| B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | The Downballot | @downballotnews | |||||||||||||||||
2 | Special Election | 2020 Presidential | 2016 Presidential | ||||||||||||||||
3 | Date | State | District | Held By | Winner | D %age | R %age | Margin | Biden | Trump | Margin | Margin Dif. | Clinton | Trump | Margin | Margin Dif. | |||
4 | 1-Oct-24 | AL | HD-52 | (D) | (D) | 84% | 16% | 69% | 85% | 13% | 72% | -3% | 83% | 13% | 70% | -2% | |||
5 | 18-Sep-24 | NJ | NJ-10 | (D) | (D) | 81% | 16% | 65% | 81% | 19% | 62% | 3% | 82% | 16% | 65% | -0.3% | |||
6 | 25-Jun-24 | CO | CO-04 | (R) | (R) | 35% | 58% | -24% | 39% | 58% | -19% | -5% | 32% | 60% | -27% | 4% | |||
7 | 11-Jun-24 | OH | OH-06 | (R) | (R) | 45% | 55% | -9% | 35% | 64% | -29% | 19% | 36% | 60% | -25% | 15% | |||
8 | 30-Apr-24 | NY | NY-26 | (D) | (D) | 68% | 32% | 36% | 61% | 37% | 23% | 13% | 56% | 40% | 16% | 21% | |||
9 | 23-Apr-24 | PA | HD-139 | (R) | (R) | 40% | 60% | -21% | 36% | 63% | -28% | 7% | 31% | 66% | -35% | 14% | |||
10 | 16-Apr-24 | MI | HD-13 | (D) | (D) | 66% | 34% | 31% | 64% | 35% | 29% | 3% | 62% | 34% | 28% | 3% | |||
11 | 16-Apr-24 | MI | HD-25 | (D) | (D) | 60% | 38% | 21% | 59% | 40% | 19% | 2% | 55% | 40% | 15% | 6% | |||
12 | 26-Mar-24 | AL | HD-10 | (R) | (D) ✓ | 62% | 37% | 25% | 48% | 49% | -1% | 26% | 39% | 52% | -13% | 38% | |||
13 | 19-Mar-24 | KY | HD-24 * | (R) | (R) | 23% | 62% | -40% | 20% | 79% | -58% | 19% | 20% | 76% | -56% | 16% | |||
14 | 19-Mar-24 | MN | HD-27B | (R) | (R) | 15% | 85% | -69% | 27% | 71% | -44% | -25% | 23% | 69% | -46% | -23% | |||
15 | 12-Mar-24 | NH | HD-Rockingham-21 | (D) | (D) | 63% | 37% | 26% | 67% | 32% | 35% | -9% | 62% | 32% | 30% | -4% | |||
16 | 12-Mar-24 | NH | HD-Strafford-11 | (D) | (D) | 66% | 34% | 32% | 64% | 34% | 30% | 2% | 58% | 34% | 23% | 9% | |||
17 | 13-Feb-24 | NY | NY-03 | (R) | (D) ✓ | 54% | 46% | 8% | 54% | 45% | 8% | -0.2% | 51% | 46% | 5% | 3% | |||
18 | 13-Feb-24 | NY | AD-77 | (D) | (D) | 75% | 20% | 55% | 86% | 13% | 73% | -18% | 94% | 4% | 90% | -35% | |||
19 | 13-Feb-24 | PA | HD-140 | (D) | (D) | 67% | 32% | 35% | 55% | 44% | 10% | 25% | 53% | 43% | 10% | 25% | |||
20 | 13-Feb-24 | OK | HD-39 | (R) | (R) | 45% | 50% | -5% | 36% | 62% | -26% | 21% | 30% | 63% | -33% | 28% | |||
21 | 23-Jan-24 | NH | HD-Coos-01 | (R) | (R) | 40% | 60% | -20% | 45% | 53% | -8% | -12% | 40% | 52% | -12% | -8% | |||
22 | 23-Jan-24 | NH | HD-Coos-06 | (D) | (R) ✓ | 46% | 54% | -8% | 55% | 43% | 12% | -20% | 51% | 43% | 8% | -16% | |||
23 | 16-Jan-24 | FL | HD-35 | (R) | (D) ✓ | 51% | 49% | 3% | 52% | 47% | 5% | -2% | 49% | 46% | 4% | -1% | |||
24 | 9-Jan-24 | AL | HD-16 | (R) | (R) | 16% | 83% | -67% | 13% | 86% | -73% | 6% | 12% | 86% | -74% | 7% | |||
25 | 9-Jan-24 | VA | SD-09 | (R) | (R) | 37% | 63% | -26% | 41% | 58% | -17% | -9% | 41% | 57% | -16% | -10% | |||
26 | 9-Jan-24 | VA | HD-48 | (R) | (R) | 30% | 70% | -39% | 37% | 62% | -24% | -15% | 37% | 60% | -23% | -16% | |||
27 | 2-Jan-24 | SC | SD-19 | (D) | (D) | 86% | 10% | 76% | 82% | 17% | 65% | 11% | 79% | 17% | 62.1% | 14% | |||
28 | |||||||||||||||||||
29 | 2024 Avg. | 0.8% | 2024 Avg. | 3.1% | |||||||||||||||
30 | (23 races) | (23 races) | |||||||||||||||||
31 | |||||||||||||||||||
32 | 2023-24 Avg. | 3.5% | 2023-24 Avg. | 6.8% | |||||||||||||||
33 | (61 races) | (61 races) | |||||||||||||||||
34 | |||||||||||||||||||
35 | All cycles: 2017-18; 2019-20; 2021-22; 2023-24; 2025-26 | ||||||||||||||||||
36 | |||||||||||||||||||
37 | "✓" indicates a change in party control. | ||||||||||||||||||
38 | |||||||||||||||||||
39 | * Not included in averages. Averages only include races where the combined Democratic and Republican share of the vote is 90% or greater. | ||||||||||||||||||
40 | |||||||||||||||||||
41 | Federal elections shaded in gold. All others are legislative elections. | ||||||||||||||||||
42 | |||||||||||||||||||
43 | Sources: The Downballot, Dave's Redistricting App, VEST | ||||||||||||||||||