A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2022-2030 | |||
2 | Population screened with x-rays (millions) | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |||
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4 | Mortality Averted | ||||||||||||
5 | Deaths averted per million population over 20 years, Shrestha 2021 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | 1,380 | |||
6 | Internal validity adjustment | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |||
7 | Deaths averted per million population over 20 years, adjusted | 690 | 690 | 690 | 690 | 690 | 690 | 690 | 690 | 690 | |||
8 | Total direct deaths averted | 149 | 447 | 3,124 | 3,124 | 894 | 447 | 447 | 447 | 447 | |||
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10 | Sequelae-induced deaths averted per death averted | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | |||
11 | Total sequelae-induced deaths averted | 110 | 331 | 2,312 | 2,312 | 662 | 331 | 331 | 331 | 331 | |||
12 | Total deaths averted | 259 | 778 | 5,436 | 5,436 | 1,556 | 778 | 778 | 778 | 778 | 16,577 | ||
13 | Moral value of a death averted | 70 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 70 | 70 | |||
14 | Total units of value from mortality averted | 18,153 | 54,459 | 380,509 | 380,509 | 108,918 | 54,459 | 54,459 | 54,459 | 54,459 | 1,160,385 | ||
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16 | Morbidity Averted | ||||||||||||
17 | Cases of active TB treated/averted per million population over 20 years | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 10,100 | 90,900 | ||
18 | Cases of active TB treated/averted over 20 years | 2,182 | 6,545 | 45,729 | 45,729 | 13,090 | 6,545 | 6,545 | 6,545 | 6,545 | |||
19 | Disability weight per TB case | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.333 | |||
20 | Length of illness (years) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
21 | Years of healthy life lost due to disability (YLDs) averted | 726 | 2179 | 15228 | 15228 | 4359 | 2179 | 2179 | 2179 | 2179 | 46,438 | ||
22 | Moral value of a YLD averted | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | |||
23 | Total units of value from morbidity averted | 1671 | 5013 | 35024 | 35024 | 10025 | 5013 | 5013 | 5013 | 5013 | 106,807 | ||
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25 | Treatment Costs Averted | ||||||||||||
26 | Costs per TB case (incurred by patients) | $129 | $129 | $129 | $129 | $129 | $129 | $129 | $129 | $129 | |||
27 | Baseline annual consumption per capita (in nominal USD) | $500 | $500 | $500 | $500 | $500 | $500 | $500 | $500 | $500 | |||
28 | Per capita increase in ln(consumption) resulting from intervention | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | 0.230 | |||
29 | Value assigned to doubling consumption for one person for one year | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||
30 | Value assigned to increasing ln(consumption) by one unit for one person for one year | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | |||
31 | Units of value from medical costs averted per person, per year | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | 0.331 | |||
32 | Total units of value from medical costs averted | 361 | 1084 | 7571 | 7571 | 2167 | 1084 | 1084 | 1084 | 1084 | 23,089 | ||
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34 | Total value generated by the program, before leveraging/funging | 20,185 | 60,555 | 423,103 | 423,103 | 121,111 | 60,555 | 60,555 | 60,555 | 60,555 | 1,290,280 | ||
35 | Value from deaths averted | 90% | |||||||||||
36 | Value from morbidity averted | 8% | |||||||||||
37 | Value from treatment costs averted | 2% | |||||||||||
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39 | Leverage/Funging | ||||||||||||
40 | Total leveraged costs | $ 193,386 | $ 721,376 | $ 21,068,452 | $ 21,068,452 | $ 1,253,684 | $ 459,214 | $ 338,176 | $ 250,574 | $ 186,302 | |||
41 | Counterfactual cost-effectiveness of leveraged costs (x cash) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |||
42 | Counterfactual value of leveraged costs, per dollar | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | 0.0067 | |||
43 | Counterfactual value of leveraged costs, total | 1,296 | 4,833 | 141,159 | 141,159 | 8,400 | 3,077 | 2,266 | 1,679 | 1,248 | 305,115 | ||
44 | Total value generated by the program, after leveraging/funging | 18,889 | 55,722 | 281,945 | 281,945 | 112,711 | 57,479 | 58,290 | 58,877 | 59,307 | 985,165 | ||
45 | % change in cost-effectiveness from Leverage/Funging | -6% | -8% | -33% | -33% | -7% | -5% | -4% | -3% | -2% | -24% | ||
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47 | Costs | ||||||||||||
48 | - CAPEX Budget | $11,334,920 | $1,223,548 | $12,558,468 | |||||||||
49 | - OPEX Budget | $1,077,722 | $5,570,868 | $18,841,757 | $19,122,248 | $5,983,584 | $4,515,802 | $3,868,603 | $3,916,912 | $3,904,755 | $66,802,251 | ||
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51 | Bottom line cost-effectiveness (x cash) | 3.7 | |||||||||||
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53 |