Extraordinary First Years Study
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1
Player since 1980 with a 130 or greater OPS+ in their Rookie Season, and how they did in their second year by OPS+.
2
Thanks to Baseball Reference for the data.
3
OPS+
4
RkPlayerHROPS+YearAgeTmLgGPAABRH2B3BRBIBBIBBSOHBPSHSFGDPSBCSBAOBPSLGOPS▼
Change
Year 1Year 2
5
94Ryan Howard (RoY-1st)\howarry0122133200525PHINL883483125290172633381001026010.2880.3560.5670.9241.26133167
6
117Ryan Klesko (RoY-3rd)\kleskry0117130199423ATLNL92276245426813347263481048100.2780.3440.5630.9071.22130158
7
189Lonnie Smith (RoY-3rd)\smithlo013130198024PHINL100331298691011442026248412533130.3390.3970.4430.841.10130143
8
176Randy Milligan\millira0112144198927BALAL1244443655698235457427530212950.2680.3940.4580.8521.08144155
9
196John Kruk (RoY-7th)\krukjo014131198625SDPNL1223272783386162384505802211240.3090.4030.4240.8281.07131140
10
97Josh Hamilton\hamiljo0319131200726CINNL90337298528717247334654026330.2920.3680.5540.9221.03131135
11
140Hal Morris (RoY-3rd)\morriha027136199025CINNL10733630950105223362143213212930.340.3810.4980.880.99136135
12
92Yasiel Puig (RoY-2nd)\puigya0119159201322LADNL104432382661222124236697110361180.3190.3910.5340.9250.91159145
13
171Carlos Correa\correca0122135201520HOUAL99432387521082216840278104101440.2790.3450.5120.8570.91135123
14
75Adam Dunn (RoY-4th)\dunnad0119136200121CINNL66286244546418143382744004420.2620.3710.5780.9480.89136121
15
118Austin Kearns (RoY-3rd)\kearnau0113134200222CINNL10743537266117243565438160311630.3150.4070.50.9070.87134117
16
161Buster Posey (RoY-1st)\poseybu0118133201023SFGNL10844340658124232673055540312020.3050.3570.5050.8620.87133116
17
175Stephen Piscotty\piscost017130201524STLNL63256233297115439202561027210.3050.3590.4940.8530.86130112
18
93Josh Phelps (RoY-6th)\phelpjo0115138200224TORAL74287265418220158190823007000.3090.3620.5620.9250.82138113
19
200Ricky Jordan (RoY-8th)\jordari0211131198823PHINL6928127341841514372390015110.3080.3240.4910.8150.82131107
20
71Chris Duncan\duncach0122140200625STLNL90314280608211343300692024000.2930.3630.5890.9520.81140114
21
157Chris Carter\cartech0216139201225OAKAL67260218385212039391830034000.2390.350.5140.8640.81139112
22
151Chris Shelton\sheltch0118132200525DETAL10743138861116223593408750411000.2990.360.510.870.80132106
23
181Craig Grebeck\grebecr016136199126CHWAL107268224376316331380401413130.2810.3860.460.8460.77136105
24
180Jesus Guzman\guzmaje015139201127SDPNL76271247337722244222431016920.3120.3690.4780.8470.77139107
25
99James Loney (RoY-6th)\loneyja0115134200723LADNL963753444111418467285481026010.3310.3810.5380.9190.77134103
26
128Rusty Greer (RoY-3rd)\greerru0110132199425TEXAL80331277368716146462462243000.3140.410.4870.8980.76132100
27
145Randal Grichuk\grichra0117134201523STLNL1033503234989237472221104016420.2760.3290.5480.8770.75134101
28
194Tim Raines (RoY-2nd)\raineti015135198121MONNL8836331361951373745531203771110.3040.3910.4380.8290.75135101
29
188Maikel Franco\francma0214130201522PHINL80335304458522150262524018100.280.3430.4970.840.7413096
30
107Miguel Sano\sanomi0118149201522MINAL803352794675171525311191024110.2690.3850.530.9160.74149110
31
133Bobby Kielty (RoY-4th)\kieltbo0112136200225MINAL112348289498414346524665024410.2910.4050.4840.890.7313699
32
177Lucas Duda\dudalu0110137201125NYMNL100347301388821350333577155100.2920.370.4820.8520.7213799
33
32Luke Scott\scottlu0110165200628HOUNL65249214317219637304434012210.3360.4260.6211.0470.72165118
34
119Jonny Gomes (RoY-3rd)\gomesjo0121140200524TBDAL10140734861981365439111314156950.2820.3720.5340.9060.6814095
35
124Kevin Maas (RoY-2nd)\maaske0121150199025NYYAL79300254426490414310763002120.2520.3670.5350.9020.67150100
36
82Garrett Jones (RoY-7th)\jonesga0221146200928PITNL823583144592211444087610361020.2930.3720.5670.9380.6414694
37
147Dwight Smith (RoY-2nd)\smithdw019141198925CHCNL1093813435211119652310512414940.3240.3820.4930.8750.6214188
38
172Dan Gladden (RoY-4th)\gladdda014145198426SFGNL86384342711201723133237261331160.3510.410.4470.8570.6014587
39
192Wil Myers (RoY-1st)\myerswi0113131201322TBRAL883733355098230533369110410520.2930.3540.4780.8310.5913177
40
54Bob Hamelin (RoY-1st)\hamelbo0124147199426KCRAL101375312648825165563621054430.2820.3880.5990.9870.3614753
41
198Danny Santana (RoY-7th)\santada017130201423MINAL10143040570129277401909832132040.3190.3530.4720.8240.3513046
42
69Mike Greenwell (RoY-4th)\greenmi0119148198723BOSAL1254564127113531689351406037540.3280.3860.570.9561.08148160
43
116Jason Bay (RoY-1st)\bayja0126132200425PITNL120472411611162448241212910559460.2820.3580.550.9071.14132150
44
179Darryl Strawberry (RoY-1st)\strawda0126134198321NYMNL122473420631081577447912840251960.2570.3360.5120.8480.95134127
45
187Troy Neel (RoY-7th)\neeltr0119131199327OAKAL12348242759124210634951014027350.290.3670.4730.840.93131122
46
49Ryan Braun (RoY-1st)\braunry0234154200723MILNL1134924519114626697291112705131550.3240.370.6341.0040.84154130
47
113David Justice (RoY-1st)\justida0128143199024ATLNL12750443976124232786449200121160.2820.3730.5350.9080.98143140
48
139Matt Nokes (RoY-3rd)\nokesma0132133198723DETAL13550846169133142873527063313210.2890.3450.5360.880.82133109
49
163Yoenis Cespedes (RoY-2nd)\cespeyo0123139201226OAKAL129540487701422558243510270391640.2920.3560.5050.8610.74139103
50
89Mike Piazza (RoY-1st)\piazzmi0135153199324LADNL149602547811742421124668630610340.3180.370.5610.9320.92153140
51
100Tim Salmon (RoY-1st)\salmoti0131143199324CALAL14261051593146351958251355086560.2830.3820.5360.9180.93143133
52
63Jose Abreu (RoY-1st)\abreujo0236173201427CHWAL145622556801763521075115131110414310.3170.3830.5810.9640.78173135
53
178Jason Heyward (RoY-2nd)\heywaja0118131201020ATLNL14262352083144295729121281002131160.2770.3930.4560.8490.6913191
54
64Mike Trout (RoY-1st)\troutmi0130168201220LAAAL1396395591291822788367413960774950.3260.3990.5640.9631.07168179
55
53Mark McGwire (RoY-1st)\mcgwima0149164198723OAKAL151641557971612841187181315086110.2890.370.6180.9870.82164134
56
170Kris Bryant\bryankr0126135201523CHCNL151650559871543159977019990571340.2750.3690.4880.8581.10135149
57
197Jeff Bagwell (RoY-1st)\bagweje0115139199123HOUNL1566505547916326482755116131712740.2940.3870.4370.8240.97139135
58
46Albert Pujols (RoY-1st)\pujolal0137157200121STLNL1616765901121944741306969391721130.3290.4030.611.0130.96157151
59
134Alvin Davis (RoY-1st)\davisal0127147198423SEAAL152678567801613431169716787077540.2840.3910.4970.8880.85147125
60
61
Qualifying Players who didn't fit. Either 2016 or no second season.
62
63
144Corey Seager\seageco0126137201622LADNL1576876271051934057254513340212330.3080.3650.5120.877*6/H137
64
142Aledmys Diaz\diazal0217133201625STLNL11146040471121283654166072610440.30.3690.510.879*6/H4133
65
154Ryan Schimpf\schimry0120130201628SDPNL893302764860175514231059033110.2170.3360.5330.869*45/H7130
66
83Trea Turner\turnetr0113144201623WSNNL7332430753105148401405910213360.3420.370.5670.937*84/6H144
67
164Ryon Healy\healyry0113135201624OAKAL72283269368220037121601107000.3050.3370.5240.861*5135
68
184Kyle Schwarber\schwaky0116130201522CHCNL6927323252576143361774014330.2460.3550.4870.842
*72/HD9
130DNP
69
70
71
Beneath the 250 plate appearance threshold.
72
73
57Frank Thomas\thomafr047177199022CHWAL60240191396311331440542035010.330.4540.5290.983*3/DH177
74
167Devon Travis\travide018131201524TORAL62239217386618035180432014310.3040.3610.4980.859*4/H131
75
199Mitch Webster\webstmi0111131198526TOTML782352133258823020333011315100.2720.3330.4840.817
*89H/7D
131
76
159Ivan Calderon\caldeiv018134198523SEAAL672332103760164281914521110420.2860.3490.5140.863
79H/D38
134
77
38Gary Sanchez\sanchga0220168201623NYYAL53229201346012042242572025100.2990.3760.6571.032*2D168
78
158Yasmani Grandal\grandya018143201223SDPNL6022619228577136311391028000.2970.3940.4690.863*2/H143
79
102Allen Craig\craigal0111151201126STLNL75219200336315040150401127500.3150.3620.5550.917
7H9/4835
151
80
191Enrique Hernandez\hernaen027131201523LADNL76218202246212222110462123020.3070.3460.490.836
487H6/95
131
81
136Hector Villanueva\villahe0113143199126CHCNL71214192235310132211300013000.2760.3460.5420.887*2H/3143
82
104Kal Daniels\danieka016148198622CINNL742071813458104232213021141520.320.3980.5190.917*7H148
83
358Jeff Stone (RoY-7th)\stoneje011139198423PHINL5119918527674615902621222750.3620.3940.4650.859*7/H139
84
173Pedro Guerrero\guerrpe017138198024LADNL7519918327599131123310132210.3220.3590.4970.856
H894/753
138
85
156Carlos Santana\santaca016143201024CLEAL46192150233913022372291043300.260.4010.4670.868*2/DH143
86
44Erubiel Durazo\durazer0111153199925ARINL5218515531514230261431031110.3290.4220.5941.015*3H153
87
84Richie Sexson\sexsori0111135199823CLEAL4918317428541413560423003110.310.3440.5920.936
*3/H7D
135
88
375Luis Salazar\salazlu011138198024SDPNL4418316928574725912513141120.3370.3720.4620.834*5/8H9138
89
58Craig Wilson\wilsocr0313146200124PITNL8818315827493132151537124310.310.390.5890.979
H392/D7
146
90
149Greg Bird\birdgr0111135201522NYYAL4617815726419031190531011000.2610.3430.5290.871*3/H135
91
91Robb Quinlan\quinlro015142200427ANAAL56177160235514023140262011310.3440.4010.5250.926
*53/H7D9
142
92
79Sam Horn\hornsa0114143198723BOSAL4617715831447034170552005010.2780.3560.5890.945*D/H143
93
131Jack Voigt\voigtja016136199327BALAL64177152324511123250330003100.2960.3950.50.895
97H/D35
136
94
76Armando Rios\riosar017145199927SFGNL7217715032499029241351113740.3270.420.5270.947*9H7/8145
95
109Juan Encarnacion\encarju017134199822DETAL401751643054942170311032740.3290.3540.5610.915
*98/7HD
134
96
36Phil Plantier (RoY-8th)\plantph0111178199122BOSAL5317514827497135232381022100.3310.420.6151.03497H/D178
97
135Dave Hollins\hollida016149199125PHINL56172151184510221171263012110.2980.3780.510.888*5H/3149
98
155Kyle Blanks\blankky0110137200922SDPNL5417214824379022181556004110.250.3550.5140.868
97/H3D
137
99
70Brett Lawrie\lawribr019153201121TORAL4317115026448425161313200710.2930.3730.580.953*5153
100
162Mike Brown\brownmi027136198424CALAL6216314819428322131230208020.2840.3420.520.862
*9H/D7
136
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Sheet1