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Discount Rate5%
This should equal the average of the 10yr and 30 yr treasury yield
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Tax Rate25%
Look at historical rates for this company as well as prevailing rate in current domicile
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Extrapolated
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201620172018201920202021202220232024
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Revenue 15,516 15,855 16,580 16,383 13,800 16,670 15,616 14,889 15,336
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COGS 9,876 9,789 10,258 10,250 9,095 10,033 10,250 9,114
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Gross Profit 5,640 6,066 6,322 6,133 4,705 6,637 5,366 5,775 6,287.62
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Gross Profit Margin
36%38%38%37%34%40%34%39%41%
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Operating Expenses
4,449 4,587 4,960 5,559 5,567 5,827 5,428 5,215 5,100
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Operating Income 1,191 1,479 1,362 574 (862) 810 (62)5601188
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Operating Margin8%9%8%4%-6%5%0%4%8%
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Interest Expenses
75 74 73 76 192 167 88
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Taxes 448 576 319 177 (400) 120 - 54 297
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Net Income 668 829 970 321 (654) 523 (150)506891
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Depreciation 593 559 578 557 507 504 540 522 500
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Cap Ex 524 731 705 825 392 700 685 420 500
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FCF 737 657 843 53 (539) 327 (295)608891
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Debt Repayments
4211000350
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Stock Purchases3153982000200123
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Dividends Paid3673613733640226220222
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Shares Outstanding
400 396 388 378 374 383 367 371 383
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Avg Share price 25 25 30 20 15 25 12 10 21
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Market Cap10000990011640756056109575440437107890
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Multiple to FCF141514143-1029-1569
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Cash 1,783 1,783 1,081 1,364 1,988 877 1,215 1,875 1,900
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LT Debt 1,313 1,249 1,249 1,249 2,250 1,484 1,850 1,488 1,489
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Inventories 1,830 1,997 2,131 2,156 2,451 3,018 2,389 1,995 2,100
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Working Capital 1,862 2,107 2,077 1,307 2,124 1,088 1,361 1,230
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Total Assets 7,610 7,989 8,049 13,679 13,769 12,761 11,386 11,044 11,509
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ROC10%8%10%0%-4%3%-3%6%
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Employees 135 135 135 129 117 97 95 85
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Company owned stores
3,200 3,165 3,194 3,345 3,100 2,835 2,685 2,562 2,541
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Franchise stores 459 429 472 574 615 564 667 998 1,027
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Online sales as % of rev
38%37%33%
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