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Companies ranked by Finance Value (Column E)TickerReward = 10-Yr Total Return/YrRisk Aversion = 2018 Price Return (S&P 500's worst year in last 10)Finance Value = Col C + Col D5-Yr Total Return/YrDiv YieldFree Cash Flow Yield5-Yr Div Growth/Yr5-Yr BetaP/E (TTM)BMW Method: 20-Yr Px CAGRCurrent Px TrendPx loss post regression to 20-yr mean CAGR from +2SDReturn on Tangible Capital EmployedWACCL-T Debt: Total AssetsTotal Debt: Total AssetsTotal Debt: EBITDA (mrq)L-T Debt:Equity Ratio (mrq)TBV:Px (mrq)Div: FCFS&P Bond RatingS&P Stock RatingPx (50d MA)Shares BOTAmountNet Present Value @ 10-Yr Holding Period & 10% Discount RateGraham NumberPx (50d avg): Graham NumberPx: Book7-Yr P/EPx: Sales5-yr PEG ratio (Yahoo Finance)Value StockOverpriced StockMorningstar (Stars)SCORE: Basic Quality ScreenMarket Cap ($B)Dividend Achiever2008 Price Return
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MerckMRK12.2%35.8%48.0%14.3%2.9%1.8%5.9%0.47218.1%up 1SD44%28.4%2.6%28%32%155%0.95-3.5%57%AA-B+/M (5)$82.4361$5,028.23$12.49$31.75258%7.7374.51.35yesundervalued (4)3$215-47.7%
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PfizerPFE11.7%20.5%32.2%6.7%4.1%1.1%6.4%0.66156.2%on trendline46%24.8%4.2%22%32%259%0.79-15.2%80%AA-A-/M (4)$37.43134$5,015.62-$239.18$25.67145%3.1194.12.46yesundervalued (4)2$205-22.1%
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AmgenAMGN18.6%11.9%30.5%15.2%2.6%3.4%16.0%0.852010.8%up 1SD46%42.6%4.3%46%51%254%3.20-16.7%41%A-A-/M (4)$247.2520$4,945.00$1,419.29$70.76350%13.5286.01.61overvalued (2)2$1440.5%
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TargetTGT14.4%1.3%15.7%18.2%1.8%4.8%4.6%0.87229.6%up 2SD31%11.2%6.0%32%33%158%1.3114.9%33%AB+/M (3)$136.7737$5,060.49$246.24$62.56216%5.9270.92.47overvalued (1)3$74yes-30.9%
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IntelINTC13.4%1.7%15.1%13.7%2.7%4.2%6.7%0.7198.5%up 1SD45%23.5%4.0%19%22%88%0.4418.9%33%A+B+/M (3)$51.4597$4,990.65$53.41$48.58107%2.6192.71.71yesundervalued (4)3$211-45.0%
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Texas InstrumentsTXN20.6%-9.5%11.1%26.1%2.6%2.3%21.5%1.132613.1%up 1SD51%44.9%7.2%31%34%86%0.823.2%52%A+A/M (3)$136.3737$5,045.69$2,996.72$31.64397%16.4379.52.25yesfairly valued (3)2.5$133yes-53.5%
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ComcastCMCSA19.9%-15.0%4.9%12.3%2.0%5.8%13.1%0.961911.5%on trendline50%22.5%5.2%40%42%315%1.27-39.5%28%A-A/M (5)$43.54115$5,007.10$1,424.36$32.02135%2.4182.01.27yesundervalued (3)3$207yes-7.6%
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Lockheed MartinLMT22.4%-18.4%4.2%16.3%2.4%3.0%9.9%0.931716.0%on trendline41%25.7%6.5%26%29%136%3.25-10.1%44%A-A/M (5)$384.3313$4,996.29$4,178.26$83.23458%28.3311.71.79yesfairly valued (4)3$108yes-20.1%
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United Parcel ServiceUPS12.9%-18.2%-5.3%14.6%2.5%-0.9%6.9%1328.2%up 2SD27%16.4%6.3%42%49%247%5.88-2.0%141%A-B+/M (4)$146.3134$4,974.54$15.53$23.93600%31.6301.82.39overvalued (2)2$145-22.0%
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Averagen = 916.2%1.1%17.4%15.3%2.6%2.8%10.1%0.842010.2%up 1SD42%26.7%5.1%31%35%189%1.99-6%57%AA-/M (4)$140.65$5,013.25$1,123.01$45.57296%12.4273.71.923/93/9fairly valued (3)2.6$1604/9-27.6%
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BENCHMARKS
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Berkshire HathawayBRK-B9.7%3.0%12.7%9.9%0.0%4.1%0.0%0.81218.8%on trendline24%4.7%5.4%12%14%254%no L-T Debt58.5%no dividendAAB+/L (3)$206.3624$4,952.64-$752.45$183.43113%1.3162.03.00yesundervalued (3)3$525-31.8%
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SPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPY13.4%-6.4%7.0%13.6%1.8%4.5%7.3%1286.7%up 1SD32%0.07$333.8515$5,007.75-$866.54$152.54219%3.8292.4$274-38.3%
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SPDR DJIA ETF TrustDIA12.2%-5.7%6.5%13.3%2.3%5.1%8.3%0.99206.2%up 1SD28%NA$274.9618$4,949.28-$797.57NANANANANA$22-34.0%
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Averagen = 311.8%-3.0%8.7%12.3%1.4%4.6%5.2%0.93227.2%up 1SD28%0.07$271.72$4,969.89-$832.06$274-34.7%
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Consumer Price Index cpi1.9%1.5%3.4%2.2%
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Updated 9/26/2020
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