.630276743
52
E14000580Bolton West0.55554026540.5555402654
53
E14000581Bootle0.54799674540.5479967454
54
E14000582
Boston and Skegness
0.75649871410.7564987141
55
E14000583Bosworth0.60829363860.6082936386
56
E14000584Bournemouth East0.53690694610.5369069461
57
E14000585Bournemouth West0.57731766610.5773176661
58
E14000586Bracknell0.5324487460.532448746
59
E14000587Bradford East0.55625293630.5515782934Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5515782934
60
E14000588Bradford South0.63560105630.6356121775Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.6356121775
61
E14000589Bradford West0.46372420880.4674085444Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4674085444
62
E14000590Braintree0.61515640160.6151564016
63
E14000591Brent Central0.42887588260.4288758826
64
E14000592Brent North0.42611751050.4261175105
65
E14000593
Brentford and Isleworth
0.40351268080.4330890315Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4330890315
66
E14000594
Brentwood and Ongar
0.6118928690.611892869
67
E14000595
Bridgwater and West Somerset
0.62063983220.6206398322
68
E14000596Brigg and Goole0.66226916930.6622691693
69
E14000597Brighton, Kemptown0.4359231340.435923134
70
E14000598Brighton, Pavilion0.2593355010.259335501
71
E14000599Bristol East0.48726005350.4679527183Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4679527183
72
E14000600Bristol North West0.4126670410.3885281199Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.3885281199
73
E14000601Bristol South0.47284184420.4795283789Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4795283789
74
E14000602Bristol West0.19118250380.2071150843Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.2071150843
75
E14000603Broadland0.54100848010.5410084801
76
E14000604
Bromley and Chislehurst
0.49698997950.4982886934Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4982886934
77
E14000605Bromsgrove0.55365127940.5536512794
78
E14000606Broxbourne0.65534773180.6553477318
79
E14000607Broxtowe0.5251370190.525137019
80
E14000608Buckingham0.48870867220.4887086722
81
E14000609Burnley0.66612798970.6661279897
82
E14000610Burton0.64793157480.6479315748
83
E14000611Bury North0.53667031240.5366703124
84
E14000612Bury South0.54511752630.5451175263
85
E14000613Bury St Edmunds0.53992471440.5399247144
86
E14000614Calder Valley0.51509666710.5316421306Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.5316421306
87
E14000615
Camberwell and Peckham
0.31481770320.3148177032
88
E14000616
Camborne and Redruth
0.58412852790.5841285279
89
E14000617Cambridge0.26264885730.262252731Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.262252731
90
E14000618Cannock Chase0.68860353130.6886035313Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.6886035313
91
E14000619Canterbury0.45327404820.4532740482
92
E14000620Carlisle0.6064377460.606437746
93
E14000621
Carshalton and Wallington
0.56261214040.5430191518
Council ward data; personal communication from Charlie Mansell
0.5626121404
94
E14000622Castle Point0.72699392420.7269939242
95
E14000623Central Devon0.50886951910.5088695191
96
E14000624
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich
0.54891191150.5489119115
97
E14000625Charnwood0.5787467180.578746718
98
E14000626
Chatham and Aylesford
0.63905391810.6390539181
99
E14000627Cheadle0.42073562720.4265303264Rosenbaum / Greenwood data0.4265303264
100
E14000628Chelmsford0.50683200630.5068320063